Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Warnings in 2002
Flash Flood Warning 37, NWS Flagstaff, AZ
NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this flash flood warning at Jul 10, 2002, 4:17 PM MST for Gila County, Navajo County, Arizona. It was in force for 118 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 10, 2002, 4:17 PM MST (23:17 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 10, 2002, 6:15 PM MST
- In force
- 118 min
- Issued by
- NWS Flagstaff, AZ
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
Counties Gila County, AZ, Navajo County, AZ
The radar
The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 77 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Phoenix, AZ (KPSR), launched 12:00Z, 11.3 hours before the alert went out and 164 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 67 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -479 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2618 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 10 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -7 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 45 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WGUS55 KFGZ 102320
FFWFGZ
AZC007-017-110215-
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING...UPDATED TO ADD LAT/LON
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
417 PM MST WED JUL 10 2002
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
NORTH CENTRAL GILA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ARIZONA
SOUTHWESTERN NAVAJO COUNTY IN NORTHEAST ARIZONA
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF HEBER-OVERGAARD
* UNTIL 715 PM MST
* AT 417 PM MST...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY HEAVY
RAIN 30 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PINEDALE...OR ABOUT 31 MILES WEST OF
WHITERIVER. THE AREA OF HEAVY RAIN WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.
* THE THUNDERSTORM WITH EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL AFFECT OR PASS CLOSE
TO...
RURAL SOUTHWESTERN NAVAJO COUNTY AT 720 PM MST
RURAL NORTHERN GILA COUNTY AT 720 PM MST
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE. IF YOUR VEHICLE STALLS, ABANDON IT IMMEDIATELY AND SEEK
HIGHER GROUND.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY
RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.
LAT...LON 3413 11082 3405 11049 3405 11015 3419 11009
3430 11011 3441 11035 3444 11064 3430 11078What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 10, 2:45 PM MST, 1 hour 32 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 10, 2:45 PM MST, 1 hour 32 minutes before
NORTHERN ARIZONA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
245 PM MST WED JUL 10 2002
.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE GREAT BASIN THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. EXPECT A MOIST
NORTHEAST TO EAST FLOW TO CONTINUE...WHICH WILL RESULT IN DAILY
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.DISCUSSION...STORMS UNDERWAY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH TWO DISTINCT
AREAS ON THE SCOPE. THE FIRST (WESTERN) AREA IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN
OLD MID LEVEL WAVE FROM LAST NIGHT...WITH THE SECOND AREA DEVELOPING
IN THE EAST. THIS AREA DEVELOPED IN ADVANCE OF ANOTHER EASTERLY WAVE
MOVING THROUGH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. THIS WAVE WILL DRIVE STORMS
THROUGH TONIGHT...AND AGAIN PRODUCE ACTIVE WEATHER IN CENTRAL
ARIZONA THURSDAY. ASIDE FROM THIS...THE REGION WILL REMAIN IN A
MOIST EASTERLY FLOW WITH A STRONG RIDGE TO THE NORTH THROUGH THE
FORECASTABLE FUTURE. THIS WILL KEEP ALL ZONES IN A MEDIUM GRADE
MONSOON FORECAST THROUGH DAY SEVEN. HEAVY RAINS OVER THE FIRE AREAS
HAVE PROMPTED WARNINGS TODAY...WILL OBVIOUSLY KEEP THE WATCH GOING
FOR THIS REASON. PETERSON.
.FGZ...FFA FOR AREAS IN AND AROUND THE CHEDISKI-RODEO FIRE UNTIL
10 PM MST.
.CODED TEMPERATURES/POPS FOR SELECTED CITIES IN NORTHERN ARIZONA
CITY TEMPERATURES LO/HI PROBABILITY OF PRECIP
TON THU FRI SAT TON THU FRI SAT
FLAGSTAFF 055/083 056/084 055/084 040 040 030 040 030 040
WINSLOW 064/091 065/092 065/092 030 030 030 030 030 030
PRESCOTT 064/089 065/090 065/090 040 040 030 040 030 040
PAGE 074/098 075/099 075/099 020 030 020 030 020 030
WINDOW ROCK 051/084 052/085 052/085 030 040 030 040 030 040
CANYON DE CHELLY 059/090 060/091 060/091 020 020 020 020 020 030
COTTONWOOD 072/100 073/101 073/101 040 040 030 040 030 040
GRAND CANYON 055/084 056/085 055/085 030 040 030 040 030 040
GREER 052/078 053/079 052/079 050 050 040 050 040 050
HEBER 057/088 058/089 057/089 050 050 040 050 040 050
JACOB LAKE 055/081 056/082 055/082 030 030 030 030 030 030
NAVAJO N.M. 056/084 057/085 057/085 020 030 020 030 020 030
PAYSON 065/093 066/094 066/094 040 040 030 040 030 040
SEDONA 070/097 071/098 071/098 040 040 030 040 030 040
SELIGMAN 057/092 058/093 058/093 030 040 030 040 030 040
SHOW LOW 063/088 064/089 063/089 050 050 040 050 040 050
ST. JOHNS 059/086 060/087 060/087 040 040 030 040 030 040
WUPATKI N.M. 065/093 066/094 066/094 030 030 030 030 030 030The office that day
Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 5:11 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | FGZ | Coconino, Gila, Navajo | 5 hr |
| Jul 9, 5:22 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | FGZ | Coconino, Gila, Navajo | 6 hr |
| Jul 10, 2:28 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | FGZ | Navajo | 3 hr |
| Jul 10, 2:28 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | FGZ | Navajo | 107 min |
| Jul 10, 4:17 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | FGZ | Gila, Navajo | |
| Jul 10, 4:20 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | FGZ | Gila, Navajo | 3 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Arizona, 2002Every flash flood warning in 2002
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.