Alert archive / Texas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2003

Flash Flood Warning 11, NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

July 15, 20034 counties in Texas

NWS Houston/Galveston, TX issued this flash flood warning at Jul 15, 2003, 12:52 PM CDT for 4 counties in Texas. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 15, 2003, 12:52 PM CDT (17:52 UTC)
Expired
Jul 15, 2003, 4:00 PM CDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Brazoria County, TX, Jackson County, TX, Matagorda County, TX, Wharton County, TX

The radar

The Houston radar (KHGX), 104 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Corpus Christi, TX (KCRP), launched 12:00Z, 5.9 hours before the alert went out and 202 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Corpus Christi, TX at 12:00Z on 2003-07-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 403 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Corpus Christi, TX at 12:00Z on 2003-07-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 68 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
403 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-39 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
983 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
68 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
136 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS54 KHGX 151754
FFWHOU
TXC039-239-321-481-152100-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1252 PM CDT TUE JUL 15 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  WHARTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS
  JACKSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS
  BRAZORIA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS
  MATAGORDA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS

* UNTIL 400 PM CDT

* AT 1247 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED
  WITH HURRICANE CLAUDETTE CONTINUING TO AFFECT THE WARNING AREA.
  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER THE LAST 3 HOURS HAVE AVERAGED 2 TO 3 INCHES
  WITH ISOLATED TOTALS TO 6 INCHES OVER WESTERN BRAZORIA COUNTY. 
  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE LIKELY THIS
  AFTERNOON AS BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE 
  AREA. 

* FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN OR NEAR...
  PALACIOS...SARGENT...MATAGORDA...BAY CITY...LOLITA...VAN
  VLECK...WHARTON...EL CAMPO...BOLING...ANGLETON...WEST
  COLUMBIA...LAKE JACKSON...FREEPORT

LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTS EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN SARGENT AND MATAGORDA 
WITH WATER INTO HOMES IN SOME AREAS. BEACH ROAD IN MATAGORDA IS 
UNDERWATER AND IMPASSABLE. STREET FLOODING HAS ALSO BEEN REPORTED IN 
PALACIOS.

THE COMBINATION OF HIGH TIDES ALONG THE COAST AND HEAVY RAINFALL 
WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING IN THE WARNED AREAS.

DO NOT CROSS ANY LOCATION WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD

PLEASE REPORT FLOODING TO THE COUNTY SHERIFF...LOCAL POLICE...OR
DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC SAFETY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 2938 9638 2964 9616 2924 9590 2930 9563
          2906 9499 2835 9640 2908 9693

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Houston/Galveston, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 15, 9:50 AM CDT, 3 hours 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 15, 9:50 AM CDT, 3 hours 2 minutes before
SOUTHEAST TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
950 AM CDT TUE JUL 15 2003

HURRICANE CLAUDETTE NEAR THE COAST W/MATAGORDA GETTING THE BRUNT OF
THE FURY. AS PER LATEST TPC ADVISORY...WE SHALL ADJUST 1ST PERIOD
WINDS FOR SOUTHERN ZONES.

37/42/35/34/30

.HGX...HURRICANE WARNING COASTAL COUNTIES PLUS HARRIS AND
       LIBERTY.
       INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING FOR
       WHARTON...COLORADO...AUSTIN...WALLER...AND FORT BEND COUNTIES.
       FLOOD WATCH ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 10.
       SMALL CRAFT SHOULD STAY IN PORT.
       TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT TIL 1 PM FOR COASTAL AND ADJACENT
       COUNTIES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
SPC HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WATCH EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1 PM.  CURRENT RADAR
INDICATES A POSSIBLE TORNADO ASSOCIATED WITH A RAIN BAND MOVING INTO
HIGH ISLAND AND CHAMBERS COUNTY.  CAN EXPECT THIS TYPE OF ACTIVITY
INTO THIS AFTERNOON AS THE FAVORED NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE STORM
MOVES ACROSS THE TWO TIER OF COUNTIES ALONG THE COAST.

PREV DISC...
HAVE ALREADY UPDATE THE FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE ALL OF THE SOUTHERN
HALF OF SE TX.  HURRICANE CLAUDETTE HAS BEEN MOVING ALMOST DUE WEST
OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS.  RAIN BANDS HAVE MOVED ONTO THE COASTAL
COUNTIES WITH A HEAVIER BAND CURRENTLY JUST OFF THE COAST.  THE MAIN
CONCERNS FOR THIS MORNING INCLUDE HIGH WINDS...HEAVY RAINFALL...AND
ISOLATED TORNADOES.  AS CLAUDETTE GETS CLOSER TO THE COAST...THE
SYSTEM WILL MORE AND MORE BE INFLUENCED BY THE 200 AND 300 MB TROUGH
LOCATED JUST INLAND ACROSS THE ENTIRE TX COASTAL PLAIN.

