Alert archive / Mississippi / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 464, NWS Jackson, MS

June 11, 2003Bolivar County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 11, 2003, 5:26 PM CDT for Bolivar County, Mississippi. It was in force for 64 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 11, 2003, 5:26 PM CDT (22:26 UTC)
Expired
Jun 11, 2003, 6:30 PM CDT
In force
64 min
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Bolivar County, MS

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 149 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jun 11, 3:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 10.4 hours before the alert went out and 133 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2003-06-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 67 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2003-06-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 128 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
67 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-109 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
913 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
128 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
214 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

152 
WUUS54 KJAN 112226
SVRJAN
MSC011-112330-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
526 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  BOLIVAR COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI

* UNTIL 630 PM CDT

* AT 526 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 10 MILES WEST OF GUNNISON...OR ABOUT 10 MILES
  NORTHWEST OF ROSEDALE...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL...
  BE NEAR GUNNISON AT 540 PM CDT
  BE NEAR SHELBY...WINSTONVILLE...DUNCAN...MOUND BAYOU AT 600 PM CDT
  BE NEAR ALLIGATOR AT 605 PM CDT

WINDS UP TO 60 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3407 9122 3389 9123 3385 9066 3412 9066

$$

CRAVEN

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 11, 3:40 PM CDT, 1 hour 46 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 11, 3:40 PM CDT, 1 hour 46 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
230 CDT WED JUN 10 2003

WEAK SHORTWAVE RIDGING FORECAST EARLY TONIGHT IN THE WAKE OF TODAYS
TROUGH. MODELS AGREE THAT ANOTHER MCS WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT
UPSTREAM BUT DISAGREE ON THE LOCATION. WILL LEAN TOWARD THE AVN
SOLUTION WHICH MAINTAINS SYSTEM FARTHER WEST THRU DAYBREAK BUT WILL
KEEP CHANCE POPS WRN ZONES FOR THU MORNING.

COLD FRONT REMAINING N OF REGION UNTIL THE WEEKEND BUT OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES WILL LINGER TO FOCUS CONVECTION. SHORTWAVE TRACK PERSISTS
ACROSS THE REGION AND UPPER DIVERGENCE INCREASES THU AS THE UPPER
JET NOSES INTO SW MS. ALTHOUGH SHORTWAVE STRENGTH LOOKS WEAKER
TOMORROW AND 850 MB FLOW TO BE LIGHTER...INSTABILITY WILL BE
SUFFICIENT IN OUR REGION OF DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S FOR AT
LEAST HIGH END CHANCE POPS MOST LOCATIONS. MOST CONCERNED ABOUT
POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS CENTRAL AND SRN ZONES...WHERE
UPPER DIVERGENCE LOOK STRONGER AND SHORTWAVE MOVES THRU. HOWEVER...
INSTABILITY LOOKS GREATEST NRN ZONES WHERE HIGH THETAE AND CAPE MAX
SITS NEAR THE MS/TN BORDER. CHANCE LOOKS SMALLER NRN ZONES AT THIS
TIME BUT WILL BROAD BRUSH ISOLATED SEVERE POSSIBILITY ALL ZONES FOR
THU.

WILL MAINTAIN CHANCE FOR CONVECTION THU NIGHT AS THE NEXT SHORTWAVE
SHIFTS INTO THE AREA. AVN INCREASES STRENGTH OF VORT LOBE AFTER
MIDNIGHT WHICH SUGGESTS POSSIBILITY OF MCS DEVELOPMENT LATE.
OTHER FEATURES NO NOT OFFER MUCH SUPPORT TO THIS AT THIS TIME SO
WILL GO WITH DECREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF CONVECTION THU
NIGHT BUT MAINTAIN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

AIR MASS REMAINS UNSTABLE FRIDAY WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE 70S.
VERTICAL VELOCITY AND UPPER DIVERGENCE VALUES INCREASE IN THE
AFTERNOON AS YET ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TRACKS ACROSS THE AREA...WHICH
MEANS A GOOD CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN FOR FRIDAY. WILL KEEP
CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY NIGHT. SRN TIP OF GOOD DYNAMICS
SWINGS ACROSS NW MS OVERNIGHT AS THE SURFACE BOUNDARY DRIFTS INTO NW
AR. WILL LEAVE KEEP ISOLATED CONVECTION OTHER ZONES...MAINLY IN THE
EVENING HOURS.

