Flash Flood Warning 12, NWS San Angelo, TX

WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
250 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2002

WITH SUNSHINE AND GOOD MIXING TODAY...DRYLINE WILL LIKELY DEVELOP
ALONG AN IRAAN...BIG LAKE...COLORADO CITY LINE THIS EVENING.
ATMOSPHERE IS UNSTABLE WITH SATELLITE 17Z CAPES OF 3000 J/KG IN THE
WESTERN AND NORTHERN CWA. MESOETA CINH VALUES NEARLY ZERO AT 21Z THIS
AFTERNOON. STORMS THAT DEVELOP OFF THE DRYLINE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST
INTO THE CWA THIS EVENING. 15Z CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK INDICATED HASKELL
AND THROCKMORTON IN A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. AREAS
ALONG AND NORTH OF A STERLING CITY TO ROBERT LEE TO BROWNWOOD LINE
WERE IN A SLIGHT RISK.

COLD FRONT REMAINS IN THE PANHANDLE AT 19Z...FROM NEAR AMARILLO TO
GAGE. FRONT WILL BE SLOW MOVING TONIGHT...BUT SHOULD GET SOME HELP AS
5H SHORTWAVE MOVES ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS OVERNIGHT. MESOETA AND
AVN TIMING AGREE IN BRINGING THE FRONT INTO THE BIG COUNTRY IN THE
MORNING...THEN STALLING IN THE CONCHO VALLEY IN THE AFTERNOON. FRONT
WILL BE SHALLOW AND LACKING UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT...BUT WITH INSTABILITY
AND A FAVORABLE WIND SHEAR PROFILE NEAR DRYLINE AND FRONT...MAY SEE
SOME STORMS. AGAIN SOME STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE.

SUNDAY AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVES OUT OF THE 4-CORNERS AREA AND
SLOWLY MOVES EAST INTO KANSAS WEDNESDAY. THIS MAY SLIGHTLY ENHANCE THE
THUNDERSTORMS POTENTIAL SUNDAY/SUNDAY EVENING.

MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY OF NEXT WEEK WILL SEE NORTHWEST TO NORTH FLOW
ALOFT AS UPPER RIDGE DEVELOPS OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAINS. WITH
MOISTURE HANGING AROUND...AND PROBABLY A WEAK CAP...THERE SHOULD BE
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY.

PRELIMS...

ABI 065/079/062/082/063 3233
SJT 068/087/063/086/064 2233
JCT 068/089/065/087/065 1233

.SJT...NONE.

04

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140-
154-155-168>170-242315-

WEST CENTRAL TEXAS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
222 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2002

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

THE DRY LINE WILL MOVE EAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS MAY FORM ACROSS THE WESTERN COUNTIES. TONIGHT...A COLD
FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT AND SATURDAY WILL LIKELY SET
OFF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.  SOME OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS THAT FORM COULD BE SEVERE.  THE MAIN THREAT FOR SEVERE
WEATHER FOR THIS EVENING WILL BE ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY AND THE
NORTHERN CONCHO VALLEY.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS AND OUTLOOKS FROM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES ACROSS TEXAS...OKLAHOMA...AND NEW
MEXICO.

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