Flash Flood Warning 395, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
929 PM CST SUN NOV 21 2004

.UPDATE...
HEAVY RAINS REMAIN CONCENTRATED ALONG AND NORTH OF THE SFC TROUGH.
WATER VAPOR IMAGES SHOW A STRONG VORT MAX ROTATING SOUTH ALONG THE
BACK END OF THE UPPER LOW. THIS IS PROGGED TO ARRIVE MONDAY
AFTERNOON WHEN THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL TAKE PRIORITY.
LATEST VAD WIND PROFILE FROM KEWX SHOWS THE LOWER LEVEL WINDS
DECOUPLING AND THE LOW LEVEL MOIST INFLOW STRENGTHENING IN THE
VICINITY OF SAN ANTONIO. THE THREAT OF TRAINING ECHOES TONIGHT HAS
SHIFTED NORTHWEST AND WILL MAINLY AFFECT THE COUNTIES OVER THE
EASTERN HILL COUNTRY AND ALONG THE INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR.
OTHERWISE DO NOT SEE ANY CHANGES TO THE ONGOING FORECAST AT THIS
TIME.

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FFA THROUGH 4 PM MONDAY ALONG AND
EAST OF A MOUNTAIN HOME TO PEARSALL LINE.

&&

06/02/PM

TXZ171>173-188-190>194-205>209-221>225-220230-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
713 PM CST SUN NOV 21 2004

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR CALDWELL AND BASTROP COUNTIES WILL BE
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 715 PM...

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FOR LEE...FAYETTE...LAVACA...
GONZALES...GUADALUPE...AND KARNES COUNTIES UNTIL 845 PM...

...URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR COMAL...BEXAR AND
WILSON COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM...

...A FLOOD WATCH FOR FLASH FLOODING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 400 PM
MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR MUCH OF THE HILL COUNTRY AND ALL OF SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS...

EARLY THIS EVENING...THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING IS BECOMING
FOCUSED GENERALLY ALONG AND 30 MILES EITHER SIDE OF I-10 FROM SAN
ANTONIO TO FLATONIA. EXPECT NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TRAINING TO THE EAST NORTHEAST AND BACK-BUILDING SLIGHTLY WESTWARD
TOWARD SAN ANTONIO. LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY 8 PM WITH SOME AREAS
RECEIVING TOTALS UP TO 6 INCHES SINCE EARLY SATURDAY.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
750 PM CST SUN NOV 21 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0210 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 10 SE BASTROP           30.01N 97.19W
11/21/2004                   BASTROP            TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS TREES AND A SHED BLOWN DOWN IN THE AREA.

&&

PM

TXZ171>173-188-190>194-205>209-221>225-220230-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
847 PM CST SUN NOV 21 2004

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR WILLIAMSON AND LEE COUNTIES IS IN
EFFECT TIL 1045 PM...

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT TIL 915 PM FOR BASTROP
COUNTY...

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR LEE...FAYETTE...LAVACA...GONZALES...
GUADALUPE...AND KARNES COUNTIES HAVE EXPIRED...

...A FLOOD WATCH FOR FLASH FLOODING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 400 PM
MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR MUCH OF THE HILL COUNTRY AND ALL OF SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS...

LATE THIS EVENING...THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES ACROSS
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS AS THUNDERSTORMS MOVE
NORTHEAST INTO BASTROP..WILLIAMSON AND LEE COUNTIES. AN ADDITIONAL
INCH OF RAIN MAY FALL ACROSS THESE AREAS IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
SATURATED SOILS INN THESE AREAS WILL LEAD TO RAPID RUNOFF AND
RESULTANT FLOODING.

TXZ171>173-188-190>194-205>209-221>225-220430-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
950 PM CST SUN NOV 21 2004

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR WILLIAMSON AND LEE COUNTIES IS IN
EFFECT TIL 1045 PM...

...A FLOOD WATCH FOR FLASH FLOODING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 400 PM
MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR MUCH OF THE HILL COUNTRY AND ALL OF SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS...

LATE THIS EVENING...THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES ACROSS
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS AS THUNDERSTORMS MOVE
NORTHEAST ACROSS WILLIAMSON AND LEE COUNTIES. AN ADDITIONAL INCH OF
RAIN MAY FALL ACROSS THESE AREAS IN THE NEXT HOUR. SATURATED SOILS
IN THESE AREAS WILL LEAD TO RAPID RUNOFF AND RESULTANT FLOODING.

TXZ171>173-188-190>194-205>209-221>225-220530-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
952 PM CST SUN NOV 21 2004

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR WILLIAMSON AND LEE COUNTIES HAS
EXPIRED...

...A FLOOD WATCH FOR FLASH FLOODING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 400 PM
MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR MUCH OF THE HILL COUNTRY AND ALL OF SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS...

LATE THIS EVENING...SIGNIFICANT RAINS HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST INTO EAST
CENTRAL TEXAS...HOWEVER..THE THREAT OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS
POSSIBLE OVER THE WATCH AREA LATE TONIGHT AS DISTURBANCES CONTINUE
TO ENTER THE REGION FROM NORTHERN MEXICO. SATURATED SOILS OVER THE
EASTERN HALF OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS MAY LEAD TO RAPID RUNOFF WITH
ADDITIONAL FLOODING POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT.

TXZ171>173-188-190>194-205>209-221>225-220700-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1214 AM CST MON NOV 22 2004

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT TIL 245 AM FOR COMAL...HAYS...
TRAVIS AND WILLIAMSON COUNTIES...

...AN URBAN SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR BEXAR COUNTY TIL 2 AM...

...A FLOOD WATCH FOR FLASH FLOODING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 400 PM
MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR MUCH OF THE HILL COUNTRY AND ALL OF SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS...

EARLY THIS MORNING...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE INCREASING
ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS AS AN
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WAS BEGINNING TO COLLIDE WITH A MOIST
SOUTHEASTERLY GULF FLOW. THE THREAT OF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS
POSSIBLE OVER THE WATCH AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. SATURATED SOILS
OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS MAY LEAD TO RAPID
RUNOFF WITH ADDITIONAL FLOODING POSSIBLE DURING THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS.