Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2004

Mesoscale Discussion 810

May 21, 200414 counties in Kansas; Beaver County, Ellis County, Harper County, Oklahoma; 12 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 21, 2004, 8:40 PM CDT for 14 counties in Kansas; Beaver County, Ellis County, Harper County, Oklahoma; 12 counties in Texas. It was in force for 95 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 21, 2004, 8:40 PM CDT (01:40 UTC)
Expired
May 21, 2004, 10:15 PM CDT
In force
95 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 29 counties

Clark County, KS, Edwards County, KS, Ellis County, KS, Ford County, KS, Gray County, KS, Hodgeman County, KS, Kiowa County, KS, Meade County, KS, Ness County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Pawnee County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Rush County, KS, Trego County, KS, Beaver County, OK, Ellis County, OK, Harper County, OK, Armstrong County, TX, Carson County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Donley County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hemphill County, TX, Hutchinson County, TX, Lipscomb County, TX, Ochiltree County, TX, Randall County, TX, Roberts County, TX, Wheeler County, TX

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 103 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 1.7 hours before the alert went out and 106 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 00:00Z on 2004-05-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2863 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 00:00Z on 2004-05-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 148 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2863 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-19 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1882 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
148 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
281 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
18.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

461 
ACUS11 KWNS 220141
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 220140 
KSZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-220315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0810
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0840 PM CDT FRI MAY 21 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN KS AND TX/OK PANHANDLES

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 240...

VALID 220140Z - 220315Z

THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL -- AND POSSIBLY ISOLD DAMAGING WINDS -- WILL
PERSIST WITH ONGOING SUPERCELLS/MULTICELLS ACROSS WRN KS AND ERN
TX/OK PANHANDLES FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO...CONTINUE REMAINING VALID
PORTIONS OF SEVERE WW 240.

LATEST MESOANALYSIS IN CONJUNCTION WITH 00Z DDC/AMA SOUNDINGS
SUGGESTS 2500-3500 J/KG MLCAPE REMAINS ACROSS PORTIONS OF WRN KS AND
ERN OK/TX PANHANDLES AHEAD OF DRYLINE. SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER SHEAR
/AROUND 40 KTS/ WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT ORGANIZED STORMS/SUPERCELLS
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...WITH MAIN THREAT OF LARGE HAIL OWING TO
VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS.

WITH TIME...LOSS OF DIABATIC HEATING/SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY IS
EXPECTED TO LEAD TO DIMINISHING TREND OF SEVERE THREAT ACROSS WW
240...WITH EXPANSION/REISSUANCE OF WW NOT ANTICIPATED.

..GUYER.. 05/22/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...GID...DDC...GLD...AMA...

34820214 38220027 39529978 39509864 34810013

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 21, 7:40 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCCloud, Jewell, Mitchell, Osborne, Phillips, Republic and 2 more5 hr
May 21, 10:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCloud, Jewell, Mitchell, Osborne, Phillips, Republic and 2 more89 min
May 22, 1:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne2 hr
May 22, 2:00 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCCheyenne, Rawlins, Sherman, Thomas6 hr
May 22, 3:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne86 min
May 22, 3:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Barton, Clark, Clay, Cloud, Comanche and 20 more83 min
May 22, 5:50 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBarton, Clay, Cloud, Dickinson, Ellsworth, Geary and 13 more5 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2004Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2004Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2004Every mesoscale discussion in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.