Alert archive / South Dakota / Mesoscale Discussions in 2004

Mesoscale Discussion 968

May 28, 20044 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 28, 2004, 7:31 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 89 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 28, 2004, 7:31 PM CDT (00:31 UTC)
Expired
May 28, 2004, 9:00 PM CDT
In force
89 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 79 counties

Cherokee County, IA, Crawford County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Ida County, IA, Lyon County, IA, Monona County, IA, O'Brien County, IA, Osceola County, IA, Plymouth County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Sioux County, IA, Woodbury County, IA, Lincoln County, MN, Lyon County, MN, Murray County, MN, Nobles County, MN, Pipestone County, MN, Rock County, MN, Yellow Medicine County, MN, Antelope County, NE, Boone County, NE, Boyd County, NE, Burt County, NE, Cedar County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Dakota County, NE, Dixon County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Garfield County, NE, Greeley County, NE, Holt County, NE, Keya Paha County, NE, Knox County, NE, Loup County, NE, Madison County, NE, Pierce County, NE, Platte County, NE, Rock County, NE, Stanton County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Valley County, NE, Washington County, NE, Wayne County, NE, Wheeler County, NE, Aurora County, SD, Beadle County, SD, Bon Homme County, SD, Brookings County, SD, Brule County, SD, Buffalo County, SD, Charles Mix County, SD, Clark County, SD, Clay County, SD, Davison County, SD, Deuel County, SD, Douglas County, SD, Gregory County, SD, Hamlin County, SD, Hand County, SD, Hanson County, SD, Hughes County, SD, Hutchinson County, SD, Hyde County, SD, Jerauld County, SD, Kingsbury County, SD, Lake County, SD, Lincoln County, SD, Lyman County, SD, McCook County, SD, Miner County, SD, Minnehaha County, SD, Moody County, SD, Sanborn County, SD, Sully County, SD, Tripp County, SD, Turner County, SD, Union County, SD, Yankton County, SD

The radar

The Sioux Falls radar (KFSD), 91 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 0.5 hours before the alert went out and 179 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2004-05-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 821 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2004-05-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 152 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
821 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-143 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1968 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
152 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
379 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

110 
ACUS11 KWNS 290032
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 290031 
IAZ000-MNZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-290200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0968
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0731 PM CDT FRI MAY 28 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTH CENTRAL / SERN SD...NERN NEB...NWRN IA...SWRN
MN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 319...

VALID 290031Z - 290200Z

SLOW MOVING SUPERCELL STORMS OVER SERN SD AND NERN NEB CONTINUE AS
LOW LEVEL JET PROVIDES MOIST INFLOW.  THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY
EVOLVE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS INTO MORE OF A DAMAGING WIND
THREAT AS OPPOSED TO A HAIL/ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT AS THEY BECOME
OUTFLOW DOMINATE.

FURTHER W...MODERATE INSTABILITY EXISTS OVER CENTRAL AND WRN SD WITH
SHEAR PROFILES FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS.  HOWEVER...QUALITY OF
BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE IS POOR ON RAPID CITY SOUNDING WHERE A MIXED
LAYER PARCEL YIELDS SIGNIFICANT INHIBITION.  ABERDEEN SOUNDING SHOWS
 HIGHER MIXING RATIOS AND COOLER MID LEVEL TEMPS.  THUS...ELEVATED
CONVECTION OVER SOUTH CENTRAL SD MAY STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES INTO
HIGHER DEWPOINT AXIS PROVIDED BY SLY LOW LEVEL JET.

..JEWELL.. 05/29/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MPX...DMX...FSD...OAX...ABR...GID...LBF...UNR...

41479491 41459940 44870058 44879585

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 28, 9:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudubon, Buena Vista, Calhoun, Carroll, Cherokee, Clay and 24 more57 min
May 28, 9:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBuena Vista, Calhoun, Cherokee, Clay, Dickinson, Emmet and 15 more5 hr
May 28, 11:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuena Vista, Calhoun, Cherokee, Clay, Dickinson, Emmet and 16 more94 min
May 29, 12:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Appanoose, Audubon, Boone, Buena Vista, Calhoun and 45 more93 min
May 29, 2:05 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBuena Vista, Calhoun, Cherokee, Clay, Dickinson, Emmet and 13 more8 hr
May 29, 3:05 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCCarroll, Crawford, Fremont, Harrison, Mills, Monona and 4 more7 hr
May 29, 4:35 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Adams, Boone, Cass, Clarke, Dallas and 15 more5 hr
May 29, 5:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuena Vista, Calhoun, Cherokee, Clay, Dickinson, Emmet and 13 more119 min
May 29, 3:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBecker, Clay, Douglas, Grant, Norman, Otter Tail and 2 more6 hr
May 29, 1:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Clay, Fillmore, Franklin, Gage, Hall and 10 more118 min
May 29, 1:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChase, Dundy, Frontier, Hayes, Hitchcock, Perkins and 1 more3 hr
May 29, 3:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDundy, Furnas, Hitchcock, Red Willow6 hr
May 29, 5:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Boone, Buffalo, Clay, Custer, Dawson and 20 more59 min
May 29, 5:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHayes, Hitchcock, Red Willow67 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in South Dakota, 2004Mesoscale Discussions in Nebraska, 2004Mesoscale Discussions in Iowa, 2004Every mesoscale discussion in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.