Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 124, NWS Grand Forks, ND

July 13, 2003Norman County, Minnesota

NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 13, 2003, 10:18 PM CDT for Norman County, Minnesota. It was in force for 57 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 13, 2003, 10:18 PM CDT (03:18 UTC)
Expired
Jul 13, 2003, 11:15 PM CDT
In force
57 min
Issued by
NWS Grand Forks, ND
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Norman County, MN

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 63 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jul 13, 9:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

International Fa, MN (KINL), launched 00:00Z, 3.3 hours before the alert went out and 276 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, International Fa, MN at 00:00Z on 2003-07-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 9 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, International Fa, MN at 00:00Z on 2003-07-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 226 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
9 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-491 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1667 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
226 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
285 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KFGF 140318
SVRFGF
MNC107-140415-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
1018 PM CDT SUN JUL 13 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

  NORMAN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

* UNTIL 1115 PM CDT.

* AT 1013 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 18 MILES WEST OF HADLER...OR ABOUT 33 MILES
  NORTH OF FARGO...MOVEMENT WAS TO THE SOUTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...

  HALSTAD AT 1025 PM...
  ADA AT 1030 PM...
  TWIN VALLEY AT 1045 PM.

WINDS UP TO 80 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.

REMEMBER SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING.

LAT...LON 4747 9679 4720 9681 4718 9614 4745 9611

$$

DONAVON

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 13, 8:20 PM CDT, 1 hour 58 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 13, 8:20 PM CDT, 1 hour 58 minutes before
FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
820 PM CDT SUN JUL 13 2003

...ABBREVIATED DISCUSSION DUE TO ONGOING SEVERE WEATHER...

NEAR TERM/ANALYSIS...A SEVERE/TORNADIC CONVECTIVE CLUSTER IN CENTRAL
ND IS MOVING STEADILY EWD AT AROUND 45KTS...WITH ADDN SEVERE LINE
EXTENDING NEWD INTO SWRN BENSON CNTY. EXPECT SVR TSTMS INTO THE
GRAND FORKS AREA BY 10 PM...WITH LIKELY DEVELOPMENT SOUTHWARD ALG
THE LINE...AND INTO THE FARGO-MOORHEAD AREA BY 11PM. A SFC COLD
FRONT IS SWEEPING SEWD THROUGH WCNTL ND AND IS EXPECTED TO PUSH
ACROSS THE NRN RRV SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. MUCAPE VALUES ACROSS
EASTERN ND ARE APPROACHING 3500-400J/KG...AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
POOLS AHEAD OF THIS FRONT. THE 21Z RUC SHOWS THESE HIGH
INSTABILITIES SHIFTING INTO WRN MN THROUGH THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT HOURS. COORD WITH SPC INDICATES THAT SEVERE TSTM WATCH
WILL LIKLEY BE ISSUED INTO THE RRV AND NORTHWEST-WEST CENTRAL MN
FROM 10PM INTO OVERNIGHT HOURS.

MONDAY...EXPECT A SECOND ROUND OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO
DEVELOP ACROSS ERN MT TONIGHT...AND MOVE ACROSS ND DURING THE
OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS. THUS ADDN TSTMS ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED THROUGH THE MONDAY FORENOON HOURS. MUCH DEPENDS ON HOW AND
IF SFC LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS INTO SCNTRL ND AROUND 12Z AS NOSE OF
500-300MB JET NOSES INTO WRN ND. UPR DIVERGENCE HAS BEEN PROGGED
CONSISTENTLY HIGH WITH THIS FEATURE AND SHOULD ADD IN DEVELOPMENT OF
WIDESPREAD AND PERSISTENT CONVECTION INTO THE FGF CWFA FOR EARLY
MONDAY. THREAT FOR TRAINING ECHOES AND/OR REPEATED TSTMS WITH HEAVY
RAIN EXISTS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...MAINLY ACROSS THE SRN PORTIONS
OF THE FGF CWFA.

.FGF...SEVERE TSTM WATCH FOR EASTERN ND TIL 10PM. EXTENSION EXPECTED
INTO NORTHWEST MN AFTER 10PM.

GUST
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 13, 6:32 AM CDT, 15 hours 46 minutes before
MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-131430-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
632 AM CDT SUN JUL 13 2003

...SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP LATE TODAY AND
TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA...WEST
CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER 4 PM
THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE DEVILS LAKE REGION AND THE FAR NORTHERN
PORTION OF THE RED RIVER VALLEY.  THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE IS EXPECTED
TO INCREASE AND SPREAD OVER THE REST OF THE REGION AFTER 7 PM.  THE
THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL THEN CONTINUE INTO MUCH OF THE NIGHT.
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL ARE THE MAIN THREATS.

THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM IN A VERY WARM AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS
TODAY AHEAD OF A WEAK COLD FRONT THAT WILL EXTEND FROM NEAR WINNIPEG
TO MINOT TO DICKINSON LATE THIS AFTERNOON.  THE FRONT WILL MOVE EAST
ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY...BUT NO SEVERE
WEATHER IS EXPECTED.  THE NEXT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL COME
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED AFTER 4 PM TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT.

RIDDLE

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 13, 8:48 PM CDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS, ND
848 PM CDT SUN JUL 13 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0846 PM    8 S HAMAR                 ND   E60 MPH WIND GUST
07/13/03   EDDY                           LARGE BRANCHES BROKE AND
                                          SMALLER TREES BENT
                                          SEVERELY. REPORTED BY
                                          TRAINED SPOTTER.

GJG
Local storm report, Jul 13, 9:18 PM CDT, 1 hour before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS, ND
918 PM CDT SUN JUL 13 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0906 PM    7 SW MCVILLE              ND   E65 MPH WIND GUST
07/13/03   NELSON

0906 PM    8 NNE BINFORD             ND   E65 MPH WIND GUST
07/13/03   GRIGGS

GJG
Local storm report, Jul 13, 10:01 PM CDT, 17 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS, ND
1001 PM CDT SUN JUL 13 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0945 PM    4 E GOLDEN LAKE           ND   E70 MPH WIND GUST
07/13/   STEELE                         LARGE TREE SNAPPED OFF
                                          REPORTED BY PUBLIC.

GJG
Local storm report, Jul 13, 10:01 PM CDT, 17 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT ...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS, ND
1001 PM CDT SUN JUL 13 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0945 PM    4 E GOLDEN LAKE           ND   E70 MPH WIND GUST
07/13/03   STEELE                         LARGE TREE SNAPPED OFF
                                          REPORTED BY PUBLIC.

GJG

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 14, 2:54 PM CDTTornado WarningFGFKittson66 min
Jul 14, 3:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFLake of the Woods41 min
Jul 14, 4:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFKittson45 min
Jul 14, 4:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFLake of the Woods, Roseau40 min
Jul 14, 4:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFMarshall49 min
Jul 14, 4:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFLake of the Woods42 min
Jul 14, 5:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFPolk44 min
Jul 14, 5:58 PM CDTTornado WarningFGFPolk47 min
Jul 14, 6:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFRed Lake45 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Minnesota, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.