Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2002

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 66, NWS San Angelo, TX

April 24, 2002Menard County, Texas

NWS San Angelo, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 24, 2002, 8:01 PM CDT for Menard County, Texas. It was in force for 44 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 24, 2002, 8:01 PM CDT (01:01 UTC)
Expired
Apr 24, 2002, 8:45 PM CDT
In force
44 min
Issued by
NWS San Angelo, TX
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Menard County, TX

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Del Rio, TX (KDRT), launched 00:00Z, 1.0 hours before the alert went out and 181 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Del Rio, TX at 00:00Z on 2002-04-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1229 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Del Rio, TX at 00:00Z on 2002-04-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -40 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1229 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-138 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2210 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-40 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-20 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-1.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS54 KSJT 250101
SVRSJT
TXC327-250145-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
801 PM CDT WED APR 24 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  MENARD COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS

* UNTIL 845 PM CDT

* AT 756 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES EAST OF FORT MCKAVETT...OR ABOUT 17
  MILES SOUTHWEST OF MENARD...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. FOR YOUR PROTECTION...MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS.

LAT...LON 3092 10000 3084 10012 3071 10007 3072 9981

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 24, 2:41 PM CDT, 5 hours 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 24, 2:41 PM CDT, 5 hours 20 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED CCF FOR JCT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
241 PM CDT WED APR 24 2002

MAIN CHALLENGE FOR THIS FORECAST PACKAGE WILL BE RAIN CHANCES AND
TIMING IN THE NEXT 48-72 HOURS. ETA AND AVN MODELS SHOW DIFFERENCES
IN TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF QPF ACROSS OUR CWFA...AND HAVE LOW
CONFIDENCE IN A SPECIFIC SOLUTION. DECENT COLD FRONT FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR WAS MOVING SOUTHWARD INTO OUR CENTRAL COUNTIES EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT TO MOVE THROUGH OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES DURING
THE EVENING/EARLY TONIGHT BEFORE STALLING IN SOUTH TX THURSDAY. FRONT
TO LIFT BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT LATE THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY.
EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE IMPULSES ALOFT TO EJECT ENE ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO
INTO TX/SOUTHERN PLAINS THURSDAY INTO FRI. UPPER LOW TO MOVE ONTO
SOUTHERN CA COAST THURSDAY NIGHT BEFORE OPENING INTO THE FLOW AND
EJECTING ENE FRIDAY...REACHING SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS BY EARLY
SATURDAY.

WILL MONITOR WIND TRENDS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON...AND
WILL PROBABLY CARRY AN EVENING OR NIGHTTIME MENTION OF BREEZY
CONDITIONS FOR AT LEAST THE BIG COUNTRY. AFTER COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE
TONIGHT...ISENTROPIC LIFT TO BEGIN AND INCREASE LATE THURSDAY INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT. AS LOWER LEVELS SATURATE...EXPECT WIDESPREAD LOW
CLOUD FORMATION OVERNIGHT WITH LOW CLOUD PERSISTENCE INTO FRIDAY.
TIMING AND STRENGTH UNCERTAINTY WITH EMBEDDED IMPULSES ALOFT MAKE POP
SPECIFICATION DIFFICULT FOR OUR AREA. WILL CONTINUE WITH A LOW POP
OVERNIGHT FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN COUNTIES. AT THIS TIME APPEARS THE
BETTER CHANCE FOR ELEVATED SHOWERS/STORMS WILL BE THURSDAY AND
THURSDAY NIGHT...AS SHORTWAVE ENERGY AFFECTS OUR REGION AND LOW LEVEL
JET DEVELOPS THURSDAY NIGHT. MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED
THURSDAY (ESPECIALLY WITH CLOUDCOVER)...AND WILL LEAN CLOSER TO AVN
NUMBERS FOR HIGHS. LARGE DIFFERENCE SHOWN IN GUIDANCE HIGHS FOR
FRIDAY. DESPITE RETREATING WARM FRONT...SHOULD SEE CONSIDERABLE
CLOUDCOVER. HIGHS CLOSER TO WARMER FWC LOOK MORE REASONABLE AT THIS
POINT.

CHANCE FOR SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.
WARM FRONT TO RETREAT NORTH ACROSS TX FRIDAY. SHOULD SEE ADDITIONAL
STORMS DEVELOP ALONG DRYLINE VICINITY OF TX/NM BORDER BY LATE FRI
AFTERNOON...WITH APPROACH OF MAIN UPPER SHORTWAVE. WITH A LOW LEVEL
JET AND THETA E RIDGE PROGGED ACROSS OUR REGION FRIDAY NIGHT...MAY
SEE STORMS EVOLVE INTO A SQUALL LINE ALONG THE DRYLINE AS IT PUSHES
EAST INTO OUR CWFA. IF THE SYSTEM IS SLOWER MOVING THAN PROGGED...
WOULD NEED TO ADD A RESIDUAL POP FOR OUR EASTERN COUNTIES SATURDAY
MORNING. DRIER AND WARMER FOR SATURDAY AS SHORTWAVE QUICKLY MOVES
AWAY TO THE NORTHEAST. AVN TRIES TO INCREASE MOISTURE IN RETURN FLOW
BY SUNDAY...BUT NOT ANTICIPATING MORE THAN SOME CLOUDS AT THIS POINT.

NO CHANGES PLANNED FURTHER INTO THE EXTENDED...WITH WARM AND DRY
CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED FOR WEST CENTRAL TX.

ABI 053/059/053/073 0332
SJT 057/063/056/077 1332
JCT 062/068/058/079 2332

.SJT...CAUTION ON AREA LAKES FOR BIG COUNTRY...CONCHO VALLEY AND
HEARTLAND TONIGHT.

19

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 24, 2:29 PM CDT, 5 hours 32 minutes before
TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140-
154-155-168>170-242315-

WEST CENTRAL TEXAS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
229 PM CDT WED APR 24 2002

...HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS
TONIGHT...

A WARM AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH TONIGHT. A WARM LAYER OF AIR ALOFT HAS ACTED
AS A CAP AND PREVENTED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT SO FAR TODAY. THIS
CAP IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN STRONG...AND PREVENT THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT ACROSS MOST AREAS. HOWEVER...CONVERGENCE ALONG A COLD
FRONT MOVING THROUGH WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
MAY PROVIDE ENOUGH SUPPORT TO BREAK THROUGH THE CAP OVER THE EASTERN
SECTIONS OF THE AREA...WHERE THE CAP WILL BE THE WEAKEST. THE MOST
LIKELY AREA TO SEE ANY OF THESE STORMS WILL BE EAST OF AN ABILENE TO
SAN ANGELO LINE. ANY STORM THAT DOES DEVELOP WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL
OF BECOMING QUITE STRONG..PRODUCING SMALL HAIL...AND DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS AND OUTLOOKS FROM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES ACROSS TEXAS...OKLAHOMA...AND NEW
MEXICO.

The office that day

Everything else NWS San Angelo, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 25, 11:58 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningSJTShackelford2 hr
Apr 25, 12:04 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSJTShackelford116 min
Apr 25, 12:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTShackelford38 min
Apr 25, 1:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTShackelford16 min
Apr 25, 2:00 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSJTShackelford3 hr
Apr 25, 2:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTShackelford55 min
Apr 25, 5:01 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSJTShackelford3 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2002Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2002

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.