Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 151, NWS Hastings, NE

June 12, 2004Jewell County, Kansas

NWS Hastings, NE issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 12, 2004, 6:21 PM CDT for Jewell County, Kansas. It was in force for 39 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jun 12, 2004, 6:21 PM CDT (23:21 UTC)
Expired: Jun 12, 2004, 7:00 PM CDT
In force: 39 min
Issued by: NWS Hastings, NE
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Jewell County, KS

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 56 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jun 12, 6:40 PM CDT	HAIL 0.75	Lovewell State Park, KS
Jun 12, 6:47 PM CDT	HAIL 0.88	4 Nw Republic, KS

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 12, 11:45 AM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr
Jun 12, 6:15 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 221 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 232 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -305 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2084 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 13 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 18 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: -0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KGID 122321
SVRGID
KSC089-130000-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
621 PM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  JEWELL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS

* UNTIL 700 PM CDT

* AT 620 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE DAMAGING HAIL UP TO
  GOLF BALL SIZE.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR WEBBER...OR ABOUT 35
  MILES NORTHWEST OF CONCORDIA...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  FORMOSO AROUND 630 PM CDT...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

LAT...LON 4000 9841 3971 9849 3965 9790 3998 9761

$$

AWJ

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 12, 3:00 PM CDT, 3 hours 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 12, 3:00 PM CDT, 3 hours 21 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE ...CORRECT ISSUE TIME...
300 PM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY. MAIN INTEREST DURING THIS
TIME INCLUDES PRECIPITATION CHANCES THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING AND
MONDAY NIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN ALONG THE WARM FRONT AND DRY LINE
THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING AS SHORT WAVE MOVES INTO THE AREA. AS THE
SHORT WAVE MOVES OFF TO THE EAST...THE PRECIPITATION WILL END
OVERNIGHT FOR MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA.

THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL WAVER ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND BRING ANOTHER CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION TO THE
AREA. THE PRECIPITATION WILL LINGER INTO THE EVENING SUNDAY. ANOTHER
SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE
UPPER LEVEL WAVE IS WEAKER...BUT THERE IS BETTER MOISTURE.

MADE ONLY A FEW MINOR CHANGES TO THE TEMPERATURES DURING THIS
PERIOD. GREATEST CONCERN IS FOR HIGHS ON SUNDAY SINCE MODELS HANDLE
THE STRENGTH AND LOCATION OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY DIFFERENTLY. ETA
IS STRONGER AND A LITTLE MORE EAST WHILE THE GFS IS WEAKER AND
SLIGHTLY FURTHER WEST. HAVE FOLLOWED CLOSER TO THE ETA AND WARMED
TEMPERATURES A LITTLE FOR SUNDAY. DID NOT MAKE ANY OTHER CHANGES TO
THE TEMPERATURES.

.LONG TERM...FOR TUESDAY AND BEYOND MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE STILL
SHOWING LITTLE CONSISTENCY IN PATTERN EVOLUTION FOR THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK BUT THEN CONVERGE ON A SIMILAR SOLUTION BY NEXT WEEKEND.
UPPER PATTERN IS SHOWN TO EVOLVE FROM A ZONAL FLOW REGIME TO A
NORTHWEST FLOW PATTERN AS A RESULT OF AN AMPLIFYING RIDGE OVER THE
WESTERN CONUS BY NEXT SATURDAY.  HOWEVER...HOW THE MODELS GET THERE
IS QUITE A BIT DIFFERENT AS GFS ATTEMPTS TO SLIDE A HEALTHY NORTHERN
STREAM WAVE ACROSS AREA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY THEN KEEPS AREA UNDER
NORTHWEST FLOW AS THE UPPER RIDGE BUILDS IN THE WEST.  IN CONTRAST
THE ECMWF ESSENTIALLY AMPLIFIES UPPER RIDGE RIDGE IN THE WEST AND
SLOWLY TAKES UPPER FLOW TO THE NORTHWEST WITH LITTLE SIGN OF A
STRONG WAVE MOVING ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE MID WEEK TIME
PERIOD.  AT THIS POINT HAVE LITTLE CONFIDENCE IN EITHER SOLUTION BUT
IT APPEARS AS THOUGH REGION WILL SEE A CHANCE OF PRECIP THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AND THEN DRY FOR THE REST OF WEEK AS DRIER AIR PUSHES INTO
AREA.  WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS THROUGH MID
WEEK THEN AT OR BELOW FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.

