Flash Flood Warning 11, NWS Quad Cities, IA

000 
WGUS73 KDVN 301402
FFSDVN
IAC163-ILC011-073-131-161-195-301900-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
900 AM CDT SUN MAY 30 2004

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 2 PM FOR...

  SCOTT COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL IOWA,
  WHITESIDE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ILLINOIS,
  ROCK ISLAND COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ILLINOIS,
  BUREAU COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS,
  HENRY COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ILLINOIS,
  MERCER COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ILLINOIS.

AS OF 9 AM...HEAVY RAINS HAVE SHIFTED EAST INTO ILLINOIS...EXTENDING 
FROM STERLING ROACK FALLS...TO PRINCETON...TO GALESBURG.  IT WILL 
TAKE SEVERAL HOURS FOR HIGH WATERS TO RECEDE.

HEAVY RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES HAS RESULTED IN RAPID RISES ON AREA 
CREEKS AND STREAMS.  IN ADDITION...THE ROCK RIVER IN MOLINE HAS 
RISEN RAPIDLY ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...AND IS ALSO RISING IN JOSLIN.  
CROW CREEK IN BETTENDORF IS RISING RAPIDLY.  

WATER HAS BEEN BEEN REPORTED COVERING NUMEROUS STREETS.  DO NOT 
DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD  TURN AROUND AND 
FIND ANOTHER ROUTE

IF YOU ARE CAMPING NEAR A STREAM...CREEK OR OTHER LOW-LYING AREA...
MOVE IMMEDIATELY TO HIGHER GROUND.


LAT...LON 4128 9108 4110 9095 4109 9060 4118 8989
          4132 8936 4155 8922 4193 8965 4194 9017
          4175 9018

$$

33

000 
WGUS73 KDVN 301710 RRA
FFSDVN
IAC163-ILC011-073-131-161-195-301900-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING...CORRECTED TIME
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1200 PM CDT SUN MAY 30 2004

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 2 PM FOR...

  SCOTT COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL IOWA,
  WHITESIDE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ILLINOIS,
  ROCK ISLAND COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ILLINOIS,
  BUREAU COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS,
  HENRY COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ILLINOIS,
  MERCER COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ILLINOIS.

AS OF NOON...HEAVY RAINS HAVE SHIFTED INTO EASTERN ILLINOIS. FLOOD 
WATERS ARE BEGINNING TO RECEDE.  ROADS ARE STILL WATER COVERED IN 
SPOTS AND MANY CREEKS ARE OUT OF THEIR BANKS.  

DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD  TURN AROUND 
AND FIND ANOTHER ROUTE

IF YOU ARE CAMPING NEAR A STREAM...CREEK OR OTHER LOW-LYING AREA...
MOVE IMMEDIATELY TO HIGHER GROUND.


LAT...LON 4128 9108 4110 9095 4109 9060 4118 8989
          4132 8936 4155 8922 4193 8965 4194 9017
          4175 9018

$$

33

000 
WGUS73 KDVN 301830
FFSDVN
IAC163-ILC011-073-131-155-161-195-301900-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING...CORRECTED TIME
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
130 PM CDT SUN MAY 30 2004

THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 2 PM FOR...

  SCOTT COUNTY, IOWA, AND WHITESIDE, ROCK ISLAND, BUREAU, HENRY, PUTNAM,
  AND MERCER COUNTIES IN ILLINOIS. 

FLOOD WATERS ARE BEGINNING TO RECEDE.  ROADS MAY STILL BE WATER COVERED 
IN SPOTS... AND SOME ROADS HAVE WASHED OUT. DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE 
WATER COVERS THE ROAD  TURN AROUND AND FIND ANOTHER ROUTE

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING MAY CAUSE ADDITIONAL 
FLOODING. STAY ALERT FOR CHANGING CONDITIONS OR RISING WATER.


