Severe Thunderstorm Warning 493, NWS Little Rock, AR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
400 PM CST TUE NOV 18 2003

ACTIVE AFTERNOON AHEAD OF COLD FRONT JUST NOW REACHING THE NORTHWEST
PART OF THE STATE. TEMPERATURES REACHED THE LOWER TO MID 70S IN THE
CENTRAL AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE STATE THIS AFTERNOON. COLD AIR
ALOFT WITH UPPER TROUGH LEADING TO DESTABLIZATION THIS AFTERNOON.
COLD FRONT GENERATING STRONG WINDS WITH TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT...SO
EXPECT BREEZY CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...DO NOT FEEL A WIND
ADVISORY IN NECESSARY AS STRONG WINDS WILL ONLY BE FOR A FEW HOURS
AND WILL DECREASE THROUGH THE NIGHT. NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS SAW HIGH
RAINFALL AMOUNTS MONDAY EVENING/OVERNIGHT...BUT DO NOT THINK
RAINFALL AMOUNTS TONIGHT WILL BE AS LARGE. AREA OF CONVECTION WILL
MOVE EAST THROUGH THE EVENING...WITH COLD FRONT HELPING TO CLEAR
SKIES AND LOWER DEW POINTS/TEMPERATURES.

HIGH PRESSURE FOLLOWS WEDNESDAY...WITH CLEAR CONDITIONS AND SLIGHTLY
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. NEXT FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA LATE
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MODELS ARE SHOWING COLD AIR FROM CANADA MOVING SOUTH...BUT DID NOT
BUY INTO EXTREME TEMPS YET.

HRO   42  64  41  70 /  80   0   0   0
LIT   47  67  43  71 /  70   0   0   0
HOT   47  68  43  72 /  70   0   0   0
PBF   48  69  43  72 /  70   0   0   0

.LZK...NONE.

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ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-191100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1030 AM CST TUE NOV 18 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ARKANSAS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE STATE
WITH VERY COLD AIR ALOFT. A COLD FRONT WILL ACCOMPANY THIS LOW ACROSS
ARKANSAS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS MAY RANDOMLY DEVELOP. LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN
SEVERE WEATHER. ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. THE
CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER SHOULD DIMINISH EARLY TONIGHT WITH THE
LOSS OF HEATING AND THE MOVEMENT OF THE FRONT OUT OF THE AREA.

PEOPLE ACROSS ARKANSAS ARE ADVISED TO CONTINUE MONITORING THE
WEATHER TODAY. LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND FORECASTS FOR THE
MOST UP TO DATE INFORMATION FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL BRING THE NEXT
CHANCE OF RAIN FOR SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. MONDAY WILL BE DRY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ANYWHERE
IN ARKANSAS.

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