Alert archive / North Carolina / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 893

May 9, 20039 counties in North Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 9, 2003, 9:45 PM EDT for 9 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 60 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 9, 2003, 9:45 PM EDT (01:45 UTC)
Expired
May 9, 2003, 10:45 PM EDT
In force
60 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Carteret County, NC, Craven County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Greene County, NC, Jones County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Onslow County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Wayne County, NC

The radar

The Morehead City radar (KMHX), 53 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 00:00Z, 1.8 hours before the alert went out and 52 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Newport, NC at 00:00Z on 2003-05-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1942 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Newport, NC at 00:00Z on 2003-05-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 105 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1942 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-40 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1143 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
105 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
145 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.2
Supercell composite
7.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 100146
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 100145 
NCZ000-100245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0893
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0845 PM CDT FRI MAY 09 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NC

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 325...

VALID 100145Z - 100245Z

COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS CURRENTLY DECREASING ACROSS WW 325.
WATCH MAY BE CANCELLED EARLY. 

A STRONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARY PRODUCED BY STORMS THAT MOVED ACROSS THE
OUTER BANKS OF NC HAS PROGRESSED RAPIDLY SWWD ACROSS JONES AND WRN
ONSLOW COUNTIES IN ERN NC AT 0135Z. ONE STRONG STORM REMAINS OVER
CRAVEN COUNTY AT THE PRESENT TIME MOVING SEWD...HOWEVER...STABLE
BOUNDARY LAYER AIR BEHIND THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY WILL LIKELY LEAD TO A
CONTINUED WEAKENING OF THIS REMAINING STORM DURING THE NEXT HOUR. IF
THIS TREND CONTINUES...THE TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY BE CANCELLED
PRIOR TO WATCH EXPIRATION TIME AT 10/03Z. WITH STRONG CONVECTIVE
INHIBITION ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION...ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS NOT ANTICIPATED. 

..BANACOS.. 05/10/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...

34747812 35707812 35687733 35057669 34657626 34537701

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 10, 12:41 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlleghany, Ashe, Avery, Mitchell, Rockingham, Stokes and 4 more2 hr
May 10, 2:31 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Beaufort, Bertie, Caswell, Chowan, Durham and 19 more89 min
May 10, 3:15 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAlamance, Caswell, Durham, Edgecombe, Franklin, Granville and 11 more6 hr
May 10, 4:46 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Caswell, Durham, Edgecombe, Franklin, Granville and 11 more89 min
May 10, 7:10 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Camden, Chowan, Currituck, Dare and 20 more6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.