THE COMBINATION OF THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL FLOW AND THE CURRENT STORM
MOVEMENT IN RELATION TO THE COAST INDICATES THAT THE STORM CENTER MAY
ACTUALLY TRY TO GO WEST-SOUTHWEST BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL.  THE MASS OF
RAIN BANDS JUST OFF THE COAST SHOULD ALSO MOVE INLAND AND AFFECT THE
NORTHERN COUNTIES.  FOR NOW THE RAINFALL POTENTIAL LOOKS TO BE 2 TO 6
INCHES WITH ISOLATED 10 INCHES...THOUGH WITH THE SYSTEM SPEEDING UP
THESE MAY BE ON THE HIGH SIDE.  FAVORED AREAS FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES
LOOK TO BE ACROSS CHAMBERS...GALVESTON...HARRIS...BRAZORIA...FORT
BEND...MATAGORDA...AND JACKSON COUNTIES.  EXPECTING THE WORST WINDS
OVER THE COASTAL COUNTIES THROUGHOUT THE MORNING...THEN INTO THE FAR
SOUTHERN COUNTIES INTO EARLY AFTERNOON AS THE STORM CENTER GETS
ONSHORE.

AFTER CLAUDETTE TODAY THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH BUILDS ACROSS THE
PLAINS.  BY THIS WEEKEND THE ECMWF AND GFS INDICATE EASTERLY FLOW
ACROSS SE TX.  FOR THAT CASE WILL GO WITH SCATTERED POPS STARTING
SATURDAY.  UNTIL THEN THE RIDGE SHOULD SUPPRESS RAINFALL TO ISOLATED
AT BEST.

PL-40
45
38/43/30
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 15, 7:29 AM CDT, 5 hours 23 minutes before
GMZ330-335-TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-152100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
729 AM CDT TUE JUL 15 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM HIGH ISLAND TO BAFFIN BAY...
THE WARNING AREA INCLUDES THE COUNTIES OF CHAMBERS...HARRIS...
GALVESTON...BRAZORIA...LIBERTY...MATAGORDA...AND JACKSON COUNTIES.

...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN HALF OF SOUTHEAST
TEXAS...

...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR AUSTIN...
COLORADO...WHARTON...AND FORT BEND COUNTIES...

...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM FOR BRAZORIA...GALVESTON...
JACKSON...MATAGORDA...CHAMBERS...FORT BEND...HARRIS...LIBERTY...AND
WHARTON COUNTIES...

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
HURRICANE CLAUDETTE WILL MAKE LANDFALL NEAR MATAGORDA BAY BETWEEN 9 AM
AND 3 PM TODAY.  ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE COASTAL
AREAS AS THE STORM MAKES LANDFALL.  OTHERWISE...REFER TO THE HURRICANE
LOCAL STATEMENT...SATHLSHOU...WMO HEADER WTUS84 KHGX.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE TODAY.  SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 15, 12:00 PM CDT, 52 minutes before
GMZ330-335-TXZ199-200-210>214-226-227-235>238-160000-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1200 PM CDT TUE JUL 15 2003

...TORNADO WATCH ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHERN TWO-THIRDS OF SOUTHEAST
TEXAS UNTIL 700 PM CDT...

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A NEW TORNADO WATCH IN
EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING SOUTHEAST TEXAS COUNTIES:

AUSTIN...BRAZORIA...CHAMBERS...COLORADO...FORT BEND...GALVESTON...
HARRIS...JACKSON...LIBERTY...MATAGORDA...MONTGOMERY...WALLER...
WHARTON.

THIS NEW TORNADO WATCH REPLACES THE OLD TORNADO WATCH THAT WAS IN
EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS UNTIL 100 PM.

HURRICANE CLAUDETTE HAS MADE LANDFALL IN MATAGORDA BAY. FEEDER BANDS
CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST AND EAST FROM OFF THE COAST INLAND
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TWO-THIRDS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS. TORNADOES ARE
POSSIBLE AS THESE FEEDER BANDS MOVE INLAND.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER WEATHER NEWS SOURCES FOR
FURTHER UPDATES.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Houston/Galveston, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 15, 6:41 AM CDTTornado WarningHGXChambers, Galveston49 min
Jul 15, 6:43 AM CDTSpecial Marine WarningHGX62 min
Jul 15, 8:42 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningHGXChambers, Harris3 hr
Jul 15, 10:00 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningHGXBrazoria, Fort Bend, Galveston, Jackson, Matagorda, Wharton3 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Texas, 2003Every flash flood warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.