Severe Thunderstorm Warning 45, NWS Brownsville, TX

DEEP SOUTH TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION...AMENDED FOR SCA LAGUNA MADRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
929 AM CDT FRI JUN 15 2001

**AFTER CONSULTATION WITH CRP MET...WL PLACE LAGUNA MADRE UNDER SCA
FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS IN ASSOCIATION WITH OUTFLOWS APPROACHING.**

SHORT TERM...WITH OUTFLOW APPROACHING FM THE NORTH AND CONVECTION
ALREADY FIRING ALONG THE ADJ MEX COAST AND 50 MILES SW OF BRO...WL
BUMP POPS FOR COASTAL AREA TO SCT. WITH CLD CVR CURRENTLY IN PLACE
AND MESOETA AND RUC BOTH SHOWING LITTLE WARMING TDY...WL DROP HIGHS
A CAT. BRO 12Z SOUNDING SHOWS PWAT VALUES AT 1.67 AND CAPES 5317
J/KG WITH -11.2 LI. +TSRA SIMILAR TO EVENT LAST NIGHT OVR WRN VLY
CUD GREET COASTAL AREAS THIS PM...WITH DEEP S TX NOW IN
CLIMATOLOGICALLY FAVORED WET PERIOD.

MARINE...WINDS OFFSHORE ARE BEGINNING TO BACK TO THE EAST AND NE
NOW...WITH BOY020 10010G12KT AND 8 FOOTERS AT 8 SECS. WL FOLLOW
MESOETA WIND SOLUTION...AS MDL INITS BEST WITH CURRENT PLACEMENT OF
SFC FEATURES...BRINGING WINDS NE BY LATE PM. SCA CONTINUES OFFSHORE
...BEFORE THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS ACROSS THE LOWER TEXAS COAST
BY TONIGHT. WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.

PUBLIC-SYNOPTIC-AVIATION-MARINE...PHILO (58)/MESO...VEGA

INTERNET ADDRESS...WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/BRO

.BRO...SCA FOR GMZ 130-150-155-170-175

TXZ248>257-151730-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1017 AM CDT FRI JUN 15 2001

...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO NORTHERN PORTIONS OF
   DEEP SOUTH TEXAS...

AT 1016 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR IN BROWNSVILLE
SHOWED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO NORTHERN KENEDY AND
BROOKS COUNTIES. THE LINE OF CONVECTION WAS MOVING SOUTH AT 25 MPH.
THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEING FORMED BY AN OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES CREATED BY CONVECTION NORTH OF THE VALLEY EARLY
THIS MORNING. ALSO...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER
ADJACENT MEXICO AND ARE MOVING NORTHWEST TOWARD STARR COUNTY.

STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS OVER THE LAGUNA MADRE AND THE LOWER TEXAS GULF
WATERS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES
ARE IN PLACE FOR THE LAGUNA MADRE AND LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS..

ADDITIONAL LIFT FROM THE SEA BREEZE LATER TODAY...MAY ASSIST IN THE
LIFTING PROCESS...INCREASING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY OVER THE RIO
GRANDE VALLEY. RAINFALL MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES.

STAY TUNED TO LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR THE
LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION. PHILO

TXZ248>257-151731-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1018 AM CDT FRI JUN 15 2001

...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO NORTHERN PORTIONS OF
   DEEP SOUTH TEXAS...

AT 1017 AM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR IN BROWNSVILLE
SHOWED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO NORTHERN KENEDY AND
BROOKS COUNTIES. THE LINE OF CONVECTION WAS MOVING SOUTH AT 25 MPH.
THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEING FORMED BY AN OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES CREATED BY CONVECTION NORTH OF THE VALLEY EARLY
THIS MORNING. ALSO...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER
ADJACENT MEXICO AND ARE MOVING NORTHWEST TOWARD STARR COUNTY.

STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS OVER THE LAGUNA MADRE AND THE LOWER TEXAS GULF
WATERS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES
ARE IN PLACE FOR THE LAGUNA MADRE AND LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS..

ADDITIONAL LIFT FROM THE SEA BREEZE LATER TODAY...MAY ASSIST IN THE
LIFTING PROCESS...INCREASING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY OVER THE RIO
GRANDE VALLEY. RAINFALL MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES.

STAY TUNED TO LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR THE
LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION. PHILO

TXZ248>257-151731-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1130 AM CDT FRI JUN 15 2001

...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER DEEP SOUTH
   TEXAS...

AT 1129 AM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR IN BROWNSVILLE SHOWED
TWO AREAS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING EACH OTHER OVER
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES MOVING SOUTH INTO NORTHERN
WILLACY...HIDALGO AND STARR COUNTIES HAVE GENERATED CONVECTION IN
THE CENTRAL VALLEY. A LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION SOUTH OF THE RIO
GRANDE VALLEY CREATED BY AN INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING FROM
MEXICO TO THE WESTERN VALLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE RIO GRANDE. THESE
TWO BOUNDARIES WILL MEET OVER SOUTHERN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND ADJACENT
MEXICO...RESULTING IN SOME AREAS OF VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS.

STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS OVER THE LAGUNA MADRE AND THE LOWER TEXAS GULF
WATERS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. A SPECIAL MARINE
WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LAGUNA MADRE AND OFFSHORE WATERS UNTIL
1230 PM.

STAY TUNED TO LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR THE
LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION. PHILO