Tornado Warning 33, NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

SOUTHEAST TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
235 PM CST MON NOV 26 2001

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGUN TO BREAK OUT ACROSS SOUTHEAST
TEXAS IN AN INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS. EXPECT THIS TREND TO
PERSIST FOR ANOTHER TWO DAYS AS A STORM SYSTEM BEGINS TO DEVELOP OFF
THE TEXAS COAST. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST TEXAS TONIGHT
AND TOMORROW AND BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY. THIS BOUNDARY WILL ACT AS
A GOOD FOCUS FOR MORE CONVECTION AS A STRONG INFLOW OFF THE GULF
PERSISTS. ELEVATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS
SOUTHEAST TEXAS WITH THE THREAT FOR SOME OF THESE STORMS TO BECOME
SEVERE DUE TO A FAVORABLE JET STRUCTURE. A STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST TEXAS TUESDAY NIGHT...AND THE COMBINATION OF
THIS BOUNDARY AND SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OFF THE TEXAS
COAST SHOULD TRANSLATE TO RAIN AREAWIDE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. RAINS
SHOULD COME TO AN END WEDNESDAY EVENING AS THE SURFACE LOW RACES OFF
TO THE NORTHEAST AND THE UPPER LOW MOVES INTO EAST TEXAS. A COLDER
AIRMASS WILL BE DRAWN INTO SOUTHEAST TEXAS UNDER GUSTY NORTH WINDS.
COLDER TEMPERATURES WILL LAST THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. AFTER THAT...A
GRADUAL WARMUP IS IN STORM FOR THE AREA. WELL STAY DRY THURSDAY
THROUGH MONDAY.

WILL ISSUE A HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK (SPSHOU) FOR THE UPCOMING
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.

.HGX...SCEC GULF WATERS OUT 20-60 NM.

42/37/TF

PRELIMS...
CLL TR 051/054 040/045 031 559
IAH TR 063/066 047/048 034 557
GLS TR 069/072 054/056 041 557

TXZ178-179-199-200-213-214-227-270200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
300 PM CST MON NOV 26 2001

...A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS
UNTIL 800 PM CST...

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WATCH FOR THE
FOLLOWING SOUTHEAST TEXAS COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM CST...

CHAMBERS...FORT BEND...HARRIS...LIBERTY...MONTGOMERY...POLK...
AND SAN JACINTO.

CONDITIONS ARE BECOMING INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS THROUGH
800 PM CST. WIND PROFILES ARE FAVORING THUNDERSTORMS THAT HAVE ALREADY
BEGUN TO DEVELOP TO POSSIBLY BEGIN TO ROTATE. THIS MAY ALLOW SOME OF
THE STORMS TO BECOME SEVERE.

THE MAIN THREAT WITH THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE STRONG DAMAGING
WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. A BRIEF TORNADO TOUCHDOWN
HAS ALREADY BEEN REPORTED EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON IN LIBERTY COUNTY.

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER WEATHER NEWS SOURCES FOR
FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.

GMZ330-335-350-355-370-375-TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-
227-235>238-271200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
351 PM CST MON NOV 26 2001

...UNSETTLED WEATHER IN STORE FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...

SOUTHEAST TEXASS WARM MOIST AIRMASS IS IN THE PROCESS OF BEING
REPLACED WITH A MUCH COLDER AND DRIER AIRMASS. AS THIS HAPPENS...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA...
AND SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST TEXAS ON TUESDAY...AND THE
CLASH OF THE WARM MOIST AIR AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND THE COOLER AIR
BEHIND THE FRONT WILL RESULT IN THE GENERATION OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. STRONG LOW LEVEL WINDS FROM THE SOUTH WILL COMBINE
WITH STRENGTHENING MID LEVEL WINDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND EVEN
STRONGER UPPER LEVEL WINDS FROM THE WEST TO PRODUCE AN INCREASING
RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER. THIS THREAT IS EXPECTED TO LAST THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT.

AS AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST ON
WEDNESDAY...SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OFF THE TEXAS COAST AND
MOVE OFF TO THE NORTHEAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. AS THIS
HAPPENS...GUSTY NORTH WINDS WILL RESULT IN BLUSTERY CONDITIONS ACROSS
SOUTHEAST TEXAS...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. THE AIRMASS ACROSS
SOUTHEAST TEXAS WILL DRY OUT ON THURSDAY...AND COOL TEMPERATURES WILL
LINGER THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

RESIDENTS ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS SHOULD KEEP THEMSELVES UPDATED
ON THE WEATHER FORECAST FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. BE PREPARED TO TAKE
ACTION IF SEVERE WEATHER WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE ISSUED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER WEATHER NEWS SOURCES FOR
FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.