Flash Flood Warning 8, NWS Fort Worth, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
554 AM CDT SUN MAY 25 2003

AREA OF RA/TSRA CONTINUES EAST ACROSS NORTH TX. EAST-WEST BAND OF
TSRA SAGGING SOUTH SHOULD AFFECT METROPLEX TERMINALS THROUGH MID
MORNING. EXPECT SOME SUBSIDENCE BEHIND CONVECTIVE AREA...BUT
INSTABILITY/APPROACHING FRONT/OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES SHOULD LEAD TO
ANOTHER ROUND OF AFTERNOON/EVENING TSRA. TSRA SHOULD CONTINUE INTO
OVERNIGHT HOURS SOMEWHERE IN OUR CWA...BUT UNCERTAINTY EXISTS ABOUT
PRECISE TIMING/LOCATION.  FOR NOW WILL GO WITH PROB30 AROUND MAX
HEATING AND INTO EVENING...AND WILL CARRY CB INTO LATE EVENING.
WINDS BEHIND FRONT SHOULD SWING TO NE/NNE...BUT SPEEDS SHOULD BE
AROUND 10 KTS OR LESS.
..06..

.PUBLIC DISCUSSION ISSUED AT 337 AM...
CLUSTERS OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AS COLD FRONT
AND LARGE MCS INTERACT WITH MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR ACROSS THE
REGION. APPEARS THAT THE MCS IS EVOLVING INTO MORE OF A HEAVY RAIN
EVENT...WITH SOME LOCAL FLOODING OF LOW SPOTS LIKELY. ETA FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SHOW OVER 1.5 INCHES OF PW INTO THIS AFTERNOON...BUT FEEL
A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE A BIT TOO AGGRESSIVE AS MANY AREAS STILL NEED
SOME GOOD RAIN. COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE SLIDE SW INTO N TEXAS THIS
AFTERNOON AND STORMS WILL LIKELY REDEVELOP ALONG THE BOUNDARY AND
MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS MAINLY OUR SOUTHERN ZONES LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT. STILL WILL BE A THREAT OF SEVERE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT AS CAPE FORECAST REMAINS SOMEWHAT HIGH (1500-2000 J/KG
ACROSS THE SPC DAY ONE OUTLOOK AREA).

FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL AND WASH OUT ACROSS OUR EXTREME SOUTHERN
CWA MONDAY AFTERNOON...WITH SOME LIMITED ISENTROPIC LIFT AND WEAK
IMPULSES ALOFT PROVIDING SOME CHANCE OF LINGERING PRECIP INTO
TUESDAY. OTHERWISE...NEW GFS CONTINUES TO SHOW A RIDGE BUILDING INTO
THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS SHOULD WARM N TEXAS AND END THE PRECIP
CHANCES FOR SEVERAL DAYS. RIDGE LOOKS TO BREAK DOWN LATE IN THE
EXTENDED PERIOD AS FLOW BECOMES MORE PROGRESSIVE...FOLLOWED BY A
WEAK TROUGH ACROSS THE CENTRAL U.S..

DFW   80  61  77  63 / 100  40  20  20
ACT   84  62  82  65 / 100  60  30  20
PRX   75  60  76  62 /  50  20  20  20
DTO   78  59  77  61 / 100  40  20  20
TKI   78  61  77  62 / 100  40  20  20
DAL   80  61  77  64 / 100  40  20  20
TRL   80  62  77  64 / 100  30  20  20
CRS   84  61  82  65 / 100  60  30  20
TPL   84  63  82  66 /  80  60  30  20

.FWD...
TX...NONE.

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-252100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
455 AM CDT SUN MAY 25 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT FOR THAT PART OF NORTH TEXAS SOUTH OF A LINE
FROM BRECKENRIDGE...TO ATHENS. THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF
STEPHENVILLE...HILLSBORO...PALESTINE...WACO...AND TEMPLE. LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE PRIMARY THREATS...BUT LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL ALSO PRESENT A HAZARD.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL LINGER FROM MEMORIAL DAY INTO TUESDAY.
ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED DURING THIS PERIOD.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
115 AM CDT SUN MAY 25 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0100 AM    MALAKOFF                  TX   60 MPH TSTM GUST
05/25/03   HENDERSON                      REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
141 AM CDT SUN MAY 25 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0130 AM    PONDER                    TX   2.75 INCH HAIL
05/25/03   DENTON                         REPORTED BY SPOTTER

0133 AM    KRUM                      TX   1.75 INCH HAIL
05/25/03   DENTON                         REPORTED BY SPOTTER

FTWWRKLSR 0000
TTAA00 KFTW DDHHMM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
205 AM CDT SUN MAY 25 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0140 AM    909 E COLLINS             TX   FLOODING
05/25/03   DALLAS                         HOME/BUSINESS FLOODED.
                                          REPORTED BY EMERGENCY MANAGER.
                                          PARTIAL ROOF COLLAPSE.