Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2003

Tornado Watch 956

November 18, 20034 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 18, 2003, 1:55 AM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 18, 2003, 1:55 AM CST (07:55 UTC)
Expired
Nov 18, 2003, 8:00 AM CST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 60 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Ashley County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Clay County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Grant County, AR, Greene County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Sharp County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Stone County, AR, Union County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Dunklin County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Bolivar County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Panola County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Washington County, MS, Dyer County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 83 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Warnings issued inside it

9 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 18, 2:25 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZKIzard3 hr
Nov 18, 4:12 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANBolivar, Sunflower, Washington58 min
Nov 18, 5:16 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANBolivar, Leflore, Sunflower59 min
Nov 18, 5:44 AM CSTTornado WarningMEGLafayette, Panola46 min
Nov 18, 5:45 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Mississippi, Poinsett30 min
Nov 18, 6:05 AM CSTTornado WarningJANHumphreys45 min
Nov 18, 6:14 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLauderdale, Tipton46 min
Nov 18, 6:40 AM CSTTornado WarningJANLeflore45 min
Nov 18, 7:04 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHolmes, Yazoo46 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 149 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2003-11-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 540 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2003-11-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 199 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
540 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
514 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
61 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
199 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
305 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.6
Supercell composite
3.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS20 KWNS 180801
SEL6  
SPC WW 180755
ARZ000-MOZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-181400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 956 
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 
155 AM CST TUE NOV 18 2003

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       CENTRAL AND EASTERN ARKANSAS
       THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL
       NORTHERN AND WESTERN MISSISSIPPI
       WEST TENNESSEE

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY MORNING FROM 155 AM UNTIL 800 AM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST
OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF WALNUT RIDGE ARKANSAS
TO 45 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GREENVILLE MISSISSIPPI.

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.


OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 954...WW 955...


DISCUSSION...THREAT FOR EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN
NNE/SSW CONVECTIVE BAND ALONG VERY SLOW MOVING FRONT OVER CNTRL AR. 
OTHER SUPERCELLS MAY MOVE/DEVELOP NNEWD FROM NRN END OF CONVECTIVE
SYSTEM CROSSING LA.  SURFACE PRESSURE FALL AXIS FROM LIT TO CMI AND
LATEST PROFILER DATA OVER ERN OK/NE TX SUGGEST THAT 80+ KT SPEED MAX
ASSOCIATED WITH TX SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL SPREAD NNE ACROSS WW AREA
DURING NEXT FEW HRS...ENHANCING DEEP SHEAR.  COUPLED WITH GRADUALLY
INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INFLOW...SETUP COULD SUPPORT ISOLATED
TORNADOES WITH THE SUPERCELLS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21035.


...CORFIDI

363,0891 330,0900 330,0930 363,0921

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 17, 7:48 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Columbia, Hempstead, Lafayette, Little River, Miller and 3 more87 min
Nov 18, 1:29 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Clay, Cleveland, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross and 21 more3 hr
Nov 18, 9:55 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Conway, Crawford and 22 more65 min
Nov 18, 10:55 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBenton, Calhoun, Clark, Conway, Crawford, Dallas and 24 more5 hr
Nov 18, 1:11 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Clark, Conway, Crawford, Dallas, Franklin and 22 more2 hr
Nov 18, 2:50 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArkansas, Ashley, Baxter, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun and 38 more5 hr
Nov 18, 4:44 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Baxter, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun and 34 more2 hr
Nov 18, 2:08 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Amite, Claiborne, Copiah, Franklin, Hinds and 9 more97 min
Nov 18, 2:25 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Amite, Claiborne, Copiah, Franklin, Hinds and 18 more6 hr
Nov 18, 4:48 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Amite, Attala, Carroll, Claiborne, Copiah and 29 more117 min
Nov 18, 6:08 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlcorn, Attala, Benton, Calhoun, Chickasaw, Choctaw and 46 more2 hr
Nov 18, 6:55 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAlcorn, Amite, Attala, Benton, Calhoun, Carroll and 56 more5 hr
Nov 18, 10:30 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGeorge, Greene, Harrison, Jackson90 min
Nov 18, 11:25 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCGeorge, Greene, Jackson6 hr
Nov 18, 7:35 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCape Girardeau, Mississippi, Scott115 min
Nov 18, 1:33 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBedford, Bledsoe, Bradley, Cannon, Clay, Coffee and 32 more57 min
Nov 18, 1:55 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBledsoe, Bradley, Cannon, Clay, Coffee, Cumberland and 22 more5 hr
Nov 18, 3:26 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bradley, Campbell, Cumberland, Fentress, Loudon and 8 more94 min
Nov 18, 4:58 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bledsoe, Blount, Bradley, Cocke, Cumberland and 20 more32 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2003Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2003Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2003Every tornado watch in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.