Flash Flood Warning 114, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

000 
WGUS74 KEWX 090303
FFSSAT
TXC127-507-090445-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1003 PM CDT TUE JUN 8 2004

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 1145 PM CDT FOR DIMMIT AND
ZAVALA COUNTIES...

AT 1000 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING.  THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 10 MILES SOUTH OF COMETA TO 6
MILES WEST OF LA PRYOR TO 7 MILES NORTH OF BATESVILLE...OR ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 12 MILES WEST OF CARRIZO SPRINGS TO 6 MILES WEST
OF LA PRYOR TO 7 MILES NORTH OF BATESVILLE. THE THUNDERSTORMS WITH
EXCESSIVE RAIN WERE NEARLY STATIONARY.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO LOMA
VISTA...CRYSTAL CITY...CATARINA...CARRIZO SPRINGS...BIG WELLS AND
ASHERTON.

RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 4 INCHES WERE NOTED AND WILL CONTINUE FOR THE 
NEXT HOUR OR SO. 

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE
BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

LAT...LON 2894 10009 2827 10006 2830 9945 2909 9942

$$

000 
WGUS74 KEWX 090407
FFSSAT
TXC127-507-090445-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1108 PM CDT TUE JUN 8 2004

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 1145 PM CDT FOR DIMMIT AND
ZAVALA COUNTIES...

AT 1106 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING.  THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM COMETA TO 12 MILES NORTH OF
COMETA TO LA PRYOR...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES WEST OF
CRYSTAL CITY TO 13 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LA PRYOR TO LA PRYOR. THE
THUNDERSTORMS WITH EXCESSIVE RAIN WERE NEARLY STATIONARY.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO LOMA
VISTA...CRYSTAL CITY...CATARINA...CARRIZO SPRINGS...BIG WELLS...
BATESVILLE AND ASHERTON.

RAINFALL RATES WERE DECREASING...ALTHOUGH RUNOFF AND FLASH FLOODING 
WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT HALF HOUR OR SO. 

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE
BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

LAT...LON 2894 10009 2827 10006 2830 9945 2909 9942

$$

000 
WGUS74 KEWX 090446
FFSSAT
TXC127-507-090445-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1145 PM CDT TUE JUN 8 2004

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR DIMMIT COUNTY HAS EXPIRED...

THE RAINS OVER ZAVALA COUNTY HAVE DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY.  THE 
THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING HAS ENDING AND AS A RESULT...THE FLASH 
FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN LEFT TO EXPIRE. 

LAT...LON 2894 10009 2827 10006 2830 9945 2909 9942

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
300 PM CDT TUE JUN 8 2004

.DISCUSSION...
EARLY TO MID JUNE EFFICIENT RAIN MAKING PATTERN CONTINUES THIS
AFTERNOON...AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
RECENT RAINS AND MORE RAINS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY BODE WELL
TO CONTINUE FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TONIGHT TO 4 PM WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. WILL KEEP CONTINUED HIGH CHANCE OF RAIN FOR TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY.  EARLIER IN THE SPRING THE WESTERLIES CAME SOUTH FAR
ENOUGH...ALONG WITH FRONTS...TO SET OFF A SERIES OF RAIN EVENTS.  IN
MID MAY AS THIS STORM TRACK RETREATED NORTH...SO DID THE RAIN EVENTS
ALSO...AS THEY DECREASED. JUNE 2004 HAS RESTURNED THE RAINS...AS THE
WESTERLIES HAVE COME BACK FURTHER SOUTH AND LINKED WITH TROPICAL/SUB
TROPICAL WX SYSTEMS ALOFT TO THE S AND SW OF THE AREA.  RAINFALL SO
FAR AT AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IS CLOSE TO THE 10TH
WETTEST JUNE OF RECORD...5.19 INCHES IN JUNE OF 1951.  THE 10TH
WETTEST JUNES AT OTHER LOCALITONS INCLUDES AUSTIN MABRY 8.21
INCHES...SAN ANTONIO 7.87 INCHES AND DEL RIO 5.13 INCHES.

AT ANY RATE PROGRESSIVE TROF MOVING OVER THE WESTERN U.S...IS
FORECAST TO MOVE FROM THE ROCKIES TO THE WESTERN GREAT PLAINS FROM
WEDNESDAY TO THURSDAY.  AS THIS PROCESS OCCURS SOME LIFT FROM ANY
POSSIBLE WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM COMING ACROSS AREA ALOFT LINGERS.
COMPOSITE AVERAGE OF AREA POPS AND ENSEMBLE MEAN SHOWS CHANCE OF
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS FOR THURSDAY.  SLIGHT INSTABILITY WITH
DAYTIME HEATING MAY CAUSE ISOLATED TO WDLY SCATTERED SHOWERS
FRIDAY.

BY SATURDAY...ENSEMBLE MEAN AND ECMWF SHOW MAIN STORM TRACK GOING
NORTH...WITH MORE STABLE CONDITIONS.  BY SUNDAY AND MONDAY...WEAKNESS
IN HEIGHT FIELD EVOLVES AS S/W TROF TO NORTH MOVES NORTHEAST...
THEREFORE WILL SHOW SLIGHT CHC OF SHRA FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY.  ON
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK...WEAK SUBTROPICAL HIGH DEVELOPS
FROM THE WEST...THEREFORE WILL NOT MENTION ANY SHRA IN FORECAST FOR
THE MID PART OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              71  85  75  90 / 90  80  50  30
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  71  84  73  90 / 90  80  50  30
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           74  90  76  94 / 50  40  05  20
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       71  84  74  90 / 90  80  30  30

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THRU 4PM
WEDNESDAY JUNE 9TH.  TXZ171>173-185>194-203>209-218>225-228.

&&

08/02

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
515 AM CDT TUE JUN 8 2004

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-091100-
ATASCOSA-BANDERA-BASTROP-BEXAR-BLANCO-BURNET-CALDWELL-COMAL-DEWITT-
DIMMIT-EDWARDS-FAYETTE-FRIO-GILLESPIE-GONZALES-GUADALUPE-HAYS-KARNES-
KENDALL-KERR-KINNEY-LAVACA-LEE-LLANO-MAVERICK-MEDINA-REAL-TRAVIS-
UVALDE-VAL VERDE-WILLIAMSON-WILSON-ZAVALA-
515 AM CDT TUE JUN 8 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
A FLOOD WATCH FOR FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES THROUGH 4 PM CDT
THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR AND EASTWARD...
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF AUSTIN AND SAN ANTONIO.  A PLUME OF VERY
MOIST...TROPICAL AIR WILL INTERACT WITH UPPER AIR DISTURBANCES TO
TRIGGER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY. AN ADDITIONAL
1 TO 1.5 INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED IN THE WATCH AREA.  SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
THE TROPICAL MOISTURE PLUME SHOULD START TO MOVE EASTWARD AND AWAY
FROM SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS WEDNESDAY WITH A SIGNIFICANT DECREASE IN
SHOWER ACTIVITY EXPECTED BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.