Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2002

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 301, NWS Grand Forks, ND

August 28, 2002Clay County, Minnesota

NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 28, 2002, 6:16 PM CDT for Clay County, Minnesota. It was in force for 59 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 28, 2002, 6:16 PM CDT (23:16 UTC)
Expired
Aug 28, 2002, 7:15 PM CDT
In force
59 min
Issued by
NWS Grand Forks, ND
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Clay County, MN

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 98 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Aug 28, 5:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC4 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 12:00Z, 11.3 hours before the alert went out and 270 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Aberdeen, SD at 12:00Z on 2002-08-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1363 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Aberdeen, SD at 12:00Z on 2002-08-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 99 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1363 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-76 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
969 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
99 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
123 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

018 
WUUS53 KFGF 282316
SVRFAR
MNC027-290015-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
616 PM CDT WED AUG 28 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

  CLAY COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

* UNTIL 715 PM CDT.

* AT 614 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER MUSKODA...OR ABOUT 18 MILES EAST OF       
  FARGO...MOVEMENT WAS TO THE NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.  OTHER SEVERE 
  THUNDERSTORMS WERE OVER EAST CENTRAL CLAY COUNTY NEAR HITTERDAL.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...

  HAWLEY AT 630 PM...
  DALE AT 655 PM AND
  ULEN AT 710 PM.

REMEMBER SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM WEDNESDAY
EVENING FOR NORTHWESTERN MINNESOTA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA.

LAT...LON 4686 9661 4674 9644 4687 9621 4716 9622


06

NNNN

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 28, 3:00 PM CDT, 3 hours 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 28, 3:00 PM CDT, 3 hours 16 minutes before
FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
300 PM CDT WED AUG 28 2002

FORECAST CHALLENGE IS PRECIPITATION. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
CLOUDS COVER MAINLY OVER N PARTS OF AREA...WITH SCATTERED CLOUD
COVER ELSEWHERE. KMVX HAS CONVECTION IN FAR E COUNTIES. CURRENT MSAS
SURFACE ANALYSIS HAS LOW CENTERED MOBRIDGE AND ABR...WITH INVERTED
TROF EXTENDING THROUGH AREA ALONG A JMS-GFK-HCO LINE. WHEN COMPARING
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS TO MODEL INITIALIZATIONS...AVN CLOSEST.
SURFACE LOW AND INVERTED TROF MOVE BARELY E OVERNIGHT (TO ALONG A
FAR-BDE LINE BY 12Z THU)...KEEPING THETA-E RIDGE...GOOD
INSTABILITY...MID LEVEL LIFT...SURFACE MOISTURE CONVERGENCE...OVER
MUCH OF AREA THROUGH THE NIGHT. MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE
PRECIPITABLE WATERS FROM 1.25 TO 1.75 INCHES...WITH WEAK FLOW
THROUGH MUCH OF THE COLUMN AND THICKNESS DIFFLUENCE OVER THE
AREA...HEAVY RAIN WITH TRAINING STORMS POSSIBLE AGAIN TONIGHT. WITH
CAPES STILL 2000-3000 OVER AREA AND NO CAP...ALREADY HAVE HAD SEVERE
HAIL...SO WILL KEEP MENTION OF SEVERE POTENTIAL FOR E COUNTIES. AS A
RESULT...ISSUED FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL OF AREA EXCEPT DVL PORTION AND
EXTREME NE ND AND NW MN THROUGH TONIGHT. THANKS TO BIS (FGF BACKING
UP)...MSP AND DLH FOR COORD.

SFC LOW WASHES OUT OVER AREA ON THU...AS 700MB AND 500MB TROFS ALONG
WITH UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVE THROUGH.  WITH PLENTY OF LOW TO MID
LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINING AND INVERTED TROF STILL IN AREA...
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED. TROFS AND SHORTWAVE LIFT
THROUGH E PART OF AREA ON THU NIGHT...SO KEPT CHC OF STORMS. BY 12Z
FRI...NEXT SURFACE FRONT MOVES INTO CENTRAL ND AND SD...BRINGING A
CHANCE OF STORMS TO DVL ON FRI AND THE REST OF AREA BY FRI NIGHT.
THIS FRONT MOVES SLOWLY THROUGH AREA...KEEPING CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE REGION THROUGH SAT AND INTO SAT NIGHT.

