Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 620

April 29, 200337 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 29, 2003, 1:38 PM CDT for 37 counties in Texas. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 29, 2003, 1:38 PM CDT (18:38 UTC)
Expired
Apr 29, 2003, 4:45 PM CDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 37 counties

Borden County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Childress County, TX, Coke County, TX, Cottle County, TX, Crockett County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Dickens County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Garza County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Hale County, TX, Hall County, TX, Howard County, TX, Irion County, TX, Kent County, TX, King County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Martin County, TX, Midland County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Motley County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Swisher County, TX, Terrell County, TX, Terry County, TX, Tom Green County, TX, Upton County, TX, Val Verde County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 77 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 6.6 hours before the alert went out and 78 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2003-04-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 893 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2003-04-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 131 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
893 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-313 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1124 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
15 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
131 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
195 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

676 
ACUS11 KWNS 291838
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 291838 
TXZ000-292145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0620
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0138 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS/PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 291838Z - 292145Z

SRN PANHANDLE AND SWRN TEXAS BEING MONITORED FOR A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WATCH.

DRY LINE IS MIXING GRADUALLY EWD INTO WRN PORTION OF SRN TX
PANHANDLE. E OF DRY LINE AIRMASS HAS BECOME VERY UNSTABLE WITH
MUCAPES TO 4000 J/KG.  WHILE DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS RELATIVELY
WEAK...THE NEAR ADIABATIC LAPSE RATES COUPLED WITH INSTABILITY
SUPPORTS RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS NEXT COUPLE OF
HOURS.	AREA OF SURFACE BASED CONVECTION NOTED ON 1815Z VISIBLE
IMAGERY W OF LBB APPEARS TO BE FIRST INDICATION OF DEVELOPMENT.

..HALES.. 04/29/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...EWX...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...

31880234 33320240 34340194 34910152 34720066 34500003
32650005 31220035 29590082 29740177 29890237 30730242

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 28, 7:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Borden, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Coke and 29 more53 min
Apr 28, 9:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Blanco, Bosque, Brown, Burnet, Caldwell and 38 more85 min
Apr 29, 2:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArmstrong, Borden, Briscoe, Carson, Childress, Coke and 32 more6 hr
Apr 29, 5:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Borden, Briscoe, Childress, Coke, Collingsworth and 40 more85 min
Apr 29, 6:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArcher, Baylor, Borden, Callahan, Childress, Coke and 42 more6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.