Flash Flood Warning 22, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

000 
WGUS74 KCRP 110130
FFSCRP
TXC025-175-297-110215-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
822 PM CDT SAT APR 10 2004


...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR LIVE OAK UNTIL 845 
PM CDT...
...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BEE COUNTY UNTIL    
900 PM CDT...
...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GOLIAD COUNTY UNTIL 
1000 PM CDT...


THE HEAVY RAIN HAS CURRENTLY DIMINISHED OVER LIVE OAK AND BEE 
COUNTIES AND THE WARNINGS WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. ADDITIONAL 
RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH 1000 PM AND ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY 
RAINFALL MAY CONTINUE TO POSE FLOODING PROBLEMS.

AT 822 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES ACROSS GOLIAD 
COUNTY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE AND ONE HALF INCHES PER HOUR WERE 
OCCURRING FROM NEAR THE CITY OF GOLIAD TO EAST OF BERCLAIR.   

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE 
DANGERS OF FLOODS AND FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS 
OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND TO EXCAPE FLOOD 
WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS 
RISING.

LAT...LON 2885 9735 2855 9718 2823 9763 2811 9829
          2859 9830

$$

TE

SOUTH TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
351 PM CDT SAT APR 10 2004

.UPDATED...ADDED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 63 TO ALL ZONES EXCEPT
NUECES AND KLEBERG COUNTIES.

&&

.SHORT-TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...SEVERE MCS LOCATED
ACROSS THE NRN PART OF THE EWX CWFA WL CONTINUE TO BECOME BETTER
ORGANIZED LATE THIS AFTN AND INTO THE FIRST PART OF TNT.  THIS MCS
IS EXPECTED TO PROPAGATE SEWD WITH TIME AS THE COLD FNT PUSHES SWD.
AN EXTREMELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS SOUTH TX WITH
CAPES OVER 4000 J/KG.  THE SHEAR PROFILE IS ONLY MARGINAL BUT WITH
SUCH HIGH CAPES THE SEVERE RISK WL REMAIN QUITE GOOD FOR SOUTH TX
LATE THIS AFTN INTO THE EVE HOURS.  A LARGE HAIL AND WIND EVENT
APPEARS LKLY.  TRAINING OF ECHOES ALONG AND BEHIND THE FNTL BNDRY WL
LEAD TO AN INCREASED FLOODING RISK.  GIVEN THE VERY HEAVY RAINS WE
HAVE RECEIVED OVER THE PAST WEEK...WL HOIST AN FFA FOR ALL ZONES
TNT.  OVERUNNING CONDITIONS AND THE APPROACH OF A DECENT S/WV WL
KEEP VERY HIGH POPS MOST OF THE DAY ON EASTER.  WE SHOULD HAVE A
BREAK BY LATE IN THE DAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT AS THIS FIRST S/WV PASSES
TO OUR EAST.  HOWEVER...ANOTHER S/WV WL FOLLOW ON ITS HEELS AND
BEGIN TO AFFECT WRN AREAS AFTER MIDNIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT.  WL THUS KEEP
CHC POPS FOR SUN NIGHT.  THE AIRMASS BEHIND THIS FNT IS QUITE CHILLY
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.  THE CURRENT THINKING IS THAT WITH EXCELLENT
CAA...THICK CLOUD CVR AND PCPN...TEMPS ON EASTER WL SLOWLY FALL
THROUGH THE DAY AND REMAIN MAINLY IN THE 50S.  TRENDED TWDS THE
COOLER GFS FOR SUNDAY NIGHTS LOWS.  WL HOIST AN SCA FOR ALL MARINE
ZONES FOR DEVELOPING N/NE WINDS BEHIND THE FNT.

