Alert archive / Mississippi / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 14, NWS Jackson, MS

February 5, 2004Copiah County, Simpson County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Feb 5, 2004, 10:06 AM CST for Copiah County, Simpson County, Mississippi. It was in force for 39 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Feb 5, 2004, 10:06 AM CST (16:06 UTC)
Expired: Feb 5, 2004, 10:45 AM CST
In force: 39 min
Issued by: NWS Jackson, MS
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Copiah County, MS, Simpson County, MS

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Feb 5, 5:40 AM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 4.1 hours before the alert went out and 40 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 585 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 62 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 547 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 845 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 1.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

387 
WUUS54 KJAN 051606
SVRJAN
MSC029-127-051645-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1005 AM CST THU FEB 5 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SIMPSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
  EASTERN COPIAH COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI

* UNTIL 1045 AM CST

* AT 1005 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CRYSTAL SPRINGS...MOVING
  NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

* THIS STORM WILL BE HOPEWELL BY 1010 AM
  NEAR HARRISVILLE BY 1020 AM.

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT. TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP SUDDENLY
FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

DAMAGING WINDS AND TORRENTIAL RAINS ARE LIKELY. GO INSIDE A STURDY
BUILDING AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

WINDS UP TO 60 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3199 9040 3184 9028 3191 8997 3203 8985
          3205 9015

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Feb 5, 5:30 AM CST, 4 hours 36 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 5, 5:30 AM CST, 4 hours 36 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
530 AM CST THU FEB 5 2004

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY) BUSY WEATHER TODAY AS HEAVY
RAIN DEVELOPS OVER THE REGION. FFA REMAINS UP TODAY ACROSS WHOLE
AREA. FLASH FLOODING HAS ALREADY BEEN REPORTED IN SEVERAL OF OUR
LOUISIANA PARISHES AS OVER 2 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN OVERNIGHT.
ADDITIONAL 2 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY...ESPECIALLY NORTH
OF INTERSTATE 20. LATEST SFC ANALYSIS HAS A TROUGH FROM SOUTHWEST
LOUISIANA NOSING NORTHEAST INTO THE DELTA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
CONTINUE TO FIRE ALONG THE TROUGH AND TRAIN ACROSS OUR WESTERN CWA.
SOUTH OF THE TROUGH STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS PROMPTED THE ISSUANCE OF
A LAKE WIND ADVISORY TODAY. A CENTER OF LOW PRESSURE WILL RIDE UP
THE TROUGH TODAY AND DRAG A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION LATER
TONIGHT. STRONG DYNAMICS AND DECENT INSTABILITY WILL LEAD TO THE
POSSIBILITY OF A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN CWA
TODAY AS WELL. THERE WILL STILL BE A FEW SHOWERS IN THE SOUTHEAST AT
DAY BREAK FRIDAY BUT A MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS WILL FILTER
INTO THE REGION AND END THE RAIN DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. THE UPPER
TROUGH AXIS WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE REGION SATURDAY AND HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD IN SFC AND ALOFT PROVIDING A DRY WEEKEND...

&&

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...LITTLE CHANGES MADE TO
FCST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON  65 47 51 31 / 100 100 30 05
MERIDIAN 65 48 53 32 / 100 100 30 05

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...FLOOD WATCH TODAY. LAKE WIND ADVISORY TODAY EAST AND SOUTH.
LA...FLOOD WATCH TODAY.
AR...FLOOD WATCH TODAY.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 5, 6:44 AM CST, 3 hours 22 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
0644 AM CST THU FEB 05 2004

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
061244-
ADAMS-ASHLEY-ATTALA-BOLIVAR-CARROLL-CATAHOULA-CHICOT-CHOCTAW-
CLAIBORNE-CLARKE-CLAY-CONCORDIA-COPIAH-COVINGTON-EAST CARROLL-
FORREST-FRANKLIN LA-FRANKLIN MS-GRENADA-HINDS-HOLMES-HUMPHREYS-
ISSAQUENA-JASPER-JEFFERSON-JEFFERSON DAVIS-JONES-KEMPER-LAMAR-
LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEAKE-LEFLORE-LINCOLN-LOWNDES-MADISON LA-
MADISON MS-MARION-MONTGOMERY-MOREHOUSE-NESHOBA-NEWTON-NOXUBEE-
OKTIBBEHA-RANKIN-RICHLAND-SCOTT-SHARKEY-SIMPSON-SMITH-SUNFLOWER-
TENSAS-WARREN-WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WEST CARROLL-WINSTON-YAZOO-
0644 AM CST THU FEB 05 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