EXTENDED...MAJORITY OF EXTENDED MODELS (CANADIAN/ECMWF/AVN) TRENDING
TOWARDS LESS AMPLIFICATION/MORE ZONAL FLOW INTO FIRST HALF OF NEXT
WEEK. INITIALLY TIMING IS MAIN CONCERN HOWEVER WILL NEED TO CONTINUE
WITH PCPN CHANCES. LOOKS TO BE A BRIEF BREAK TUESDAY BEFORE SW FLOW
ALOFT KICKS IN AGAIN WITH SFC LOW PRESSURE MOVING IN MID WEEK.
COOLEST DAY LOOKS TO BE EARLY (SUN) WITH PASSAGE OF COLD FRONT
FOLLOWED BY NEAR OR BLO SEASONAL VALUES UNTIL RECOVERY MIDWEEK.

.FGF...FLOOD WATCH ALL OF FA EXCEPT DVL REGION AND EXTREME NE ND AND
NW MN.

NG/VOELKER

In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 28, 5:23 PM CDT, 53 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS, ND
523 PM CDT WED AUG 28 2002

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0432 PM    3 N BRECKENRIDGE          MN   .75 INCH HAIL
08/28/02   WILKIN                         REPORTED BY PUBLIC.

0515 PM    8 NW ROTHSAY              MN   .75 INCH HAIL
08/28/02   WILKIN

 PM

DPORTER
Local storm report, Aug 28, 5:25 PM CDT, 51 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS, ND
525 PM CDT WED AUG 28 2002

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0432 PM    3 N BRECKENRIDGE          MN   .75 INCH HAIL
08/28/02   WILKIN                         REPORTED BY PUBLIC.

0515 PM    8 NW ROTHSAY              MN   .75 INCH HAIL
08/28/02   WILKIN

DPORTER
Local storm report, Aug 28, 5:35 PM CDT, 41 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS, ND
535 PM CDT WED AUG 28 2002

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0520 PM    4 E BARNESVILLE           MN   1.75 INCH HAIL
08/28/02   CLAY

0520 PM    5 NE LAWNDALE             MN   1.75 INCH HAIL
08/28/02   WILKIN

DPORTER
Local storm report, Aug 28, 6:01 PM CDT, 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS, ND
601 PM CDT WED AUG 28 2002

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0527 PM    10 NE HANKINSON           ND   FUNNEL CLOUD
08/28/02   RICHLAND

0540 PM    DWIGHT                    ND   .75 INCH HAIL
08/28/02   RICHLAND

0545 PM    4 E HANKINSON             ND   1.00 INCH HAIL
08/28/02   RICHLAND                       REPORTED BY PUBLIC.

0600 PM    4 E HANKINSON             ND   .75 INCH HAIL
08/28/02   RICHLAND                       REPORTED BY PUBLIC.

DPORTER
Local storm report, Aug 28, 6:09 PM CDT, 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS, ND
609 PM CDT WED AUG 28 2002

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0600 PM    2 E KINDRED               ND   .75 INCH HAIL
08/28/02   CASS                           REPORTED BY PUBLIC.

DPORTER
Local storm report, Aug 28, 6:16 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS, ND
616 PM CDT WED AUG 28 2002

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0545 PM    4 SE HITTERDAL            MN   .75 INCH HAIL
08/28/02   CLAY                           REPORTED BY PUBLIC.

DPORTER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 27, 7:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFMarshall58 min
Aug 27, 11:18 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFGFMarshall6 hr
Aug 28, 1:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFClearwater45 min
Aug 28, 1:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBecker46 min
Aug 28, 2:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFClearwater, Hubbard45 min
Aug 28, 4:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFWilkin45 min
Aug 28, 4:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFClay46 min
Aug 28, 5:01 PM CDTTornado WarningFGFWilkin44 min
Aug 28, 5:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBecker, Mahnomen51 min
Aug 28, 5:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFOtter Tail48 min
Aug 28, 5:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFClay46 min
Aug 28, 5:47 PM CDTTornado WarningFGFWilkin43 min
Aug 28, 6:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBecker, Mahnomen60 min
Aug 28, 6:14 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFGFWilkin6 hr
Aug 28, 6:16 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFGFWilkin6 hr
Aug 28, 6:57 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFGFBecker, Clay, Mahnomen6 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Minnesota, 2002Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2002

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.