&&

.LONG-TERM (MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...ONGOING EXTENDED FORECAST
LOOKS PRETTY GOOD AND WILL CHANGE LITTLE WITH THIS PACKAGE.  ANOTHER
COOL DAY IS EXPECTED MONDAY...AS CLOUDS WILL LINGER.  WILL ALSO HOLD
ON TO LOW POPS FOR LIGHT RAIN AS FINAL SHORTWAVE MAY SQUEEZE OUT A
FEW SPRINKLES ON MONDAY MORNING.  WILL UNDERCUT MOS FOR MAX TEMPS
DUE TO EXPECTED THICK CLOUDCOVER.  CLEARING LATE MONDAY WILL PROMOTE
RADIATIONAL COOLING TUE MORNING AND WILL STAY CLOSE TO THE MAV FOR
LOWS.  TUE-WED LOOKS VERY NICE AS HIGH SLOWLY TRANSLATES THROUGH THE
REGION.  RETURN FLOW BY WED NIGHT MAY PROMOTE CLOUDS/FOG BY
THURS...BUT EXPECT THE CLOUDS TO REALLY BE BACK FRI-SAT AS STRONG
ONSHORE FLOW SETS UP AHEAD OF NEXT UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM.  THIS SYSTEM
WILL LIKELY REMAIN TOO FAR NORTH OF THE AREA FOR CONVECTION...AND
BELIEVE THAT CAPPING INVERSION WILL DEVELOP AND LIMIT S TX TO ONLY
ISOLATED STREAMER SHOWERS.  TOO FAR OUT TO MENTION THIS NOW...BUT
HAVE INCLUDED TRANSPARENT LOW POPS OF 10 PERCENT IN THE GRIDS.

MARINE....SCA CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY
MORNING WITH LIGHT WINDS TUE AND WED.  ONSHORE FLOW EXPECTED TO
BRING BACK SCEC/SCA CONDITIONS THU.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI 59 63 48 67 45 / 70 70 30 20 00
VICTORIA       56 59 45 64 41 / 70 70 30 20 05
LAREDO         58 61 43 67 47 / 70 60 30 20 00

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ALL MARINE ZONES TONIGHT.
FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL LAND ZONES TONIGHT.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #63 IN EFFECT THROUGH 800 PM CDT TNT.

&&

MB/80...SHORT-TERM
TR/92...LONG-TERM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
645 AM CDT SUN APR 10 2004

GMZ230-235-TXZ229>234-239>247-121000-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT OCONNOR-
ARANSAS-BEE-CALHOUN-DUVAL-GOLIAD-JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-LA SALLE-LIVE OAK-
MCMULLEN-NUECES-REFUGIO-SAN PATRICIO-VICTORIA-WEBB-
645 AM CDT SAT APR 10 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

BRISK OFFSHORE FLOW IN THE WAKE OF YESTERDAYS COLD FRONT WILL
PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES
REMAIN IN EFFECT. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE SOMEWHAT IN THE BAYS
LATE THIS AFTERNOON...HOWEVER WINDS WILL REMAIN 20 TO 25 KNOTS
OFFSHORE THROUGH TONIGHT.

UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL INTERACT WITH LINGERING MOISTURE
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TO PRODUCE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TODAY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
CONTINUING THROUGH TONIGHT. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THUNDERSTORMS TODAY
WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AS SOME STORMS TRAIN OVER THE SAME
AREAS. ISOLATED RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS AREAS FROM VICTORIA TO COTULLA. BECAUSE THE HEAVY
RAINFALL THREAT APPEARS TO BE RATHER LOCALIZED...FLASH FLOOD WATCHES
HAVE BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
REMAINS VERY SLIM TODAY...HOWEVER A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG
ENOUGH TO PRODUCE FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

AREAS OF RAIN WILL AFFECT SOUTH TEXAS MONDAY MORNING AS THE LAST IN
A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES CROSSES THE REGION. SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT FOR THE
COASTAL WATERS AS BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE MAINTAINS AN OFFSHORE FLOW.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED AGAIN ON FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY AS LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS STATES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

MJG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
201 PM CDT SAT APR 10 2004

TXZ229>234-239>247-110500-
ARANSAS-BEE-CALHOUN-DUVAL-GOLIAD-JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-LA SALLE-LIVE OAK-
MCMULLEN-NUECES-REFUGIO-SAN PATRICIO-VICTORIA-WEBB-
215 PM CDT SAT APR 10 2004

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT...

