Alert archive / Mississippi / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 474, NWS Jackson, MS

June 11, 2003Carroll County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 11, 2003, 8:47 PM CDT for Carroll County, Mississippi. It was in force for 58 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 11, 2003, 8:47 PM CDT (01:47 UTC)
Expired
Jun 11, 2003, 9:45 PM CDT
In force
58 min
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Carroll County, MS

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jun 11, 7:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 1.8 hours before the alert went out and 132 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2003-06-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1555 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2003-06-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 153 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1555 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-39 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1169 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
153 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
199 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.7
Supercell composite
4.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS54 KJAN 120147
SVRJAN
MSC015-120245-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
847 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI

* UNTIL 945 PM CDT

* AT 847 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES WEST OF AVALON...OR ABOUT 8 MILES NORTH
  OF GREENWOOD...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL...
  BE NEAR AVALON AT 850 PM CDT
  BE NEAR GREENWOOD AIRPORT AT 900 PM CDT
  BE NEAR CARROLLTON...NORTH CARROLLTON AT 910 PM CDT
  BE NEAR VAIDEN AT 935 PM CDT

WINDS UP TO 60 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3368 8981 3344 8979 3339 8966 3332 8966
          3326 8974 3345 9012 3367 9009

$$

CRAVEN

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 11, 8:21 PM CDT, 26 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 11, 8:21 PM CDT, 26 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
820 CDT WED JUN 11 2003

CURRENTLY EXPERIENCING TRAINING OF SIGNIFICANT THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
THE NORTHERN FRINGE OF THE CWA. EAST TO WEST ORIENTED LINE IS
LOCATED IN AN AREA OF ENHANCED MOISTURE CONVERGENCE IN A CONTINUED
UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT. CORFIDI VECTORS IN THIS AREA ARE WEAK AND ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN SO THROUGH THE EVENING. THEREFORE...EXPECT THIS
LINE OF CONVECTION TO CONTINUE THIS EVENING OVER NORTHERN ZONES WITH
SOME SLIGHT SOUTHWARD DRIFT ANTICIPATED OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
WILL RAISE POPS UP TO LIKELY IN THE NORTHERN QUARTER.

OVERNIGHT...MODELS INDICATING THE NOSE OF A 70-80 KT UPPER LEVEL JET
WILL BE NUDGING INTO CENTRAL LA/SOUTHWEST MS AFTER MIDNIGHT. WITH
EASTWARD PROPAGATING THUNDERSTORMS ONGOING IN CENTRAL TX
CURRENTLY...THE POSSIBILITY THAT MORE STORMS WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN
ZONES BEFORE MORNING EXISTS...ESPECIALLY IN WEST-CENTRAL/NW MS
UNDERNEATH THE FAVORABLE LEFT EXIT REGION OF JET. GIVEN THE CURRENT
AND EXPECTED SCENARIO...LOWERED POPS IN SOUTHEAST MS WHILE TRENDING
A BIT HIGHER IN THE WEST AND NORTH.

NEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS BEING ISSUED TO COVER ACTIVITY TO
THE NORTH AND WILL EXTEND NEARLY AS FAR SOUTH AS THE INTERSTATE 20
CORRIDOR. MAIN THREAT WILL BE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND HEAVY
RAINS.

.JAN...
AR...
LA...
MS...

50
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 11, 6:50 PM CDT, 1 hour 57 minutes before
ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
122350-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
650 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

...THUNDERSTORMS...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY. ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
THIS EVENING AND AGAIN ON THURSDAY. DAMAGING WINDS FROM 60 TO 70
MPH...BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING WILL BE POSSIBLE.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING MAINLY
NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20. SEVERAL BOUNDARIES FORMED AHEAD OF A
STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE MIDWEST...CAUSING
MANY THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON. AFTERNOON
HEATING...MOISTURE AND OLD BOUNDARIES WILL LEAD TO MORE
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE EVENING...WHERE A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME
SEVERE.

SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM THE
WEST EARLY THURSDAY. SOUTHERLY FLOW CONTINUES TO BRING
WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR INTO THE REGION. THE COMBINATION OF
MOISTURE...INSTABILITY AND UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL BRING
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON...WHERE
A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE.

...FLOODING...
COMPLEXES OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON COULD PERSIST WELL
INTO THE NIGHT AS THEY MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA...MAINLY
NORTH OF HIGHWAY 82.  PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL COULD PRODUCE ONE
TO TWO INCHES CAUSING PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND IN POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS.

WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL INTERACT WITH A TROPICAL
AIRMASS TO PRODUCE THE HEAVY RAINS. ADDITIONAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES
COULD ALSO FOCUS THE THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

...DAYS TWO AND THREE...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE.
WITH SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVING ACROSS THE
REGION...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE ENTIRE AREA...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOONS AND EVENINGS.

...DAYS FOUR THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEKEND THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE
ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AN LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM WILL SETTLE  OVER THE ARKLATEX REGION AROUND SUNDAY.
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM AND PROVIDE A
STEADY FLOW OF VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR INTO THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL REMAIN OVER
THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY...KEEPING A CHANCE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MID WEEK.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT AND AGAIN ON THURSDAY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 11, 7:28 PM CDT, 1 hour 19 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
728 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0700 PM    1 S MINOT                 MS   60 MPH WIND GUST
06/11/03   SUNFLOWER                      PUBLIC REPORT.
Local storm report, Jun 11, 7:37 PM CDT, 1 hour 10 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
737 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0730 PM    SHELBY                    MS   FLOODING
06/11/03   BOLIVAR                        STREET FLOODING. REPORTED
                                          BY BOLIVAR COUNTY EMA.
Local storm report, Jun 11, 7:37 PM CDT, 1 hour 10 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED REPORT TIME
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
737 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0735 PM    SHELBY                    MS   FLOODING
06/11/03   BOLIVAR                        STREET FLOODING. REPORTED
                                          BY BOLIVAR COUNTY EMA.
Local storm report, Jun 11, 7:39 PM CDT, 1 hour 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
739 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0735 PM    SHELBY                    MS   WIND DAMAGE
06/11/03   BOLIVAR                        A FEW TREES DOWN.
                                          REPORTED BY BOLIVAR
                                          COUNTY EMA.
Local storm report, Jun 11, 8:40 PM CDT, 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
840 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0815 PM    CLEVELAND                 MS   WIND DAMAGE
06/11/03   BOLIVAR                        A FEW TREES DOWN.
                                          REPORTED BY BOLIVAR
                                          COUNTY EMA.

0815 PM    CLEVELAND                 MS   FLOODING
06/11/03   BOLIVAR                        STREET FLOODING. REPORTED
                                          BY BOLIVAR COUNTY EMA.
Local storm report, Jun 11, 8:47 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
847 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0830 PM                              MS   WIND DAMAGE
06/11/03   CLAY                           A FEW TREES DOWN.
                                          REPORTED BY CLAY COUNTY
                                          SHERIFFS OFFICE.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 11, 7:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANGrenada40 min
Jun 11, 7:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANBolivar63 min
Jun 11, 7:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANGrenada59 min
Jun 11, 7:59 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANGrenada3 hr
Jun 11, 8:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClay42 min
Jun 11, 8:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLeflore, Sunflower61 min
Jun 11, 8:25 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANLeflore3 hr
Jun 11, 9:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANBolivar59 min
Jun 11, 10:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANSunflower42 min
Jun 11, 11:03 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANCarroll, Holmes, Leflore, Sunflower3 hr
Jun 11, 11:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHumphreys, Sharkey43 min
Jun 12, 9:13 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAdams57 min
Jun 12, 9:58 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANForrest42 min
Jun 12, 11:17 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJefferson Davis, Simpson43 min
Jun 12, 11:19 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLawrence31 min
Jun 12, 11:23 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANSmith47 min
Jun 12, 4:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAdams59 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Mississippi, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.