Severe Thunderstorm Warning 35, NWS State College, PA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
400 PM EDT FRI JUL 18 2003

WILL HAVE TO KEEP THIS SHORT WITH A FEW STRONG STORMS AFFECTING THE
AREA.  COLD FRONT SLOWLY MOVING SOUTH ACROSS THE STATE...KICKING OFF
SCATTERED CONVECTION AHEAD IF IT.  DYNAMICS REMAIN MARGINAL FOR
SEVERE...SO EXPECT STRONGEST ACTIVITY TO REMAIN ISOLATED.
CONVECTION WILL DIE DOWN LATER THIS EVENING...BUT HELD ONTO A LOW
CHANCE OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR THE WEEKEND BRINGING COOLER AND DRIER
WEATHER BEFORE A TROUGH FORMS TO OUR WEST...SPREADING A CHANCE OF
RAIN FOR TUE AND WED.

FCSTID =    99
MDT   62  82  60  85 /  60  10  00  10
IPT   57  79  56  83 /  40  00  00  10
BFD   45  73  46  75 /  10  00  00  10
JST   55  75  56  77 /  70  00  00  10
AOO   56  77  56  81 /  70  00  00  10
UNV   55  78  55  81 /  50  00  00  10
SEG   59  80  57  84 /  60  10  00  10
LNS   64  82  62  86 /  60  10  00  10
THV   63  81  62  85 /  60  10  00  10

.CTP...
PA...NONE.

RXR

PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-
056>059-063>066-180945-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
349 AM EDT FRI JUL 18 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

A COLD FRONT WILL DROP THROUGH THE REGION FROM NORTH TO SOUTH
TODAY.  THE AIR TO THE SOUTH OF THE FRONT IS WARM AND HUMID...AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL FIRE UP AS THE FRONT NEARS.  MOST OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS TODAY WILL BE TO THE SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80...WHICH IS
ALSO WHERE THE GREATEST THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  THE WINDS ALOFT ARE VERY STRONG FOR THIS
TIME OF YEAR.  STRONG...DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE
MAIN THREAT TODAY....HOWEVER SMALL HAIL AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.

THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL DIMINISH AROUND MIDNIGHT...AS THE
FRONT PUSHES TO THE SOUTH OF THE STATE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED MON THROUGH WEDNESDAY OF NEXT
WEEK...BUT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

DANGELO

PAZ019-024>028-033>036-045-046-049>053-056>059-063>066-182100-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
123 PM EDT FRI JUL 18 2003

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER
SOUTH CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN
OKLAHOMA HAS PLACED MUCH OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA UNDER A SLIGHT RISK
FOR SEVERE WEATHER TODAY.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL TRACK ACROSS CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
DROPPING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE STATE.  STRONG AND POTENTIALLY
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREAT TODAY....
WITH AREAS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80 MOST LIKELY TO SEE STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS.

THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL DIMINISH AROUND MIDNIGHT...AS THE
FRONT PUSHES SOUTH OF THE STATE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

DEVOIR

PAZ014>017-020>023-029>032-182000-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
255 PM EDT FRI JUL 18 2003

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM IS APPROACHING NORTHWEST CLEARFIELD
COUNTY...

AT 250 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM BETWEEN BROCKWAY AND BROOKVILLE IN NORTHERN
JEFFERSON COUNTY.  MOVEMENT WAS TO THE SOUTH SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

AT ITS PRESENT SPEED...THE STORM WILL IMPACT AREAS OF CLEARFIELD
COUNTY WEST OF TREASURE LAKE AND DUBOIS BY 330 PM.  STRONG GUSTY
WINDS TO 45 MPH...HAIL...TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS AND DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING WILL ACCOMPANY THIS STORM.

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES...SEEK INDOOR SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

DEVOIR