...THUNDERSTORMS...
SCATTERED  SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE  ACROSS MOST OF
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MOST OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...GENERALLY
ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF	LINE FROM WINNSBORO LOUISIANA TO SILVER
CITY TO GREENWOOD MISSISSIPPI. ISOLATED  SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS
EXPECTED NORTHWEST OF THIS LINE. THE SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. THE SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE
CONFINED TO THE SOUTHEAST A LINE FROM QUITMAN TO COLUMBIA FOR
THIS EVENING.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER  CENTRAL LOUISIANA WILL MOVE INTO
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
THIS MORNING...WHICH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON.
THE SEVERE STORMS WILL HAVE THE CAPABILITY OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS OF 60 TO 70 MILES AN HOUR...LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COMING FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL BRING A
WARM FRONT THROUGH THE REGION...WHICH WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A COLD
FRONT. RICH GULF MOISTURE AND LOW LEVEL INSTABILITY WILL FAVOR
THE POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE COLD
FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT ENDING THE RAIN FROM
THE WEST.

...FLOODING...
WIDESPREAD RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO  DEVELOP FROM
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST OVER THE OUTLOOK AREA TODAY AND WILL END
FROM THE WEST THIS EVENING.  HEAVY PERSISTENT RAINS SHOULD AFFECT
AREAS MAINLY NORTHWEST OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE  EARLY THIS MORNING
AND THEN SPREAD SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REST OF THE REGION BY THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS HAS PROMPTED A FLOOD WATCH FOR THE REGION FOR
TODAY.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES HAVE ALREADY FALLEN...GENERALLY
NORTHWEST OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN
BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THIS EVENING.

THESE RAINS COMBINED WITH DAMP	SOILS...WILL PRODUCE LARGER
RUNOFF WITH PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS AND FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS LIKELY GOING INTO TONIGHT. ALSO SOME OF OUR RIVERS
IN THE REGION ARE IN RIVER FLOOD CONDITION.
ABUNDANT GULF MOISTURE FEEDING NORTHWARD IN CONJUNCTION WITH
STRONG UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL ENHANCE THE RAINFALL
RATES...ESPECIALLY WHERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVE REPEATEDLY ACROSS THE
SAME LOCATION FOR SEVERAL HOURS.

...NON PRECIPITATION...
A LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE
PARKWAY.  AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CAUSE BREEZY CONDITIONS OF
15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. GUSTY WINDS WILL LEAD TO ROUGH
 WATERS.  DRIVERS OF VANS...TRAILERS...AND OTHER HIGH-PROFILE
VEHICLES SHOULD BE ON ALERT FOR GUSTY WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
PERSONNEL...IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS...WILL BE
NEEDED FOR TODAY INTO THIS EVENING.  OTHERWISE...ACTIVATION IS
NOT ANTICIPATED  FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 5, 8:57 AM CST, 1 hour 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
857 AM CST THU FEB 05 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0825 AM     FLASH FLOOD      NATCHEZ                 31.55N 91.39W
02/05/2004                   ADAMS              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            3.09 INCHES OF RAIN. SEVERE STREET FLOODING OCCURRING.

&&

MRW/ARC

Local storm report, Feb 5, 9:05 AM CST, 1 hour 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
905 AM CST THU FEB 05 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 AM     FLASH FLOOD      VIDALIA                 31.57N 91.44W
02/05/2004                   CONCORDIA          LA   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            STREET FLOODING IN VIDALIA

&&

MRW/ARC

Local storm report, Feb 5, 9:10 AM CST, 56 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
910 AM CST THU FEB 05 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0905 AM     FLASH FLOOD      FAYETEE                 31.71N 91.06W
02/05/2004                   JEFFERSON          MS   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            STREET FLOODING IN FAYETTE

&&

MRW/ARC

Local storm report, Feb 5, 9:10 AM CST, 56 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED CITY NAME...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
910 AM CST THU FEB 05 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0905 AM     FLASH FLOOD      FAYETTE                 31.71N 91.06W
02/05/2004                   JEFFERSON          MS   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            STREET FLOODING IN FAYETTE

