Alert archive / Texas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2002

Flash Flood Warning 136, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

July 13, 2002Lavaca County, Texas

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued this flash flood warning at Jul 13, 2002, 10:12 PM CDT for Lavaca County, Texas. It was in force for 93 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 13, 2002, 10:12 PM CDT (03:12 UTC)
Expired
Jul 13, 2002, 11:45 PM CDT
In force
93 min
Issued by
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Lavaca County, TX

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Corpus Christi, TX (KCRP), launched 00:00Z, 3.2 hours before the alert went out and 174 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Corpus Christi, TX at 00:00Z on 2002-07-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2837 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Corpus Christi, TX at 00:00Z on 2002-07-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 41 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2837 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-15 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1109 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
13 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
41 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
63 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS54 KEWX 140312
FFWSAT
TXC285-140445-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1010 PM CDT SAT JUL 13 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...
  LAVACA

* UNTIL 1145 PM CDT

* AT 1010 PM...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY HEAVY
  RAIN OVER LAVACA COUNTY FROM 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF YOAKUM TO 
  SPEAKS...MOVING SLOWLY EAST AT 5 MPH.  RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 3
  INCHES PER HOUR WAS NOTED AND COMBINED WITH EARLIER RAINFALL 
  WILL MAKE RUNOFF RAPID CAUSING RENEWED FLASH FLOODING.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE 
DANGERS OF FLOODS AND FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT
QUICKLY. MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY
IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE. IF YOUR VEHICLE STALLS, ABANDON IT IMMEDIATELY AND SEEK
HIGHER GROUND.

LAT...LON 2907 9692 2935 9658 2937 9665 2927 9710

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 13, 8:32 PM CDT, 1 hour 40 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 13, 8:32 PM CDT, 1 hour 40 minutes before
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
832 PM CDT SAT JUL 13 2002

A PLETHORA OF OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WITH SEVEN CURRENTLY ACROSS THE EWX
CWA.  THIS HAS STABILIZED CWA AIRMASS SOMEWHAT AS CONVECTION MUCH
LESS INTENSE AS EARLIER.  TROUGH STILL HEADED TOWARD CWA AND WITH
ALL THE BOUNDARIES AROUND WILL MAINTAIN AT LEAST LOW CHANCE POPS.
PWS ABOUT 1.7 TO 1.9 INCHES.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES TO
LOOK REASONABLE AND WILL ALSO MAINTAIN FLASH FLOOD WATCH OVERNIGHT.
WILL MAKE WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE...EXCEPT GUSTY IN STORMS DUE ALL
OF THE BOUNDARIES.  REMAINDER OF EWX CWA FORECAST GENERALLY ON TRACK.
04/03/JB/KW.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
MID LATITUDE TROF COMING IN FROM THE NW ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL TEXAS
WILL MOVE EASTWARD THRU SUNDAY...OVR PARTS OF CNTRL AND S CNTRL TX
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.  THIS MID LAT TROF WILL CONTINUE TO
INTERACT WITH REMNANTS OF TROPICAL WAVE...FROM EARLIER IN THE WEEK...
NOW OVR TX BEND AREA.  THE WEATHER PATTERN IS SIMILAR TO AN EARLY
FALL PATTERN...AS MOST OF THE WEATHER IS BEING GENERATED BY MID
LATITUDE TROF IN THE WESTERLIES...MOVING SLOWLY ACROSS THE AREA.  AS
A RESULT WILL SHOW FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON
AND CONTINUE THE WATCH THROUGH TONIGHT.  THE RAIN AND SHOWERS MAY
WEAKEN BY LATE TONIGHT...YET RUNOFF COULD CONT OR MESO BOUNDARIES
EVOLVE THAT KEEP RAINS GOING.   AS A RESULT WL SHOW HI POPS THRU
TONIGHT.

FOR SUNDAY...ANOTHER S/W TROF MAY PASS OVER AREA AROUND UPPER LEVEL
LOW FORECAST TO BE VCNTY E TX TO E OK AND W AR.  THIS MAY PROVIDE
ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN...THEREFORE WILL CONTINUE CHC OF RAIN SUNDAY.
LOW ALOFT DOES NOT MOVE MUCH BY MONDAY...SO CHC OF RAIN WILL CONT
IN FORECAST MONDAY.

ON TUESDAY MULTI MODEL SOLUTIONS SHOW MARGINAL INSTABILITY OVR
S CNTRL TX AS UPPER LEVEL LOW EITHER GETS LIFTED NORTHWARD OR
DIMINISHES SOME.  EITHER WAY THE PATTERN STILL SUGGEST CONTD CHC
OF RAIN TUESDAY...THAT WILL SLOWLY FALL ON WEDNESDAY...YET NOT
ENOUGH BY WEDNESDAY TO DROP CHC OF RAIN.  AS A RESULT WILL SHOW
CHC OF RAIN EVEN WEDNESDAY...AS WEAKNESS IN HEIGHT FIELD ALOFT
MAY REMAIN.  ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...MULTI MODEL SOLUTIONS SHOW
CHC OF RAIN SLOWLY FALLING AND ARRIVING AT STABLE CONDS BY NEXT
SATURDAY...WHEN POPS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME LOW.

PRELIMS...
AUS 072/090/072/089/073 35365
DRT 074/094/074/095/075 34444
SAT 074/090/074/089/074 35365

.EWX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR TX HILL COUNTRY AND PARTS OF CNTRL
AND S CNTRL TX THRU TONIGHT.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 13, 7:32 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXLavaca118 min
Jul 13, 7:33 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXLavaca117 min
Jul 13, 9:46 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXDeWitt119 min
Jul 14, 7:21 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBurnet114 min
Jul 14, 10:02 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBurnet, Llano3 hr
Jul 14, 12:36 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXGillespie, Kerr3 hr
Jul 14, 12:42 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXEdwards, Real3 hr
Jul 14, 1:26 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXLee3 hr
Jul 14, 2:01 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXKendall119 min
Jul 14, 2:05 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBastrop, Caldwell, Hays115 min
Jul 14, 2:40 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBandera3 hr
Jul 14, 2:48 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXKinney3 hr
Jul 14, 3:38 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXEdwards, Real2 hr
Jul 14, 3:42 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXComal, Kendall2 hr
Jul 14, 3:46 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBastrop, Fayette, Lee2 hr
Jul 14, 3:55 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXDimmit, Maverick2 hr
Jul 14, 5:00 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBexar, Guadalupe, Medina, Uvalde2 hr
Jul 14, 5:24 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXZavala96 min
Jul 14, 5:31 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXVal Verde89 min
Jul 14, 5:55 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXKinney, Maverick65 min
Jul 14, 6:24 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXDeWitt96 min
Jul 14, 6:53 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXAtascosa, Wilson2 hr
Jul 14, 6:56 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXMedina, Uvalde2 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Texas, 2002Every flash flood warning in 2002

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.