Flash Flood Warning 42, NWS Louisville, KY

000 
WGUS73 KLMK 021910
FFSLMK
KYC027-021930-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
209 PM CDT TUE SEP 2 2003

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WHICH WAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM CDT FOR
BRECKINRIDGE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

NO REPORTS OF FLOODING HAVE BEEN RECEIVED. ONLY LIGHT TO MODERATE 
RAIN IS OCCURRING WITH ACCUMULATIONS AROUND 1/4 INCH THROUGH 3 PM 
EXPECTED.

$$

JB

000 
WGUS73 KLMK 021912 CCA
FFSLMK
KYC027-021930-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
209 PM CDT TUE SEP 2 2003

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WHICH WAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM CDT FOR
BRECKINRIDGE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

NO REPORTS OF FLOODING HAVE BEEN RECEIVED. ONLY LIGHT TO MODERATE 
RAIN IS OCCURRING WITH ACCUMULATIONS AROUND 1/4 INCH THROUGH 3 PM 
EXPECTED.

$$

JB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
430 AM EDT TUE SEP 2 2003

FRONT REMAINS NEAR STATIONARY ACROSS SOUTHERN INDIANA THIS MORNING
WITH AREAS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN MOVING
NORTHEAST ALONG THE OHIO RIVER. OVER SOUTHEAST PARTS OF CENTRAL
KENTUCKY SKIES REMAINED PARTLY CLOUDY.

MODELS SIMILAR IN KEEPING HEAVY RAIN ACROSS LOWER OHIO VALLEY
THROUGH TONIGHT THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISHING THE RAIN DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING ON WEDNESDAY. GFS HAS BEEN MORE
CONSISTENT WITH PATTERN. HOWEVER ETA SEEMS TO BE DESCRIBING THE
PRECIPITATION PATTERN BETTER. WILL USE A BLEND OF THE MODELS.

.SHORT TERM ...
MODELS SHOW LIFT INCREASING EARLY THIS MORNING AND CONTINUING
THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY AND NIGHT AS FRONT SAGS ONLY SLOWLY TO THE
SOUTH. ALSO UPPER LEVEL JET IS MOVING ACROSS TO OUR NORTH WITH FA IN
THE RIGHT REAR QUADRANT FOR MUCH OF PERIOD. THE UPPER LEVEL
DIVERGENCE OVER THE AREA WILL ADD TO INCREASE IN PRECIPITATION. IN
ADDITION PRECIP. WATER IS ABOVE 1.5 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS MOST OF THE
AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS WILL RESULT IN PERIODS OF VERY HEAVY
RAIN. WILL KEEP HIGHEST POPS ALONG AND NORTH OF THE OHIO RIVER TODAY
WITH LIKELY POPS EXTENDING OVER ALL BUT THE SOUTHEAST.

WILL GO WITH FLOOD WATCH FOR NORTHERN TWO THIRDS OF FA (ALL EXCEPT
SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY WHERE RAIN WHERE RAIN WILL BE MORE
SCATTERED). EXPECT THAT WATCH MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED INTO SOUTH
CENTRAL KENTUCKY FOR TONIGHT AND POSSIBLY PART OF WEDNESDAY.

ON WEDNESDAY...JET MOVES TO THE EAST AS FRONT DROPS SOUTHEAST INTO
KENTUCKY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING
THE AFTERNOON...AND FINALLY END OVER MOST OF FA WEDNESDAY EVENING.

LONGER TERM...
DRIER AIR WILL SETTLE INTO THE AREA ON THURSDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.

.LMK...FLOOD WATCH TODAY AND TONIGHT FOR ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND THE NORTHERN HALF OF CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

SCHOLZ

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>042-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-031100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
947 AM EDT TUE SEP 2 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTH
CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED TO THE SOUTH AND NOW INCLUDES ALL OF
CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTH-CENTRAL INDIANA...IN EFFECT FOR TODAY AND
TONIGHT. THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM GRACE...COMBINED WITH A
STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY...WITH CONTINUE TO
BRING PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN TO THE OUTLOOK AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
FROM TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY COULD APPROACH 5 INCHES. WIDESPREAD
FLOODING PROBLEMS MAY DEVELOP AS A RESULT OF THE HEAVY RAINFALL.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED ALTHOUGH A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS MAY CONTAIN GUSTY WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY WITH ADDITIONAL
FLOODING PROBLEMS POSSIBLE. ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE OUTLOOK AREA LATE ON
WEDNESDAY BRINGING AN END TO THE WIDESPREAD RAIN AND POTENTIAL
FLOODING. THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK IS FORECAST TO BE MILD AND DRY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THROUGH WEDNESDAY FOR FLOODING.

JB

INZ089-KYZ023>028-061-062-070>073-021900-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1227 PM CDT TUE SEP 2 2003

...ANOTHER BATCH OF HEAVY RAIN HEADED FOR WEST-CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND
FAR SOUTHERN INDIANA...

A LARGE BATCH OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN...LOCATED OVER WESTERN
KENTUCKY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...WILL REACH A LINE FROM BOWLING GREEN
TO ELIZABETHTOWN BY 1 PM CDT. AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 3 INCHES OF
RAINFALL MAY OCCUR WITH THIS BATCH OF RAIN THROUGH 2 PM. THIS RAIN
WILL BE FALLING ON GROUND THAT IS NEARLY SATURATED DUE TO EARLIER
RAINS. THERE WILL BE A HEIGHTENED RISK FOR WIDESPREAD FLOODING
AROUND THE COMMUNITIES OF RUSSELLVILLE...BOWLING GREEN...
MORGANTOWN...LEITCHFIELD...BEAVER DAM...HARDINSBURG AND TELL CITY.
MOTORISTS SHOULD NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS ANY FLOODED ROADWAYS.

MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR POSSIBLE FLASH FLOOD
WARNINGS IN YOUR LOCATION. A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT THROUGH
TONIGHT FOR THE AREA.

JB