Severe Thunderstorm Warning 54, NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

SOUTHEAST TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
825 PM CDT FRI MAY 4 2001

RATHER IMPRESSIVE SQUALL LINE OVER W/C TX CONTINUING TO SLOWLY MOVE
EAST AROUND 20 MPH. EXTRAPOLATING...WE SHOULD SEE THIS LINE MOVE IN
TO THE WRN FRINGES OF THE FA CLOSE AOA MIDNIGHT. STRONG INFLOW PER-
SISTING WITH VAD WIND PROFILE INDICATING WINDS OF 30-40KTS. WE WILL
LIKELY SEE SOME SCATTERED TSRAS DEVELOPING OVER SE TX JUST AHEAD OF
THE MAIN LINE. GIVEN THE INTENSITY OF THE ONGOING ACTIVITY TO OUR W
(AND THE PROXIMITY OF THE LATEST WATCH BOXES)...AM CONSIDERING ADD-
ING THE MENTION OF SEVERE TO ZONES THIS UPDATE. HOWEVER...CAPES ARE
ON THE LOW SIDE AND UPPER SUPPORT MAY OUTRUN THE LINE BEFORE IT GET
IN THE AREA. SO WILL SIT ON THIS A LITTLE LONGER AND MAKE THE FINAL
DECISION AT PRESS TIME. OTHERWISE...GOING NUMBERS LOOK OK. 41/36/39

.HGX...SCEC FOR BAYS AND WATERS OUT TO 60 NM.

PRELIMS...
CLL TE 069/078 067/083 065 674
IAH TE 070/080 068/083 067 472
GLS TE 072/079 072/080 071 472

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