Severe Thunderstorm Warning 115, NWS New Orleans, LA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS/BATON ROUGE LA
1030 AM CDT THU JUN 12 2003

UPDATED TO ADD SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH...

OUTFLOW BOUNDARY MOVING SOUTH THROUGH MISSISSIPPI THIS MORNING.
ANOTHER BOUNDARY MOVING EAST THROUGH TEXAS AS WELL. WE SHOULD SEE
SOME SH/TS ACTIVITY BEGIN THIS MORNING OVER THE NORTHERN TIER OF
COUNTIES/PARISHES BEFORE ANY ACTIVITY BEGINS OVER THE WESTERN
PORTION. SPLIT FLOW ALOFT AND SOME WEAK LIFT SHOULD HELP TO GET SOME
TS GOING TODAY. PROBLEM WILL BE GETTING TEMPS UP ENOUGH TO KEEP
PRECIP GOING. ATTM WILL KEEP LIKELY NORTH TO CHANCE SOUTH. CIRRUS
FLOW BEGINNING TO ENVELOP AREA AND PRESENT LINE OF STORMS OVER TX
WILL LEAVE ITS SOURCE REGION AND BEGIN TO WEAKEN LATER THIS MORNING.
IT SHOULD MAKE ENOUGH PROGRESS TO GIVE A SHOT OF RAIN THIS MORNING
THOUGH. THIS TYPE OF TREND CONTINUES THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK...BASICALLY ABOVE NORMAL CHANCES OF RAIN...WARM AND MUGGY.

ACTUAL NUMBERS ARE:
    TH      FR      SA      SU      MO      TU      WE   T F S S M T W
MCB 089/073/090/074/089/073/090/075/087/073/088/073/089  6352535454445
BTR 089/075/089/075/088/075/090/075/086/074/086/074/087  6342535444445
MSY 089/078/089/078/088/077/090/077/087/076/086/075/087  5342425444434
GPT 086/077/088/077/086/076/088/075/088/076/086/075/085  5352434443434

.NEW...NONE
LA...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR LAZ034>040-046>050-056>062.
MS...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR MSZ068>071-77-080>082.

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LAZ034>040-046>050-056>070-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-131130-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
945 AM CDT THU JUN 12 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND
EXTREME SOUTHWEST AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS EXISTS ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI THIS MORNING. SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA AS AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE WILL PASS EASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE
GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM NAPOLEONVILLE LOUISIANA TO
COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. HAIL UP TO 1 INCH AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH
ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY. THERE IS A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE AREA AS UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCES MOVE ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS AND EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS...MAY
BE REQUESTED LATER TODAY.

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LAZ034>040-046>050-056>058-060>064-068>070-MSZ068>071-121840-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
115 PM CDT THU JUN 12 2003

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 526 ISSUED AT 910 AM CDT HAS BEEN
CANCELLED FOR SOUTH MISSISSIPPI WEST OF THE PEARL RIVER AND SOUTHEAST
AND EAST CENTRAL LOUISIANA.

THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH MISSISSIPPI...

PIKE     WALTHALL     AMITE     WILKINSON

AND THE FOLLOWING PARISHES IN EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTH LOUISIANA...

ASCENSION         ASSUMPTION      ST. JOHN
EAST BATON ROUGE  EAST FELICIANA  LIVINGSTON
ORLEANS           POINTE COUPEE   ST. BERNARD
ST. HELENA        ST. TAMMANY     TANGIPAHOA
WASHINGTON        WEST BATON ROUGE
WEST FELICIANA    ST. JAMES       IBERVILLE

THE THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAS DIMINISHED. REDEVELOPMENT OF
THUNDERSTORMS IS POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING.