Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 168, NWS Tulsa, OK
NWS Tulsa, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 10, 2003, 3:39 PM CDT for Franklin County, Madison County, Arkansas. It was in force for 51 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 10, 2003, 3:39 PM CDT (20:39 UTC)
- Expired
- May 10, 2003, 4:30 PM CDT
- In force
- 51 min
- Issued by
- NWS Tulsa, OK
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
Counties Franklin County, AR, Madison County, AR
The radar
The Springfield radar (KSGF), 116 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 11:55 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 77 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1867 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -15 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 689 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 53 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 296 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 300 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 3.5
- Supercell composite
- 12.5
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
985
WUUS54 KTSA 102039
SVRTUL
ARC047-087-102130-
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
339 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR
MADISON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
NORTHERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS
* UNTIL 430 PM CDT
* AT 339 PM CDT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS UP TO
80 MPH WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 36 MILES WEST OF
WESLEY TO 20 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FERN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50
MPH.
* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE... FERN...CASS...HUNTSVILLE...ST
PAUL...AURORA...WESLEY...HINDSVILLE...FORUM...WITTER...JAPTON AND
CLIFTY.
DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH THESE STORMS...MOVE TO A SAFE PLACE
NOW. MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES ARE ESPECIALLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO HIGH
WINDS AND MAY BE OVERTURNED.
IN ADDITION TO DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL IS ALSO LIKELY WITH THESE
STORMS...MOVE TO A SAFE PLACE NOW.
A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP SUDDENLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY
CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS AS STORMS APPROACH.
LAT...LON 3629 9368 3630 9366 3628 9366 3628 9364
3584 9367What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 10, 3:19 PM CDT, 20 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 10, 3:19 PM CDT, 20 minutes before
MESOSCALE FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OKLAHOMA 319 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003 AT 3PM THE DRY LINE EXTENDED FROM 15 MILES NORTH OF BARLTESVILLE TO CHANDLER TO 25 MILES WEST OF ARDMORE. A COLD FRONT WAS MOVING INTO NORTHWEST OSAGE COUNTY AND WILL MERGE INTO THE DRY LINE AND CONTINUE ON TO THE SOUTHEAST. BY 10 PM THE THE FRONT AND DRY LINE MERGER SHOULD BE COMPLETE ACROSS OUR AREA WITH THE FRONT AT THAT TIME EXTENDING FROM NEAR EUREKA SPRINGS TO JUST WEST OF HUGO. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS A HEAD OF THE MERGING FRONT AND DRY LINE. THE LINEAR FORCING IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE WITH THE ARRIVAL OF THE COLD FRONT AND WILL CONTRIBUTE TO THE EVOLUTION OF A MORE LINEAR STORM EVENT WITH TIME. HOWEVER THE MAGNITUDE OF THE SHEAR WILL SUPPORT OCCASSSIONAL EMBEDDED SUPERCELL STRUCTURES. STORM-RELATIVE HELICITY ANALYSIS SHOWS THE GREATEST VALUES OVER PUSHMATAHA AND CHOCTAW COUNTIES. CELLS THAT MOVE INTO THESE AREAS WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED FOR MORE LONG-LIVED SUPERCELL CHARACTERISTICS. FORECAST ID=08 .TSA... AR...NONE. OK...NONE
Hazardous weather outlook, May 10, 1:00 PM CDT, 2 hours 39 minutes before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-111100- HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 100 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003 THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK ...NUMEROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING... EARLY THIS AFTERNOON SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE FORMING ALONG A WIND SHIFT LINE FROM NEAR BARTLESVILLE TO JUST EAST OF OKLAHOMA CITY TO WITCHITA FALLS. THIS LINE WILL PROGRESS EASTWARD THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A POWERFUL UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM LIFTS NORTHEAST OUT OF THE DESERT SOUTHWEST INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL DRIVE A COLD FRONT SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING BRINGING AN END TO THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. RICH MOISTURE...EXTREME INSTABILITY AND FAVORABLE WIND FIELDS WILL LEAD TO SOME SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE VERY LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES. A SQUALL LINE WILL EVENTUALLY EVOLVE FROM THE INDIVIDUAL STORMS AND IT WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO ALSO PRODUCE STRONG DAMAGING WINDS. WARNING PROBABILITIES FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND TORNADOES CAN BE FOUND IN THE OUTLOOK SECTION AT: WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA. GIVEN PROBABILITIES REPRESENT THE POTENTIAL FOR A WARNING TO BE ISSUED AT YOUR LOCATION. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS WILL KEEP THE WEATHER QUIET FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY BEFORE THE NEXT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS RETURNS BY AROUND TUESDAY. MOISTURE WILL ONCE AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. .SPOTTER / EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY OFFICIALS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST WEATHER CONDITIONS VERY CLOSELY TODAY. ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT... WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA
In the hours before
Local storm report, May 10, 3:15 PM CDT, 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
0315 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003
TIME(CDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS...