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO SOUTH TEXAS THIS EVENING.
WARM...MOIST AND VERY UNSTABLE AIR OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL
INTERACT WITH THE SOUTHWARD-MOVING FRONT TO PRODUCE NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS.  SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
LARGE HAIL GREATER THAN THE SIZE OF GOLFBALLS AND WIND GUSTS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE THE
GREATEST BETWEEN 500 PM AND 1000 PM ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS.
ADDITIONALLY...HEAVY RAINFALL BETWEEN ONE-HALF AND THREE INCHES WILL
BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT.  FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE AS A RESULT.

RESIDENTS AND TRAVELERS ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE
APPROPRIATE ACTION IF WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS ARE ISSUED THIS
EVENING.  STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV.

MB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
438 PM CDT SAT APR 10 2004

TXZ229>234-239>241-244>247-110100-
ARANSAS-BEE-CALHOUN-DUVAL-GOLIAD-JIM WELLS-LA SALLE-LIVE OAK-
MCMULLEN-REFUGIO-SAN PATRICIO-VICTORIA-WEBB-
438 PM CDT SAT APR 10 2004

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
VALID UNTIL 800 PM CDT SATURDAY EVENING. THE WATCH INCLUDES THE
COUNTIES OF ARANSAS...BEE...CALHOUN...DUVAL...GOLIAD...JIM WELLS...LA
SALLE...LIVE OAK...MCMULLEN...REFUGIO...SAN PATRICIO...VICTORIA AND
WEBB. SOME CITIES INCLUDED IN THE WATCH ARE ALICE...ARANSAS PASS...
BEEVILLE...BENAVIDES...COTULLA...ENCINAL...GEORGE WEST...GOLIAD...
INGLESIDE...LAREDO...MATHIS...PORT LAVACA...PORT OCONNOR...
PORTLAND...REFUGIO...ROCKPORT...SEADRIFT...SINTON...SKIDMORE...THREE
RIVERS...TILDEN AND VICTORIA.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS TO OCCUR IN OR NEAR THE WATCH AREA. SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL THE SIZE OF A DIME
OR LARGER...STRONG WINDS OF 58 MPH OR GREATER AND EVEN TORNADOES.

EMERGENCY MANAGERS AND SPOTTER GROUPS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE
ACTIVATION. RESIDENTS ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT AND BE
READY TO ACT QUICKLY IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA. IF
SEVERE WEATHER THREATENS YOUR AREA...THEN MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM
AND LAY DOWN ON THE FLOOR. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...LAY FLAT DOWN ON THE
GROUND...PREFERABLY IN A DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT. NEVER TRY TO OUTRUN
SEVERE WEATHER.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
717 PM CDT SAT APR 10 2004

TXZ231-232-241-244-246-110045-
BEE-JIM WELLS-LIVE OAK-REFUGIO-SAN PATRICIO-
717 PM CDT SAT APR 10 2004

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS BEE...JIM
WELLS...LIVE OAK...REFUGIO AND SAN PATRICIO COUNTIES THROUGH 745 PM
CDT...

AT 717 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF REFUGIO TO 16 MILES
NORTHWEST OF MATHIS. THIS LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT
DINERO...SKIDMORE...LAKE CORPUS
CHRISTI...LAKESIDE...LAGARTO...REFUGIO...MATHIS...TYNAN...PERNITAS
POINT AND WOODSBORO.

THIS LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS HAS HAD A HISTORY OF PRODUCING WINDS
GUSTING TO 40 TO 50 MPH.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION
OR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

TR