Severe Thunderstorm Warning 273, NWS Fort Worth, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
340 PM CDT THU JUN 12 2003

MCS EXPECTED TO FORM NW TX THIS EVENING PROPAGATING SE OVER COLD
POOL...PARALLEL TO STALLING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY.  VERY HEAVY RAIN
POSSIBLE WITH PWATS IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES JUST SOUTH OF BOUNDARY.
FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE HOWEVER FLOOD WATCH WILL NOT BE ISSUED AT
THIS TIME.  RAINFALL TOTALS MAY EXCEED 2 INCHES IN PORTIONS OF NORTH
TEXAS BY 12Z FRIDAY.

STRONGER VORT LOBE WILL MOVE IN FRIDAY NIGHT WITH LIKELY POPS MAINLY
AFTER MIDNIGHT RAINFALL AGAIN MAY BE HEAVY WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES BY 12Z SATURDAY.

ROBBINS

DFW   69  88  70  86 /  60  60  60  60
ACT   69  90  70  87 /  40  40  60  60
PRX   69  87  70  84 /  60  60  60  60
DTO   69  88  70  85 /  60  60  60  60
TKI   69  88  70  85 /  60  60  60  60
DAL   69  89  70  86 /  60  60  60  60
TRL   67  89  68  85 /  60  60  60  60
CRS   68  89  69  86 /  60  60  60  60
TPL   69  91  70  87 /  40  40  60  60

.FWD...
TX...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 900 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR ZONES
TXC035...TXC093...TXC099...TXC133...TXC143...TXC193...TXC221...
TXC237...TXC281...TXC333...TXC363...TXC367...TXC425...TXC429...
TXC503.

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-131000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
515 PM CDT THU JUN 12 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT...GENERALLY
WEST OF A GAINESVILLE...DENTON...TO HILLSBORO LINE.  ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF NORTH TEXAS...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS.

ENERGY FROM AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE CURRENTLY OVER NEW
MEXICO...COUPLED A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS... WILL BRING A GOOD
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT.  THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD FORM NEAR THE
DRY LINE IN WEST TEXAS EARLY THIS EVENING.  THESE STORMS WILL MOVE
SOUTHEAST ALONG AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AND COULD PRODUCE LARGE HAIL...
STRONG DOWNBURST WINDS...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN.  SOME LOCALIZED
FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE DUE TO THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE
STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT
THURSDAY...AS A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVE ACROSS THE
REGION. SEVERE WEATHER IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER STEM FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE AS
WELL...FRIDAY NIGHT AND THIS WEEKEND...ESPECIALLY AREAS FROM
INTERSTATE 20 TO THE RED RIVER WHERE SOILS ARE MORE SATURATED.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY WEST OF INTERSTATE 35 AND NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 20 EARLY THIS EVENING...AND ACROSS THE REST OF NORTH
TEXAS TONIGHT.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
210 PM CDT THU JUN 12 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1040 PM    3 N GRANBURY              TX   TSTM WIND
6/11/03    HOOD                           TREE LIMBS BROKEN. REPORTED
                                          BY SHERIFF OFFICE.

1147 PM    BELLS                     TX   TSTM WIND
6/11/03    GRAYSON                        TREES DOWNED/MOBILE HOME
                                          ROOF DAMAGE. REPORTED BY
                                          CITY OFFICIALS

1150 PM    KAUFMAN                   TX   TSTM WIND
6/11/03    KAUFMAN                        TREE BLOWN DOWN IN KAUFMAN.
                                          RELAYED BY SHERIFF OFFICE.