Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 616

April 28, 200344 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 28, 2003, 9:20 PM CDT for 44 counties in Texas. It was in force for 85 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 28, 2003, 9:20 PM CDT (02:20 UTC)
Expired
Apr 28, 2003, 10:45 PM CDT
In force
85 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 44 counties

Bell County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Bosque County, TX, Brown County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Coke County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Comal County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Concho County, TX, Coryell County, TX, Crockett County, TX, Eastland County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Erath County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Hamilton County, TX, Hays County, TX, Irion County, TX, Jones County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Kimble County, TX, Lampasas County, TX, Llano County, TX, Mason County, TX, McCulloch County, TX, Menard County, TX, Mills County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Runnels County, TX, San Saba County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Shackelford County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Stephens County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Sutton County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Tom Green County, TX, Travis County, TX, Williamson County, TX

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 2.3 hours before the alert went out and 244 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2003-04-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1070 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2003-04-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 44 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1070 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-37 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2134 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
44 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
128 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

218 
ACUS11 KWNS 290220
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 290220 
TXZ000-290345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0616
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0920 PM CDT MON APR 28 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS W-CENTRAL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 178...

VALID 290220Z - 290345Z

CLUSTER OF STRONG-SEVERE TSTMS MOVING SEWD ACROSS PORTIONS W-CENTRAL
TX SHOULD MAINTAIN POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND AND OCCASIONAL LARGE
HAIL FOR AT LEAST ANOTHER 1-2 HOURS TOWARD PORTIONS
COKE/RUNNELS/CONCHO/MCCULLOCH COUNTIES.  ADDITIONAL WW MAY BE
NECESSARY OVER REGION.

SOME WEAKENING TREND IS ANTICIPATED WITH LOSS OF DIABATIC
DESTABILIZATION IN FOREGOING BOUNDARY LAYER...AND GUST FRONT IS
EVIDENT ARCING FROM 5 NM E THRU 20-25 NM SW OF MAIN REFLECTIVITY
GRADIENT.  STILL...ELEVATED INSTABILITY AND MOIST INFLOW MAY HELP TO
MAINTAIN COMPLEX AS FORWARD-PROPAGATING MCS SEWD DOWN OLD
OUTFLOW/DIFFERENTIAL HEATING BOUNDARY THROUGH REMAINDER
EVENING...SEWD TOWARD SRN HILL COUNTRY.  ELEVATED MUCAPE 1500-2000
J/KG ESTIMATED BASED ON MODIFIED RAOBS AND RUC FORECAST SOUNDINGS. 

..EDWARDS.. 04/29/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF...

30409967 32979919 32049715 29619746 

30100167 32220125 32220072 32870023 33049993 32939918
29809978

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 28, 7:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Borden, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Coke and 29 more53 min
Apr 29, 1:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBorden, Briscoe, Childress, Coke, Cottle, Crockett and 31 more3 hr
Apr 29, 2:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArmstrong, Borden, Briscoe, Carson, Childress, Coke and 32 more6 hr
Apr 29, 5:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Borden, Briscoe, Childress, Coke, Collingsworth and 40 more85 min
Apr 29, 6:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArcher, Baylor, Borden, Callahan, Childress, Coke and 42 more6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.