Severe Thunderstorm Warning 41, NWS Jackson, KY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
330 AM EDT SUN APR 28 2002

NOW FIRMLY IN WARM SECTOR.  ALL MODEL GUIDANCE SIMILAR IN KICKING
RAIN OUT TONIGHT.  WILL PUT NORTHERN COUNTIES IN FLOOD WATCH.  FFG
HAS ALREADY BEEN MET IN SEVERAL COUNTIES AND EXPECTING POSSIBLE
SEVERAL ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAIN. KEEPING WIND ADVISORY FOR HIGHER
TERRAIN.

PREVIOUS FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK FOR MOST PART. BEEFED UP STORM
WORDING. LOWERED MAX TEMPS WITH INCREASED CLOUD COVER.  COULD SEE
SOME TROUBLE STORMS WITHIN A FEW HOURS.  ANOTHER ROUND IS QUITE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON WITH A COMBINATION OF INSTABILITY AND STRONG
WIND PROFILE COULD SPELL TROUBLE FOR US...WITH A RELATIVELY LOW
CONVECTIVE TEMP IN THE MID 70S.

GOT TO GO.

.JKL...WIND ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE
2000 FEET IN FAR EASTERN KENTUCKY...KYZ087-088-115-117-118-120.

HEINLEIN

KYZ058>060-068-069-079-080-083>086-106>117-119-281400-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
938 AM EDT SUN APR 28 2002

...THE TORNADO WATCH FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY HAS BEEN CANCELED...

AT 930 AM THE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING SEVERE WEATHER HAD
MOVED EAST OF THE TORNADO WATCH BOX AND IS NO LONGER CURRENTLY A
THREAT.

HOWEVER...MORE STRONG STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA LATER
THIS AFTERNOON.  STAY TUNED FOR ANOTHER SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
COMING OUT SOON WHICH WILL EXPLAIN IN MORE DETAIL THE THREAT FOR
SEVERE WEATHER FOR LATER TODAY.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL TELEVISION
OR RADIO STATIONS...AND THE INTERNET FOR FURTHER WEATHER UPDATES.
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/JKL.

HEINLEIN

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-290000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1019 AM EDT SUN APR 28 2002

...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING FOR MUCH OF EASTERN KENTUCKY...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ANYWHERE IN EASTERN KENTUCKY
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HOWEVER...THE GREATEST RISK WILL BE
GENERALLY NORTH OF THE DANIEL BOONE PARKWAY AND ROUTE 80.

A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST. MOIST AND UNSTABLE
AIR WILL FUEL THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF THE FRONT. DAMAGING WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT. HOWEVER...STRONG AND VEERING
WINDS ALOFT WILL ALSO BE FAVORABLE FOR THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING ISOLATED TORNADOES. THE MOST FAVORABLE TIME FOR SEVERE
WEATHER WILL BE MID AFTERNOON IN NORTHERN AREAS AROUND MOUNT
STERLING...FLEMINGSBURG...AND MOREHEAD. THE GREATEST THREAT WILL
TRANSITION SOUTHEAST TO AREAS NEAR THE VIRGINIA BORDER BY EARLY
THIS EVENING.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR
UPDATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES OR WARNINGS. SKYWARN
SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO KEEP UP TO DATE ON THE WEATHER SITUATION
AND REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER.

HAL