Severe Thunderstorm Warning 24, NWS Springfield, MO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1035 AM CST SUN MAR 26 2000

PARAMETERS COMING TOGETHER FOR SEVERE WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. 60+ DEWPOINTS HAVE MOVED AS FAR NORTH AS TULSA. COLD FRONT
SURGING SOUTH THROUGH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. SMALL AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS
OVER SOUTHERN KANSAS EARLY THIS MORNING HAD MOVED INTO NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY...BUT THE STRONGEST STORMS SHOULD
REMAIN SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA.

MODIFICATION OF THE 12Z SPRINGFIELD SOUNDING FOR SURFACE
TEMPERATURE OF 75 AND DEWPOINT OF 60 PRODUCED A LIFTED INDEX OF -10
AND A CAPE OF 3300. POSSIBLE FLIES IN THE OINTMENT INCLUDE A
RELATIVELY WEAK WIND FIELD (30 TO 40 KTS AT 850 AND 700 MB)...AS
WELL AS CIRRUS AND LOW CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH OKLAHOMA STORMS
PREVENTING TEMPERATURES FROM WARMING INTO THE 70S.

WILL UPDATE THE ZONES BY 1130 AM TO REMOVE AFTERNOON WORDING AND
ADJUST TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY. LOOKS LIKE IT WILL BE AN ACTIVE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.SGF...NONE.

SUTTON

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-270600-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
830 AM CST SUN MAR 26 2000

...THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A MODERATE RISK...

A DEVELOPING COLD FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS THIS SUNDAY MORNING
WILL DESCEND QUICKLY THROUGH THE MISSOURI OZARKS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EXIT INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TONIGHT.  SUNSHINE AND MOISTURE
FLOWING NORTHWARD AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN THE ATMOSPHERE
BECOMING HIGHLY UNSTABLE THROUGHOUT THE REGION.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT AND
MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI BY MID
AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE VERY QUICKLY SOUTHEAST...REACHING
THE ROLLA AND WEST PLAINS REGIONS BY 9 PM.

THERE WILL BE A THREAT OF TORNADOES OVER FAR SOUTHWEST
MISSOURI...OTHERWISE THE MAIN THREAT FROM THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL BE
DAMAGING WIND.

SEVERE WEATHER SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR FOR WATCHES AND WARNINGS.  SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY OVER
SOUTHEAST KANSAS BY MID AFTERNOON...THE CENTRAL MISSOURI LAKES
TO SPRINGFIELD REGION BY LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING...AND SOUTH
CENTRAL MISSOURI BY MID EVENING.

THE STORMS WILL MOVE QUICKLY...SO SPOTTERS ARE URGED TO DEPLOY WELL
AHEAD OF THE ADVANCING SQUALL LINE.

.OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY NIGHT
AND WEDNESDAY.

RUNNELS