Alert archive / New York / Mesoscale Discussions in 2004

Mesoscale Discussion 50

January 27, 20047 counties in New York; Trumbull County, Ohio; 4 counties in Pennsylvania

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jan 27, 2004, 3:36 AM EST for 7 counties in New York; Trumbull County, Ohio; 4 counties in Pennsylvania. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 27, 2004, 3:36 AM EST (08:36 UTC)
Expired
Jan 27, 2004, 7:30 AM EST
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Cattaraugus County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Erie County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Niagara County, NY, Orleans County, NY, Wyoming County, NY, Trumbull County, OH, Crawford County, PA, Erie County, PA, Mercer County, PA, Warren County, PA

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 00:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 328 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2004-01-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 19 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2004-01-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 432 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
19 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
334 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
62 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
432 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
505 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 27, 10:01 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Cattaraugus, Erie, Genesee, Livingston, Steuben and 1 more4 hr
Jan 27, 5:28 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBronx, Dutchess, Kings, Nassau, New York, Orange and 7 more5 hr
Jan 27, 3:08 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Auglaize, Darke, Defiance, Fulton, Hancock and 8 more5 hr
Jan 27, 7:40 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarroll, Columbiana, Geauga, Harrison, Jefferson, Mahoning and 2 more4 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in New York, 2004Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2004Mesoscale Discussions in Ohio, 2004Every mesoscale discussion in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.