Flash Flood Warning 203, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

000 
WGUS74 KEWX 290547
FFSSAT
TXC385-290730-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1242 AM CDT TUE JUN 29 2004

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 230 AM CDT FOR REAL
COUNTY...

AT 1236 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN.  THIS STORM WAS 
LOCATED 11 MILES NORTH OF LEAKEY...MOVING NORTH AT 5 MPH.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE 
WARNED AREA.

CAMPERS AND RIVER RECREATIONISTS ALONG THE NUECES...FRIO AND SABINAL 
RIVERS FROM THE HEADWATERS TO ABOVE UVALDE SHOULD LEAVE THE RIVERS 
AND MOVE AUTOS...RECREATIONAL VEHICLES...AND EQUIPMENT FROM THE
BANKS OF THE RIVERS IMMEDIATELY. 

FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. IT IS IMPORTANT TO KNOW WHERE
YOU ARE RELATIVE TO STREAMS...RIVERS...OR CREEKS WHICH CAN BECOME
KILLERS IN HEAVY RAINS. CAMPERS AND HIKERS SHOULD AVOID STREAMS OR
CREEKS.

LAT...LON 2964 10001 2964 9969 3008 9971 3007 9997

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
838 PM CDT MON JUN 28 2004

.UPDATE...ONLY CHANGES TO PREVIOUS FORECAST WERE TO UP THE
PROBABILITIES ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN COUNTIES DUE TO ONGOING
CONVECTION AND MOVEMENT (PROPAGATION). AFTERNOON HIGHS JUST
SOUTH OF THE ONGOING CONVECTION ALONG THE LOWER RIO GRANDE PLAINS
CLIMBED INTO THE MID 90S...WHICH WILL ADD ADDITIONAL FUEL TO KEEP
THESE STORMS GENERATING INTO THE LATE NIGHT HOURS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
MID AFTERNOON...THE FRANKENSTEIN MIX OF THE MID LATITUDES AND
TROPICS. RAINFALL TOTALS HAVE AVERAGED ANOTHER 1/2 TO 1 INCH SINCE 7
AM...WITH ISOLATED TOTALS ESTIMATED IN EXCESS OF 4 INCHES IN SOUTH
CENTRAL VAL VERDE COUNTY. EXPECT LITTLE CHANGE IN CONDITIONS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...AS UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE...MOIST GULF AIR...
WEAK STEERING WINDS...AND NUMEROUS OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES REMAIN OVER
TEXAS. THUS...WILL EXTEND THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH 4 PM
TUESDAY...WITH POSSIBILITY IT MAY GO INTO WEDNESDAY. EXPECT SIMILAR
AMOUNTS...ANOTHER 1-2 INCHES WIDESPREAD...WITH ISOLATED 4-6 INCHES
POSSIBLE BY 4 PM WEDNESDAY.

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER NORTHERN MEXICO ON THURSDAY AND
REMAINS MOSTLY IN PLACE THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND. NORTHWEST FLOW
AT MID AND UPPER LEVELS MAY ALLOW NOCTURNAL MCS TO MOVE DOWN INTO
CENTRAL TX...BUT THE MAIN EXPECTATION IS VERY LOW POP...SEA-BREEZE
ACTIVITY. IN OTHER WORDS...MORE TYPICAL JULY WEATHER. SIMILARLY...
TEMPS WILL MOVE UP INTO THE LOWER AND MID 90S BY FRIDAY...POSSIBLY
INTO THE MID AND UPPER 90S BY INDEPENDENCE DAY.

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FLASH FLOOD WATCH TIL 4 PM TUESDAY
AFTERNOON ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

&&

02/04

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
712 PM CDT MON JUN 28 2004

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-291100-
ATASCOSA-BANDERA-BASTROP-BEXAR-BLANCO-BURNET-CALDWELL-COMAL-DEWITT-
DIMMIT-EDWARDS-FAYETTE-FRIO-GILLESPIE-GONZALES-GUADALUPE-HAYS-KARNES-
KENDALL-KERR-KINNEY-LAVACA-LEE-LLANO-MAVERICK-MEDINA-REAL-TRAVIS-
UVALDE-VAL VERDE-WILLIAMSON-WILSON-ZAVALA-
712 PM CDT MON JUN 28 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS AND THE HILL
COUNTY HAS BEEN EXTENDED THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.  A VERY MOIST
AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE. A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCES WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TONIGHT. HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE FLOODING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE LIKELY WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS
OF UP TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL EXTEND THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE. HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE FLOODING
TUESDAY AND POSSIBLY INTO WEDNESDAY. THE WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED
TO CHANGE THURSDAY LEADING TO LOWER CHANCES OF RAINS FRIDAY INTO THE
FOURTH OF JULY WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
605 PM CDT MON JUN 28 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0538 PM     HAIL             DILLEY                  28.67N 99.17W
06/28/2004  1.00 INCH        FRIO               TX   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            PEA TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL, VERY STRONG WINDS

0538 PM     HAIL             ANDERSON MILL           30.45N 97.81W
06/28/2004  0.75 INCH        TRAVIS             TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

0530 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 SW AUSTIN             30.24N 97.82W
06/28/2004                   TRAVIS             TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            6-10 LARGE TREES DOWN IN OAK HILL

&&

JPB