LAT...LON 4128 9108 4110 9095 4109 9060 4118 8989
          4132 8936 4155 8922 4193 8965 4194 9017
          4175 9018

$$

33

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
458 AM CDT SUN MAY 30 2004

.SYNOPSIS...
STRONG STORM SYSTEM TO AFFECT THE AREA TODAY AND THIS EVENING
BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN TO THE AREA.
SEVERE WEATHER ALSO POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH THE
MOST LIKELY AREA SOUTH AND EAST OF AN OTTUMWA...QUAD CITIES...TO LA
SALLE PERU LINE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

TODAY AND TONIGHT...VIGOROUS STORM SYSTEM TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
BRINGING MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
MODELS SUGGEST A POSSIBLE TRIPLE POINT TO MOVE THROUGH THE CWFA
DURING THE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS WHICH WOULD ENHANCE SEVERE
POTENTIAL. SEVERE POTENTIAL LOOKS TO BE MAINLY HAIL/HIGH WINDS BUT
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES LEFT OVER FROM THE EARLY MORNING CONVECTION MAY
ALLOW ISOLATED TORNADOES TO DEVELOP. AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT QUIETER
WX TO SETTLE OVER THE CWFA. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN STILL LOOKS ON TRACK
SO WILL KEEP CURRENT FLOOD WATCH GOING.

MONDAY THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY...STRONG CYCLONIC FLOW TO REMAIN ACROSS
THE REGION MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH UPPER LOW TO DRIFT
SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA. VORT MAXES RIPPLING ALONG IN THE FLOW TO
PRODUCE AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHRA WITH SOME TSRA POSSIBLE ON MONDAY.
QUIET WX THEN EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES
OVER THE AREA. MODELS DISAGREE SOMEWHAT ON DEVELOPMENT OF NEXT SYSTEM
FOR THE WEEKEND BUT STRONG WAA RETURN FLOW SHOULD ALLOW PRECIP TO
BREAK OUT FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. STRONG CYCLONIC FLOW ON SUNDAY
SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO ALLOW SCATTERED SHRA TO DEVELOP DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS.

&&

.DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH NOON.
IA...IAZ040>042-051>054
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.

&&

08

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
520 AM CDT SUN MAY 30 2004

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-311000-
BENTON IA-BUCHANAN IA-BUREAU IL-CARROLL IL-CEDAR IA-CLARK MO-
CLINTON IA-DELAWARE IA-DES MOINES IA-DUBUQUE IA-HANCOCK IL-
HENDERSON IL-HENRY IA-HENRY IL-IOWA IA-JACKSON IA-JEFFERSON IA-
JO DAVIESS IL-JOHNSON IA-JONES IA-KEOKUK IA-LEE IA-LINN IA-LOUISA IA-
MCDONOUGH IL-MERCER IL-MUSCATINE IA-PUTNAM IL-ROCK ISLAND IL-
SCOTLAND MO-SCOTT IA-STEPHENSON IL-VAN BUREN IA-WARREN IL-
WASHINGTON IA-WHITESIDE IL-
520 AM CDT SUN MAY 30 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST IOWA...
EAST CENTRAL IOWA...SOUTHEAST IOWA...NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...NORTH
CENTRAL ILLINOIS...WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT
BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL. RAIN WITH
EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY AND INTO THE
EVENING HOURS. GENERAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
WITH OVER 2 INCHES POSSIBLE WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS. DUE TO SATURATED
SOILS...RAINFALL OF THIS MAGNITUDE WOULD RAPIDLY RUN OFF INTO STREAMS
AND RIVERS AND CAUSE RENEWED FLOODING.

SUFFICIENT WIND SHEAR IS PRESENT TO ALLOW SEVERE STORMS TO DEVELOP
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. THE AREA MOST AT RISK
APPEARS TO BE SOUTH AND EAST OF A LINE FROM OTTUMWA...TO THE QUAD
CITIES...TO PERU ILLINOIS. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE
PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT...BUT ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

ALTHOUGH LESS CERTAIN...ANOTHER AREA OF SEVERE WEATHER MAY OCCUR
NORTH OF HIGHWAY 30. WIND SHEAR IN THIS AREA IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS AS AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE MOVES UP THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. IF THIS OCCURS...
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WOULD BE POSSIBLE WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE
PRIMARY THREAT.

IF SEVERE WEATHER DOES OCCUR...THE MOST LIKELY TIME PERIOD WOULD BE
FROM 3 PM UNTIL 10 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY

UNSETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH
AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS. THE MOST LIKELY TIME PERIOD FOR ANY
THUNDERSTORMS WOULD BE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO AFFECT THE REGION
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING
ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80.

08

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
709 AM CDT SUN MAY 30 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     FLASH FLOOD      5 S FAIRFIELD           40.93N 91.97W
05/30/2004                   JEFFERSON          IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            COUNTY ROAD H43 CLOSED BETWEEN CEDAR AND CRESSWOOD DUE TO
            HIGH WATER. SEVERAL OTHER ROADS REPORTED TO BE UNDER
            WATER THROUGHOUT THE COUNTY.

&&

MCCLURE