Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 615

April 28, 200335 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 28, 2003, 7:22 PM CDT for 35 counties in Texas. It was in force for 53 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 28, 2003, 7:22 PM CDT (00:22 UTC)
Expired
Apr 28, 2003, 8:15 PM CDT
In force
53 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 35 counties

Armstrong County, TX, Borden County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Carson County, TX, Castro County, TX, Coke County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Dickens County, TX, Donley County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Garza County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hale County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hockley County, TX, Howard County, TX, Hutchinson County, TX, Kent County, TX, Lamb County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Martin County, TX, Midland County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Motley County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Potter County, TX, Randall County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Swisher County, TX, Terry County, TX

The radar

The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 23 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 00:00Z, 0.4 hours before the alert went out and 181 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2003-04-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1022 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2003-04-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 28 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1022 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-27 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1720 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
28 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
176 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
4.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

790 
ACUS11 KWNS 290023
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 290022 
TXZ000-290115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0615
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0722 PM CDT MON APR 28 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...WESTERN TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 176...

VALID 290022Z - 290115Z

SCATTERED MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS CONTINUE IN PARTS OF WRN TX.
EXPECT ACTIVITY TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN OVER THE SEVERAL HOURS.

UNDERNEATH LARGE SPLIT IN MAIN 250MB JET AXIS...DRYLINE ACTIVITY
CONTINUES TO MEANDER SLOWLY AROUND PARTS OF WRN TX. RECENT
MESOANALYSIS SHOWS A WEAKLY DEFINED / WEAKLY CONVERGENT DRYLINE FROM
AROUND AMA SWD TO WEST OF LBB AND MAF INTO SWRN TX. SURFACE
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW-MID 80S AND DEWPOINT VALUES IN THE MID 50S
ARE YIELDING 100MB MLCAPES FROM 500-1500 J/KG.

ACTIVITY IN THE NW TX PANHANDLE...NEAR AMA...WILL LIKELY BECOME MORE
RAIN WRAPPED AND CUTOFF FROM BEST INFLOW OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO
DESPITE BEING AMIDST A REGION OF STRONGER DEEP LAYER SHEAR / 0-6KM
30-40 KTS /. ACTIVITY IN SOUTH PLAINS INTO THE TRANSPECOS REGION
WILL CONTINUE TO EXHIBIT TYPICAL OUTFLOW DOMINANT CHARACTERISTICS
FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. GIVEN COLD POOL DEVELOPMENT STORMS WILL
MAINTAIN THEMSELVES BY PROPAGATING ESEWD INTO THE THETA-E AXIS FROM
DEL RIO TO MIDLAND WHERE SURFACE DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE LOWER 60S.
OUTFLOW DOMINANT ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY CONTINUE ESEWD WITH A PRIMARY
SEVERE THREAT OF STRONG DAMAGING WINDS AND AREAS OF VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL.

..NADEN.. 04/29/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...

31500121 31620197 31830237 32480250 34360248 35240251
35590230 35860178 35840090 35540054 33840029 31660038

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 28, 9:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Blanco, Bosque, Brown, Burnet, Caldwell and 38 more85 min
Apr 29, 1:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBorden, Briscoe, Childress, Coke, Cottle, Crockett and 31 more3 hr
Apr 29, 2:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArmstrong, Borden, Briscoe, Carson, Childress, Coke and 32 more6 hr
Apr 29, 5:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Borden, Briscoe, Childress, Coke, Collingsworth and 40 more85 min
Apr 29, 6:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArcher, Baylor, Borden, Callahan, Childress, Coke and 42 more6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.