Severe Thunderstorm Warning 445, NWS Jackson, MS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1015 AM CDT WED JUN 11 2003

WILL DO A QUICK UPDATE TO ADJUST ZONES FOR NEW WATCH AND TO ADJUST
TEMPS. AREA GENERALLY OVERCAST...DO NOT EXPECT MUCH WARMING. UPPER
80S MAY BE TOO WARM. WILL ALSO REMOVE MORNING WORDING. OTHERWISE
FORECAST OK.

.JAN...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
MS...NONE.

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
121000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
500 AM CDT WED JUN 11 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

...THUNDERSTORMS...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER
THE OUTLOOK AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. SOME STORMS MAY BECOME
SEVERE... ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. THE
GREATEST RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS OVER NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA...GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF
HIGHWAY 82. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER RISKS WILL BE DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH...AND LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS.

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS...WILL
PROGRESS EASTWARD TODAY INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION.
SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO
TRANSPORT VERY MOIST AIR INTO THE REGION...CREATING A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP. THERE WILL BE ENOUGH
SHEAR FOR STORM ORGANIZATION...AND DAYTIME HEATING WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO A VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. BETTER UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FOR SEVERE
WEATHER WILL EXIST OVER NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

...DAYS TWO AND THREE...
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE
OUTLOOK AREA THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.  AN ACTIVE JET STREAM
COMBINED WITH A SLOW MOVING FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL HELP INITIATE
SEVERAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
REGION. THE AIRMASS WILL REMAIN VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE...AND
SUPPORTIVE OF ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY DURING
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

...DAYS FOUR THROUGH SEVEN...
AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY
NEXT WEEK. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE ENTIRE
OUTLOOK AREA SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE
IS EXPECTED TO BECOME CENTERED OVER THE ARKLATEX REGION...AND
SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE CENTER WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
TRANSPORT OF VERY MOIST AIR INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
REGION. A SLOW MOVING FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL COMBINE WITH THE VERY
MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS TO SUPPORT ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED...ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING OVER NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
833 AM CDT WED JUN 11 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0625 PM    CASEYVILLE                MS   WIND DAMAGE
06/10/03   LINCOLN                        A FEW TREES DOWN ACROSS
                                          NE LINCOLN CO. REPORTED
                                          BY ELECTRIC POWER
                                          ASSOCIATION.

0645 PM    2 SW BOWERTON             MS   WIND DAMAGE
06/10/03   COPIAH                         A FEW TREES DOWN.
                                          REPORTED BY ELECTRIC
                                          POWER ASSOCIATION.