Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 491, NWS Little Rock, AR

November 18, 2003Grant County, Saline County, Arkansas

NWS Little Rock, AR issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Nov 18, 2003, 3:56 PM CST for Grant County, Saline County, Arkansas. It was in force for 59 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 18, 2003, 3:56 PM CST (21:56 UTC)
Expired
Nov 18, 2003, 4:55 PM CST
In force
59 min
Issued by
NWS Little Rock, AR
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Grant County, AR, Saline County, AR

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 49 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Nov 18, 10:55 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr
Nov 18, 2:50 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 241 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2003-11-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 137 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2003-11-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 25 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
137 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-93 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
756 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
58 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
25 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
16 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Nov 18, 11:25 AM CST, 4 hours 31 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 18, 11:25 AM CST, 4 hours 31 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1125 AM CST TUE NOV 18 2003

UPDATE TO ZONES/GRIDS TO INCLUDE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 959 AND
TO INCLUDE LARGE HAIL IN GRIDDED PRODUCTS. COLD POOL AT UPPER LEVEL
COMBINED WITH SUNSHINE OVER SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS WILL LEAD TO
INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS. MAIN CONCERN WITH THESE STORMS
WILL BE LARGE HAIL.

.LZK...NONE.

58
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 18, 10:30 AM CST, 5 hours 26 minutes before
ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-191100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1030 AM CST TUE NOV 18 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ARKANSAS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE STATE
WITH VERY COLD AIR ALOFT. A COLD FRONT WILL ACCOMPANY THIS LOW ACROSS
ARKANSAS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS MAY RANDOMLY DEVELOP. LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN
SEVERE WEATHER. ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. THE
CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER SHOULD DIMINISH EARLY TONIGHT WITH THE
LOSS OF HEATING AND THE MOVEMENT OF THE FRONT OUT OF THE AREA.

PEOPLE ACROSS ARKANSAS ARE ADVISED TO CONTINUE MONITORING THE
WEATHER TODAY. LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND FORECASTS FOR THE
MOST UP TO DATE INFORMATION FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL BRING THE NEXT
CHANCE OF RAIN FOR SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. MONDAY WILL BE DRY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ANYWHERE
IN ARKANSAS.

29

The office that day

Everything else NWS Little Rock, AR issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 18, 12:40 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZKConway, Pope, Searcy, Van Buren3 hr
Nov 18, 1:38 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZKCleburne, Stone3 hr
Nov 18, 2:25 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZKIzard3 hr
Nov 18, 3:02 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKScott53 min
Nov 18, 3:25 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLogan50 min
Nov 18, 4:01 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKScott, Yell49 min
Nov 18, 4:03 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Faulkner52 min
Nov 18, 4:16 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Pope44 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arkansas, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.