Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 365

April 3, 20034 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 3, 2003, 8:39 PM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 3, 2003, 8:39 PM CST (02:39 UTC)
Expired
Apr 3, 2003, 10:45 PM CST
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 74 counties

Adams County, IA, Appanoose County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Davis County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Page County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Warren County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Atchison County, KS, Brown County, KS, Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Geary County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Marion County, KS, Marshall County, KS, Morris County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Osage County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Republic County, KS, Riley County, KS, Saline County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Washington County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Adair County, MO, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Platte County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Ray County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Worth County, MO, Gage County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Richardson County, NE

The radar

The Topeka radar (KTWX), 106 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 2.7 hours before the alert went out and 89 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2003-04-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 506 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2003-04-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 148 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
506 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-79 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1370 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
148 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
151 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
3.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

743 
ACUS11 KWNS 040239
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 040239 
IAZ000-MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-040445-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0365
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0839 PM CST THU APR 03 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...NORTH CENTRAL/NERN KS...FAR SERN NEB...NRN
MO...SWRN IA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 040239Z - 040445Z

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BETWEEN 03-06Z OVER NORTH
CENTRAL KS AND THEN SPREAD NEWD LATE THIS EVENING/OVERNIGHT INTO
SWRN IA/NRN MO.  WW MAY BE REQUIRED IN THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS FOR
NORTH CENTRAL/NERN KS INTO FAR SERN NEB TO NRN MO/SWRN IA.



02Z SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS THE COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL
IA...NEAR DSM...SWWD THROUGH FAR SERN NEB AND INTO NORTH CENTRAL
KS.  A DRY LINE EXTENDS SWWD FROM NEAR CNK TO GBD AND THEN SWD
INTO  WRN OK.  A STRENGTHENING SLY LLJ FROM WRN OK INTO CENTRAL
KS IS ADVECTING MOISTURE NWD INTO CENTRAL PORTIONS OF KS...AS
OBJECTIVE ANALYSES INDICATE ONGOING AIR MASS DESTABILIZATION
WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR.  MODERATE INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH DEEP
LAYER SHEAR WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR ORGANIZED STORMS WITH
SUPERCELLS AS AN UPPER SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS THIS EVENING.  STORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP OVER NORTH
CENTRAL KS...IN THE VICINITY OF THE COLD FRONT/DRY LINE
INTERSECTION...WITH STORMS THEN MOVING NEWD ALONG AND NORTH OF
THE COLD FRONT.  LARGE HAIL/ DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY
THREATS.  

..PETERS.. 04/04/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DVN...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...

39139827 39899768 40689585 41569327 41199220 39569264
38809459 38249739

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 3, 9:20 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAppanoose, Decatur, Monroe, Ringgold, Wayne6 hr
Apr 3, 11:44 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppanoose, Clarke, Decatur, Lucas, Monroe, Page and 3 more2 hr
Apr 4, 1:47 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppanoose, Clarke, Decatur, Lucas, Monroe, Page and 3 more88 min
Apr 4, 1:33 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Clayton, Fayette6 hr
Apr 4, 7:23 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLincoln, Pike, Saint Charles, Saint Louis, City of Saint Louis97 min
Apr 4, 11:10 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudrain, Benton, Boone, Callaway, Camden, Cole and 23 more95 min
Apr 4, 12:05 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAudrain, Benton, Boone, Callaway, Camden, Carroll and 28 more5 hr
Apr 4, 1:12 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Camden, Christian, Cole and 38 more93 min
Apr 4, 4:25 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Crawford, Dent and 22 more6 hr
Apr 4, 4:43 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDunklin, Pemiscot3 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Iowa, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.