....COUNTY LOCATION....
0312 PM 3 W SALLISAW OK 1.25 IN HAIL
05/10/03 SEQUOYAH
SPSpecial weather statement, May 10, 3:19 PM CDT, 20 minutes before
ARZ001>002-010>011-019>020-029-OKZ049-053>076-110000- SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 319 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CLEARED A PORTION OF TORNADO WATCH #338. AREAS CLEARED FROM THE TORNADO WATCH INCLUDE: IN OKLAHOMA THIS INCLUDES 4 COUNTIES... IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA: CREEK OSAGE PAWNEE WASHINGTON THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF BARTLESVILLE...BRISTOW...PAWHUSKA AND PAWNEE. TORNADO WATCH #182 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 700 PM CDT SATURDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS: IN ARKANSAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 7 COUNTIES... IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS: BENTON CARROLL CRAWFORD MADISON WASHINGTON IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS: FRANKLIN SEBASTIAN IN OKLAHOMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 21 COUNTIES... IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA: CHEROKEE MUSKOGEE OKFUSKEE SEQUOYAH IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA: ADAIR CRAIG DELAWARE MAYES NOWATA OKMULGEE OTTAWA ROGERS TULSA WAGONER IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA: CHOCTAW HASKELL LATIMER LE FLORE MCINTOSH PITTSBURG PUSHMATAHA THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF ANTLERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE... BROKEN ARROW...CEDARVILLE...CLAREMORE...CLAYTON...EUFAULA...EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...FORT SMITH...HUGO...HUNTSVILLE...JAY... MCALESTER...MIAMI...MOUNTAINBURG...MUSKOGEE...NATURAL DAM...NOWATA... OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...OZARK...POTEAU...PRYOR...ROGERS...SALLISAW...SAND SPRINGS...SILOAM SPRINGS...SPRINGDALE...STIGLER...STILWELL... TAHLEQUAH...TULSA...VAN BUREN...VINITA...WAGONER AND WILBURTON.
Special weather statement, May 10, 3:19 PM CDT, 20 minutes before
ARZ001>002-010>011-019>020-029-OKZ049-053>076-110000- SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 319 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CLEARED A PORTION OF TORNADO WATCH #338. AREAS CLEARED FROM THE TORNADO WATCH INCLUDE: IN OKLAHOMA THIS INCLUDES 4 COUNTIES... IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA: CREEK OSAGE PAWNEE WASHINGTON THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF BARTLESVILLE...BRISTOW...PAWHUSKA AND PAWNEE. TORNADO WATCH #338 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 700 PM CDT SATURDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS: IN ARKANSAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 7 COUNTIES... IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS: BENTON CARROLL CRAWFORD MADISON WASHINGTON IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS: FRANKLIN SEBASTIAN IN OKLAHOMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 21 COUNTIES... IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA: CHEROKEE MUSKOGEE OKFUSKEE SEQUOYAH IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA: ADAIR CRAIG DELAWARE MAYES NOWATA OKMULGEE OTTAWA ROGERS TULSA WAGONER IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA: CHOCTAW HASKELL LATIMER LE FLORE MCINTOSH PITTSBURG PUSHMATAHA THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF ANTLERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE... BROKEN ARROW...CEDARVILLE...CLAREMORE...CLAYTON...EUFAULA...EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...FORT SMITH...HUGO...HUNTSVILLE...JAY... MCALESTER...MIAMI...MOUNTAINBURG...MUSKOGEE...NATURAL DAM...NOWATA... OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...OZARK...POTEAU...PRYOR...ROGERS...SALLISAW...SAND SPRINGS...SILOAM SPRINGS...SPRINGDALE...STIGLER...STILWELL... TAHLEQUAH...TULSA...VAN BUREN...VINITA...WAGONER AND WILBURTON.
Local storm report, May 10, 3:20 PM CDT, 19 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
0320 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003
TIME(CDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS...
....COUNTY LOCATION....
0317 PM SALLISAW OK 2.50 IN HAIL
05/10/03 SEQUOYAH
SPLocal storm report, May 10, 3:28 PM CDT, 11 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
0328 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003
TIME(CDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS...
....COUNTY LOCATION....
0326 PM 12 N SALLISAW OK 1.25 IN HAIL
05/10/03 SEQUOYAH
SPLocal storm report, May 10, 3:31 PM CDT, 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
0331 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003
TIME(CDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS...
....COUNTY LOCATION....
0330 PM 7 N MULDROW OK 2.75 IN HAIL
05/10/03 SEQUOYAH
SPThe office that day
Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 3:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Crawford, Washington | 44 min |
| May 10, 3:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Sebastian | 47 min |
| May 10, 3:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Crawford, Washington | 21 min |
| May 10, 4:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Carroll, Franklin, Madison | 56 min |
| May 10, 4:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Crawford, Sebastian | 43 min |
| May 10, 5:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Franklin | 33 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arkansas, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.