Alert archive / Kentucky / Mesoscale Discussions in 2004

Mesoscale Discussion 960

May 27, 200421 counties in Kentucky; Lawrence County, Ohio; 8 counties in West Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 27, 2004, 10:39 PM EDT for 21 counties in Kentucky; Lawrence County, Ohio; 8 counties in West Virginia. It was in force for 96 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 27, 2004, 10:39 PM EDT (02:39 UTC)
Expired
May 28, 2004, 12:15 AM EDT
In force
96 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 30 counties

Anderson County, KY, Bath County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyd County, KY, Carter County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Greenup County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Lewis County, KY, Mason County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Robertson County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Scott County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Woodford County, KY, Lawrence County, OH, Braxton County, WV, Cabell County, WV, Clay County, WV, Kanawha County, WV, Putnam County, WV, Randolph County, WV, Roane County, WV, Webster County, WV

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 00:00Z, 2.7 hours before the alert went out and 130 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2004-05-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 290 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2004-05-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 197 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
290 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-54 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1105 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
67 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
197 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
353 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.5
Supercell composite
5.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

349 
ACUS11 KWNS 280240
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 280239 
WVZ000-OHZ000-KYZ000-280415-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0960
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0939 PM CDT THU MAY 27 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN KY INTO CNTRL WV

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 315...

VALID 280239Z - 280415Z

A DAMAGING WIND AND ISOLD TORNADO THREATS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
ABOUT 0400 UTC.  

A COUPLE OF WELL-DEVELOPED BOW ECHOES ARE TRAVERSING THE VALID
PORTIONS OF TORNADO WATCH 315. ONE WAS MOVING ACROSS THE CNTRL
MOUNTAINS OF WV IN RANDOLPH AND POCAHONTAS COUNTIES AND THE OTHER
WAS JUST EAST OF LEXINGTON KY. AIR MASS ACROSS NERN KY AND PARTS OF
CNTRL WV HAVE BEEN UNTOUCHED BY CONVECTION THIS EVENING AND LIKELY
IS FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL TSTMS TO DEVELOP THROUGH LATE EVENING. 
CHARLESTON WV VAD WIND PROFILE SUGGEST NEAR 26 KTS OF 0-1KM SHEAR
AND ANY TSTM THAT CAN DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE BOWS MAY BE CAPABLE OF A
TORNADO OR TWO.  OTHERWISE...LINEARITY OF THE ONGOING TSTMS SUGGESTS
WIND DAMAGE WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS.  

MOST OF THE ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE INTO ADJACENT TORNADO WATCH 318 BY
0400 UTC.  AT THAT TIME...AN EARLY CANCELLATION OF TORNADO WATCH 315
COULD OCCUR.

..RACY.. 05/28/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK...

37878533 38408534 38618385 38937972 38437976

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 27, 8:12 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Ballard, Barren, Breckinridge, Bullitt, Butler and 37 more93 min
May 27, 8:40 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBreckinridge, Bullitt, Butler, Caldwell, Crittenden, Daviess and 17 more5 hr
May 27, 9:53 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoyle, Breathitt, Casey, Clay, Estill, Floyd and 21 more97 min
May 27, 10:30 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBell, Boyle, Breathitt, Casey, Clay, Clinton and 30 more6 hr
May 27, 11:27 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBreckinridge, Bullitt, Butler, Caldwell, Crittenden, Daviess and 16 more93 min
May 28, 12:17 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bath, Bell, Bourbon, Boyd, Boyle and 50 more58 min
May 27, 8:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCButler, Champaign, Clark, Clinton, Darke, Delaware and 19 more5 hr
May 28, 12:29 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAthens, Belmont, Fairfield, Franklin, Gallia, Guernsey and 15 more3 hr
May 27, 9:01 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBerkeley, Grant, Hampshire, Hardy, Jefferson, Mineral and 2 more89 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kentucky, 2004Mesoscale Discussions in West Virginia, 2004Mesoscale Discussions in Ohio, 2004Every mesoscale discussion in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.