Severe Thunderstorm Warning 298, NWS Louisville, KY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
230 PM EDT TUE SEP 2 2003

.SHORT TERM...

A STATIONARY FRONT STRETCHED FROM SOUTHEAST MISSOURI TO JUST NORTH
OF CVG AT 18Z THIS AFTERNOON. TROPICAL GULF MOISTURE CONTINUED TO
RIDE ALONG THE FRONT WITH MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
OVER THE COUNTY FORECAST AREA AT MID AFTERNOON.

LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT ALTHOUGH THE FRONT IS EXPECTED
TO SAG SLIGHTLY SOUTH. WE WILL CONTINUE THE FFA OVER ALL THE COUNTY
FORECAST AREA WITH THE GREATEST CONCERN OVER SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY
WHERE AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE.

AIDED BY AN UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVING ALONG THE NORTHERN TIER STATES
THIS WHOLE SYSTEM WILL FINALLY MOVE EAST AND OUT OF OUR CFA BY
WEDNESDAY EVENING. THIS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR A GORGEOUS END TO THE
WORK WEEK AND WEEKEND. COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD INTO
THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY THURSDAY.

.EXTENDED... SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MILD WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S AND LOWS AROUND 60 DEGREES.

.LMK...FLOOD WATCH TONIGHT FOR ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA AND ALL
OF CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

JA

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>042-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-031100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
947 AM EDT TUE SEP 2 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTH
CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED TO THE SOUTH AND NOW INCLUDES ALL OF
CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTH-CENTRAL INDIANA...IN EFFECT FOR TODAY AND
TONIGHT. THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM GRACE...COMBINED WITH A
STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY...WITH CONTINUE TO
BRING PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN TO THE OUTLOOK AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
FROM TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY COULD APPROACH 5 INCHES. WIDESPREAD
FLOODING PROBLEMS MAY DEVELOP AS A RESULT OF THE HEAVY RAINFALL.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED ALTHOUGH A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS MAY CONTAIN GUSTY WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY WITH ADDITIONAL
FLOODING PROBLEMS POSSIBLE. ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE OUTLOOK AREA LATE ON
WEDNESDAY BRINGING AN END TO THE WIDESPREAD RAIN AND POTENTIAL
FLOODING. THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK IS FORECAST TO BE MILD AND DRY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THROUGH WEDNESDAY FOR FLOODING.

JB

INZ089-KYZ023>028-061-062-070>073-021900-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1227 PM CDT TUE SEP 2 2003

...ANOTHER BATCH OF HEAVY RAIN HEADED FOR WEST-CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND
FAR SOUTHERN INDIANA...

A LARGE BATCH OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN...LOCATED OVER WESTERN
KENTUCKY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...WILL REACH A LINE FROM BOWLING GREEN
TO ELIZABETHTOWN BY 1 PM CDT. AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 3 INCHES OF
RAINFALL MAY OCCUR WITH THIS BATCH OF RAIN THROUGH 2 PM. THIS RAIN
WILL BE FALLING ON GROUND THAT IS NEARLY SATURATED DUE TO EARLIER
RAINS. THERE WILL BE A HEIGHTENED RISK FOR WIDESPREAD FLOODING
AROUND THE COMMUNITIES OF RUSSELLVILLE...BOWLING GREEN...
MORGANTOWN...LEITCHFIELD...BEAVER DAM...HARDINSBURG AND TELL CITY.
MOTORISTS SHOULD NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS ANY FLOODED ROADWAYS.

MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR POSSIBLE FLASH FLOOD
WARNINGS IN YOUR LOCATION. A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT THROUGH
TONIGHT FOR THE AREA.

JB