Alert archive / South Dakota / Mesoscale Discussions in 2004

Mesoscale Discussion 656

May 11, 20044 counties in Nebraska; 14 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 11, 2004, 4:04 PM MDT for 4 counties in Nebraska; 14 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 116 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 11, 2004, 4:04 PM MDT (22:04 UTC)
Expired
May 11, 2004, 6:00 PM MDT
In force
116 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Cherry County, NE, Grant County, NE, Hooker County, NE, Keya Paha County, NE, Bennett County, SD, Brule County, SD, Buffalo County, SD, Faulk County, SD, Hand County, SD, Hughes County, SD, Hyde County, SD, Jackson County, SD, Jones County, SD, Lyman County, SD, Mellette County, SD, Sully County, SD, Todd County, SD, Tripp County, SD

The radar

The North Platte radar (KLNX), 162 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Rapid City, SD (KUNR), launched 12:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 184 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2004-05-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 650 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2004-05-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 73 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
650 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-270 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1233 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
73 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
356 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

541 
ACUS11 KWNS 112204
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 112204 
SDZ000-NEZ000-120000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0656
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0504 PM CDT TUE MAY 11 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL SD INTO W CNTRL NEB

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 184...

VALID 112204Z - 120000Z

CONTINUE REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW.

DEVELOPMENT OF INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS IS ONGOING NEAR DEEP SURFACE
LOW ...NORTHWEST OF PIERRE SD...SOUTHWARD ALONG DRY LINE INTO AREAS
EAST OF ALLIANCE NEB...WHERE CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN
REACHED WITH STRONG HEATING.  MEAN MIXED LAYER CAPE IN EXCESS OF
2000 J/KG WILL REMAIN SUPPORTIVE OF INTENSE UPDRAFTS WITH LARGE HAIL
IN MODERATELY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. 
LARGE BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPERATURE/DEW POINT SPREADS WILL ALSO
CONTRIBUTE TO POTENTIAL FOR A FEW DAMAGING DOWNBURSTS.

RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF UPPER JET LIFTING OUT OF LARGE-SCALE TROUGH
OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST MAY ENHANCE CONVECTION NEXT FEW HOURS. 
EVOLUTION OF LARGE MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM APPEARS LIKELY
SOUTHEAST OF SURFACE LOW BY THE 12/00-02Z TIME FRAME...ACROSS PIERRE
AND SURROUNDING AREAS. THIS SHOULD BE ACCOMPANIED BY SUBSTANTIAL
SURFACE COLD POOL/MESO HIGH.  INCREASE IN POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING
WINDS SHOULD MAINLY BE IN AREAS EAST/SOUTH OF PIERRE ...AS SHARP
SURFACE COLD FRONT BEGINS TO SURGE SOUTHWARD INTO WESTERN/CENTRAL
SOUTH DAKOTA.

..KERR.. 05/11/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FSD...ABR...LBF...UNR...

42140235 43020194 43830166 44510059 44820017 45089983
45099915 44079875 42579983 41740086 41860190

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 10, 7:06 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanner, Box Butte, Cheyenne, Dawes, Deuel, Garden and 5 more114 min
May 10, 7:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBanner, Kimball, Scotts Bluff5 hr
May 10, 9:19 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanner, Scotts Bluff, Sioux116 min
May 10, 9:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArthur, Box Butte, Chase, Cheyenne, Custer, Dawes and 21 more4 hr
May 11, 12:27 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArthur, Brown, Cherry, Grant, Hooker, Keya Paha and 3 more63 min
May 11, 12:32 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherry, Dawes, Sheridan118 min
May 11, 12:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArthur, Cherry, Garden, Grant, Hooker, Keith and 4 more5 hr
May 11, 1:00 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChase, Dundy, Hayes, Hitchcock2 hr
May 11, 1:40 PM MDTTornado WatchSPCChase, Dawson, Dundy, Frontier, Furnas, Gosper and 5 more6 hr
May 11, 4:20 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFrontier, Hayes, Hitchcock, Lincoln, Red Willow115 min
May 11, 5:40 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAntelope, Blaine, Boyd, Brown, Holt, Keya Paha and 5 more6 hr
May 11, 2:55 PM MDTTornado WatchSPCBeadle, Brown, Clark, Codington, Day, Deuel and 10 more5 hr
May 11, 4:37 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Day, Edmunds, McPherson, Marshall, Roberts113 min
May 11, 5:53 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAurora, Beadle, Brule, Buffalo, Charles Mix, Clark and 18 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in South Dakota, 2004Mesoscale Discussions in Nebraska, 2004Every mesoscale discussion in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.