&&

MRW/ARC

Local storm report, Feb 5, 9:33 AM CST, 33 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
933 AM CST THU FEB 05 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0925 AM     FLASH FLOOD      CRYSTAL SPRINGS         31.99N 90.36W
02/05/2004                   COPIAH             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LOCALIZED STREET FLOODING IN HAZLEHURST AND CRYSTAL
            SPRINGS

&&

MRW/ARC

Local storm report, Feb 5, 9:36 AM CST, 30 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
936 AM CST THU FEB 05 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0933 AM     FLASH FLOOD      JACKSON                 32.30N 90.19W
02/05/2004                   HINDS              MS   AMATEUR RADIO

            SIX INCHES OF WATER AT NORTHSIDE DR. AND SUNSET DR. ROAD
            IMPASSABLE.

&&

MRW/ARC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Feb 5, 2:08 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Issaquena	3 hr
Feb 5, 2:53 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Attala, Holmes, Madison, Yazoo	42 min
Feb 5, 6:40 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Adams	60 min
Feb 5, 7:11 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Franklin, Jefferson	59 min
Feb 5, 7:51 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Adams	6 hr
Feb 5, 8:05 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Adams, Franklin, Jefferson	60 min
Feb 5, 8:08 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Copiah, Lincoln	57 min
Feb 5, 8:23 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Copiah, Lincoln	57 min
Feb 5, 8:31 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Madison	39 min
Feb 5, 8:40 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Copiah, Franklin, Jefferson, Lincoln	6 hr
Feb 5, 8:56 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Simpson	59 min
Feb 5, 9:06 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Franklin	29 min
Feb 5, 9:07 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Jefferson	28 min
Feb 5, 9:14 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Hinds, Rankin	6 hr
Feb 5, 9:16 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Rankin	59 min
Feb 5, 9:20 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Copiah	45 min
Feb 5, 9:26 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Lincoln	19 min
Feb 5, 10:04 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Simpson	6 hr
Feb 5, 10:20 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Rankin, Simpson	50 min
Feb 5, 10:26 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Scott, Smith	6 hr
Feb 5, 10:56 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Lincoln	44 min
Feb 5, 11:05 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Scott, Smith	45 min
Feb 5, 11:15 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Copiah	45 min
Feb 5, 11:31 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Simpson	44 min
Feb 5, 11:41 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Rankin, Smith	44 min
Feb 5, 12:01 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Neshoba	3 hr
Feb 5, 12:18 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Simpson	32 min
Feb 5, 12:20 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Adams	6 hr
Feb 5, 12:26 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Smith	39 min
Feb 5, 12:41 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Newton	4 hr
Feb 5, 1:00 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Jasper, Newton	45 min
Feb 5, 1:01 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Jefferson Davis, Lawrence, Simpson	59 min
Feb 5, 1:05 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Jasper, Newton	55 min
Feb 5, 1:07 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Noxubee	48 min
Feb 5, 1:24 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Lauderdale	66 min
Feb 5, 1:37 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Smith	58 min
Feb 5, 2:01 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Smith	39 min
Feb 5, 2:03 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Smith	37 min
Feb 5, 2:14 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Lawrence	3 hr
Feb 5, 2:22 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Jasper	43 min
Feb 5, 2:58 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Copiah, Lincoln, Rankin, Simpson	5 hr
Feb 5, 3:00 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Neshoba	5 hr
Feb 5, 3:26 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Kemper, Noxubee	6 hr
Feb 5, 3:32 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Newton	43 min
Feb 5, 3:56 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Lauderdale, Newton	59 min
Feb 5, 4:07 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Jasper, Smith	58 min
Feb 5, 4:16 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Kemper	44 min
Feb 5, 4:26 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Covington, Jasper, Smith	4 hr
Feb 5, 4:36 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Jefferson Davis	4 hr
Feb 5, 4:56 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Lauderdale	49 min
Feb 5, 5:00 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Kemper	30 min
Feb 5, 5:05 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Lauderdale, Newton	4 hr
Feb 5, 5:16 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Lawrence	4 hr
Feb 5, 5:59 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Lauderdale	36 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Mississippi, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.