&&

JCB/AWJ

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 12, 11:58 AM CDT, 6 hours 23 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1158 AM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

KSZ005-017-NEZ039>041-046>048-060>062-072>074-082>084-131200-
BUFFALO-DAWSON-FRANKLIN-FURNAS-GOSPER-GREELEY-HALL-HARLAN-HOWARD-
KEARNEY-MERRICK-NANCE-PHELPS-PHILLIPS-ROOKS-SHERMAN-VALLEY-
1158 AM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

CORRECTED MISSING WORD

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA
AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER...NORTH AND WEST OF A LINE
FROM FULLERTON NEBRASKA...TO HASTINGS...TO OSBORNE KANSAS. WARM
MOIST AIR MOVING INTO THE AREA BEHIND A WARM FRONT WILL INTERACT
WITH THE FRONT TO PRODUCE AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.  WITH
SUFFICIENT WIND SHEAR...THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE DURING
THE AFTERNOON HOURS...WITH LARGE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS
AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH BEING THE MAIN THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE WILL BE CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AND MONDAY.  THE
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FURTHER MONITORED FOR ANY SEVERE
WEATHER POTENTIAL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION...LOG ONTO THE HASTINGS NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE WEB-PAGE AT WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GID

KSZ006-007-018-019-NEZ049-063-064-075>077-085>087-131200-
ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-HAMILTON-JEWELL-MITCHELL-NUCKOLLS-OSBORNE-POLK-
SMITH-THAYER-WEBSTER-YORK-
1158 AM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

CORRECTED MISSING WORD

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA
AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM...

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP IN THE VICINITY OF A WARM FRONT AND DRY
LINE THIS AFTERNOON. THE GREATEST CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE
TO THE EAST OF A LINE FROM FULLERTON NEBRASKA...TO HASTINGS...TO
OSBORNE KANSAS. WIND SHEAR IN THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE SUFFICIENT
TO PRODUCE TORNADOES...HAIL TO BASEBALL SIZE AND WINDS OVER 60 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE WILL BE CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY.  THE
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FURTHER MONITORED FOR ANY SEVERE
WEATHER POTENTIAL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 2 PM AND 10 PM THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION...LOG ONTO THE HASTINGS NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE WEB-PAGE AT WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GID

LAWRENCE/JCB

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 12, 4:36 PM CDT, 1 hour 45 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
436 PM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0432 PM     HAIL             6 ESE CLAY CENTER       40.49N 97.95W
06/12/2004  2.00 INCH        CLAY               NE   CO-OP OBSERVER

            HAIL RANGED IN SIZE FROM 3/4 INCH TO 2 INCHES IN
            DIAMETER.

&&

LAWRENCE

Local storm report, Jun 12, 4:44 PM CDT, 1 hour 37 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
444 PM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0443 PM     HAIL             FRANKLIN                40.10N 98.95W
06/12/2004  1.00 INCH        FRANKLIN           NE   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

LAWRENCE

Local storm report, Jun 12, 4:50 PM CDT, 1 hour 31 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
450 PM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0420 PM     HAIL             5 W MCCOOL JUNCTION     40.74N 97.69W
06/12/2004  1.00 INCH        YORK               NE   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

LAWRENCE

Local storm report, Jun 12, 5:21 PM CDT, 1 hour before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
521 PM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0520 PM     FLASH FLOOD      HARVARD                 40.62N 98.10W
06/12/2004                   CLAY               NE   PUBLIC

            RURAL ROADS SOUTHEAST OF HARVARD REPORTED UNDERWATER.
            RAINFALL RATES OF 1-2 INCHES PER HOUR.

&&

LAWRENCE

Local storm report, Jun 12, 5:49 PM CDT, 32 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
549 PM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     HEAVY RAIN       SUTTON                  40.61N 97.86W
06/12/2004  3.20 INCH        CLAY               NE   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            RAINFALL AMOUNT OCCURRED IN JUST ONE HOUR. WATER REPORTED
            OVER HIGHWAY 6 FOUR MILES NORTH OF SUTTON.

&&

LAWRENCE

Special weather statement, Jun 12, 6:19 PM CDT, 2 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
619 PM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

NEZ049-063-064-075>077-085>087-130000-
ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-HAMILTON-NUCKOLLS-POLK-THAYER-WEBSTER-YORK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...SUPERIOR...YORK
619 PM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

...TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 446 HAS BEEN CANCELED...

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 446 HAS BEEN CANCELED FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES
IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

POLK     YORK     HAMILTON     ADAMS     CLAY     FILLMORE
WEBSTER  NUCKOLLS THAYER

KSZ006-007-018-019-130000-
JEWELL-MITCHELL-OSBORNE-SMITH-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BELOIT
619 PM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

...NEW TORNADO WATCH FOR A PART OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 453 IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM FOR SMITH...
JEWELL...OSBORNE...AND MITCHELL COUNTIES. THIS WATCH REPLACES THE
PREVIOUS WATCH ISSUED FOR THE AREA.

ONCE AGAIN...A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN POSTED FOR SMITH...JEWELL...
OSBORNE...AND MITCHELL COUNTIES UNTIL 11 PM.

NOAA/NWS/MORITZ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Hastings, NE issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 12, 9:53 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Jewell	52 min
Jun 12, 6:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Jewell	17 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.