GOOD DIVERGENT PATTERN SETTING UP ALOFT AS THE UPPER LOW SETTLES
INTO THE MIDWEST THIS WEEKEND. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FOR SATURDAY
AS THE TROUGH DEEPENS JUST UPSTREAM. GOOD THUNDERSTORM CHANCE WILL
CONTINUE SATURDAY NIGHT...INCREASING SUNDAY AS THE SURFACE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY FINALLY SAGS INTO NW MS. THE 12Z GFS DRAGS THE BOUNDARY
SWD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY WHILE THE 00Z RUN MAINTAINS THE
BOUNDARY ALONG OF N OF NRN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH
WED. UPPER LOW NOW MAINTAINED JUST W OF THE MS RIVER THRU WED SO
WILL KEEP THUNDERSTORM CHANCE IN THROUGH EXTENDED FORECAST PERIODS.

.JAN...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
MS...NONE.
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 11, 3:31 PM CDT, 1 hour 55 minutes before
ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
122031-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
331 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

...THUNDERSTORMS...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND AGAIN ON THURSDAY.
DAMAGING WINDS FROM 60 TO 70 MPH...BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING WILL BE POSSIBLE.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING ACROSS THE
ENTIRE AREA. SEVERAL BOUNDARIES FORMED AHEAD OF A STRONG LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE MIDWEST...CAUSING MANY
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON. AFTERNOON
HEATING...MOISTURE AND OLD BOUNDARIES WILL LEAD TO MORE
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE EVENING...WHERE A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME
SEVERE.

SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM THE
WEST EARLY THURSDAY. SOUTHERLY FLOW CONTINUES TO BRING
WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR INTO THE REGION. THE COMBINATION OF
MOISTURE...INSTABILITY AND UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL BRING
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON...WHERE
A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

...DAYS TWO AND THREE...THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE.
WITH SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVING ACROSS THE
REGION...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE ENTIRE AREA.

...DAYS FOUR THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEKEND THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE
ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AN LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM WILL SETTLE  OVER THE ARKLATEX REGION AROUND SUNDAY.
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM AND PROVIDE A
STEADY FLOW OF VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR INTO THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL REMAIN OVER
THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY...KEEPING A CHANCE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MID WEEK.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 11, 2:09 PM CDT, 3 hours 17 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
209 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1200 PM    DECATUR                   MS   WIND DAMAGE
06/11/03   NEWTON                         A FEW TREES DOWN.
                                          REPORTED BY NEWTON COUNTY
                                          SHERIFFS OFFICE.
Local storm report, Jun 11, 2:12 PM CDT, 3 hours 14 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
212 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1250 PM                              MS   WIND DAMAGE
06/11/03   OKTIBBEHA                      NUMEROUS TREES DOWN
                                          COUNTY WIDE. REPORTED BY
                                          4 COUNTY ELECTRIC POWER
                                          ASSOCIATION.
Local storm report, Jun 11, 2:23 PM CDT, 3 hours 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
223 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1155 PM    STONEWALL                 MS   60 MPH WIND GUST
06/11/03   CLARKE                         PUBLIC REPORT.
Local storm report, Jun 11, 3:29 PM CDT, 1 hour 57 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
329 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0300 PM    HARRISONBURG              LA   WIND DAMAGE
06/11/03   CATAHOULA                      LARGE LIMBS DOWN.
                                          REPORTED BY POLICE.
Local storm report, Jun 11, 4:05 PM CDT, 1 hour 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
405 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0400 PM    PARCHMAN                  MS   60 MPH WIND GUST
06/11/03   SUNFLOWER                      REPORTED BY NATIONAL
                                          WEATHER SERVICE STORM
                                          SPOTTER.
Local storm report, Jun 11, 4:51 PM CDT, 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
451 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0445 PM    MANTEE                    MS   WIND DAMAGE
06/11/03   WEBSTER                        A FEW TREES DOWN. PUBLIC
                                          REPORT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 11, 10:25 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANSimpson25 min
Jun 11, 10:36 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANSmith44 min
Jun 11, 10:53 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANRankin22 min
Jun 11, 11:01 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJasper59 min
Jun 11, 11:31 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCarroll39 min
Jun 11, 11:40 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANNewton30 min
Jun 11, 11:45 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClarke, Lauderdale60 min
Jun 11, 11:50 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMontgomery30 min
Jun 11, 12:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANWebster28 min
Jun 11, 12:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANWebster26 min
Jun 11, 12:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANKemper40 min
Jun 11, 12:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClay61 min
Jun 11, 12:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClay58 min
Jun 11, 12:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLowndes, Oktibbeha61 min
Jun 11, 3:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANBolivar44 min
Jun 11, 3:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANSunflower26 min
Jun 11, 4:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClay, Webster44 min
Jun 11, 5:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANGrenada62 min
Jun 11, 6:18 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANBolivar3 hr
Jun 11, 6:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANBolivar, Sunflower52 min
Jun 11, 6:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANGrenada44 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Mississippi, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.