Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003
Mesoscale Discussion 64
The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Feb 14, 2003, 5:56 PM CST for 19 counties in Kansas; 15 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 2 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 14, 2003, 5:56 PM CST (23:56 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 14, 2003, 8:00 PM CST
- In force
- 2 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
All 34 counties
Allen County, KS, Anderson County, KS, Bourbon County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Elk County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Labette County, KS, Linn County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Miami County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Osage County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Woodson County, KS, Barton County, MO, Bates County, MO, Benton County, MO, Cass County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Dade County, MO, Greene County, MO, Henry County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Polk County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Vernon County, MO
The nearest sounding before it
Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 12:00Z, 11.9 hours before the alert went out and 143 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 472 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 54 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 154 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 257 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
268 ACUS11 KWNS 142356 SWOMCD SPC MCD 142356 KSZ000-MOZ000-150200- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0064 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0556 PM CST FRI FEB 14 2003 AREAS AFFECTED...SERN KS / SWRN MO CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 2... VALID 142356Z - 150200Z SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITH ANY STORMS THAT CAN BECOME ESTABLISHED IN THE WARM SECTOR. LATEST MESOANALYSIS INDICATES 998 MB SURFACE LOW IN THE VICINITY OF CNU WITH ATTENDANT WARM FRONT EXTENDING EWD INTO CNTRL MO. COLD FRONT EXTENDS SWWD FROM LOW THROUGH S-CNTRL KS INTO NWRN OK. RECENT RADAR TRENDS INDICATE ELEVATED CONVECTION TRYING TO BECOME ESTABLISHED N OF THE WARM FRONT FROM COFFEY COUNTY NEWD INTO DOUGLAS COUNTY. RUC FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE ONLY A MARGINALLY UNSTABLE ELEVATED AIRMASS TO THE N OF THE WARM FRONT WITH MUCAPES AOB 300 J/KG. SURFACE BASED DEVELOPMENT APPEARS TO BE MOST LIKELY E OF SURFACE LOW TRACK OVER FAR SERN KS INTO SWRN MO INVOF ENHANCED PRESSURE FALLS AND WHERE LOW LEVEL THETA-E AXIS CURRENTLY RESIDES. HERE SBCAPES HAVE INCREASED TO 1000 J/KG WITH HKL PROFILER INDICATING 39 KTS OF 0-6 KM SHEAR. THUS...IF SURFACE BASED CONVECTION CAN INITIATE...LOW WET BULB ZERO HEIGHTS AND SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER SHEAR SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL. ..MEAD/GOSS.. 02/14/2003 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... 37869643 38739643 38719475 38699306 37829306 36959306 36979475 36999643
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 1:56 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Anderson, Bourbon, Chase, Chautauqua, Cherokee and 13 more | 2 hr |
| Feb 14, 3:35 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Allen, Anderson, Bourbon, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Coffey and 13 more | 5 hr |
| Feb 14, 3:55 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Anderson, Bourbon, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 15 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.