Alert archive / Texas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2003
Flash Flood Warning 74, NWS San Angelo, TX
NWS San Angelo, TX issued this flash flood warning at Sep 14, 2003, 8:55 AM CDT for Crockett County, Texas. It was in force for 2 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 14, 2003, 8:55 AM CDT (13:55 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 14, 2003, 11:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 2 hr
- Issued by
- NWS San Angelo, TX
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Crockett County, TX
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Del Rio, TX (KDRT), launched 12:00Z, 1.9 hours before the alert went out and 140 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2012 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -18 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 701 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 17 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -7 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 72 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WGUS54 KSJT 141400 FFWSJT TXC105-141600- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 855 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2003 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... SOUTHWEST CROCKETT COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS * UNTIL 1100 AM CDT * AT 850 AM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY HEAVY RAIN OVER SOUTHWEST CROCKETT COUNTY...OR ABOUT 32 MILES SOUTHWEST OF OZONA...MOVING SOUTH AT 15 MPH. * RAINFALL TOTALING 1 TO 3 INCHES HAS FALLEN IN THE WARNED AREA...WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL UP TO 2 INCHES EXPECTED THROUGH 1100 AM CDT. * THE AREAS THAT WILL BE MOST AFFECTED BY FLASH FLOODING WILL BE SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20...ALONG COUNTY HIGHWAY 405 AND RANCH ROAD 2083 TO THE VAL VERDE COUNTY LINE. DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE. REMEMBER...MOST FLASH FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. LAT...LON 3067 10120 3071 10170 3028 10173 3029 10125 $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Sep 14, 3:00 AM CDT, 5 hours 55 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 14, 3:00 AM CDT, 5 hours 55 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 300 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2003 CONVECTION CONTINUES TO FIRE ALONG COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY WHICH HAS SLOWED CONSIDERABLY SINCE ENTERING THE CWA. BEST ONGOING ACTIVITY IS ALONG WESTERN FLANK WEST OF THE CWA AND GIVEN SLOW MOVEMENT OF STORMS RADAR ESTIMATES FOR RAINFALL HAVE BEEN IMPRESSIVE SHOWING ISOLATED 4 TO 6 INCH AMOUNTS WEST OF THE CWA. COLD FRONT NOW ESSENTIALLY BISECTS THE CWA AND IS LOCATED JUST NORTH OF SJT WITH GOOD DEVELOPMENT NOW ONGOING NORTH OF SJT. FRONT IS FCSTD TO SLOWLY DRIFT SOUTH AND SHOULD BE NEAR I10 BY DAYBREAK WITH AREAL COVERAGE OF RAINFALL INCREASING AS MCS EXPANDS. MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT ON A GOOD POST FRONTAL RAIN EVENT FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY... DIFFERENCES IN MODELS ARE IN TIMING AND AMOUNT OF RAINFALL. ETA HAS BEST LIFT ABOUT 6 HRS EARLIER THAN AVN...AVN SHOWING BEST LIFT AROUND NOON. AS TO AMOUNTS... ETA HAS A 1 INCH BULLSEYE OVER THE CONCHO VALLEY AROUND DAYBREAK WHILE AVN IS MUCH MORE BULLISH WITH A NEARLY 3 INCH BULLSEYE OVER THE CONCHO VALLEY AROUND NOON. IN ANY EVENT WILL RAISE POPS FOR TODAY WITH PRECIP ENDING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH THIS EVENING. UPPER HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA TOMORROW WITH DRY CONDITIONS AND A WARMING TREND THROUGH MOST OF THE COMING WEEK. COLD FRONT TOWARD THE END OF THE WORK WEEK WILL BRING AFTERNOON TEMPS BELOW SEASONAL NORMS INTO NEXT WEEKEND. PRELIMS... ABI 074/056/083/061 2100 SJT 075/056/083/060 5100 JCT 077/058/084/060 72-0 .SJT...NONE. 15
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 14, 5:30 AM CDT, 3 hours 25 minutes before
TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140- 154-155-168>170-151030- HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 530 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2003 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. .DAY ONE... A COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH WEST CENTRAL TEXAS BY LATE THIS MORNING KICKING OFF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS IT DRIFTS SLOWLY SOUTHWARD. POST-FRONTAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR OVER MUCH OF THE AREA INTO LATE AFTERNOON. NONE OF THE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. 15
The office that day
Everything else NWS San Angelo, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 8:07 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SJT | McCulloch, Mason, San Saba | 3 hr |
| Sep 14, 10:45 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SJT | Mason, San Saba | 4 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Texas, 2003Every flash flood warning in 2003
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.