Severe Thunderstorm Warning 31, NWS Springfield, MO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1035 AM CST SUN MAR 26 2000

PARAMETERS COMING TOGETHER FOR SEVERE WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. 60+ DEWPOINTS HAVE MOVED AS FAR NORTH AS TULSA. COLD FRONT
SURGING SOUTH THROUGH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. SMALL AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS
OVER SOUTHERN KANSAS EARLY THIS MORNING HAD MOVED INTO NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY...BUT THE STRONGEST STORMS SHOULD
REMAIN SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA.

MODIFICATION OF THE 12Z SPRINGFIELD SOUNDING FOR SURFACE
TEMPERATURE OF 75 AND DEWPOINT OF 60 PRODUCED A LIFTED INDEX OF -10
AND A CAPE OF 3300. POSSIBLE FLIES IN THE OINTMENT INCLUDE A
RELATIVELY WEAK WIND FIELD (30 TO 40 KTS AT 850 AND 700 MB)...AS
WELL AS CIRRUS AND LOW CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH OKLAHOMA STORMS
PREVENTING TEMPERATURES FROM WARMING INTO THE 70S.

WILL UPDATE THE ZONES BY 1130 AM TO REMOVE AFTERNOON WORDING AND
ADJUST TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY. LOOKS LIKE IT WILL BE AN ACTIVE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.SGF...NONE.

SUTTON

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-270600-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
830 AM CST SUN MAR 26 2000

...THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A MODERATE RISK...

A DEVELOPING COLD FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS THIS SUNDAY MORNING
WILL DESCEND QUICKLY THROUGH THE MISSOURI OZARKS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EXIT INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TONIGHT.  SUNSHINE AND MOISTURE
FLOWING NORTHWARD AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN THE ATMOSPHERE
BECOMING HIGHLY UNSTABLE THROUGHOUT THE REGION.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT AND
MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI BY MID
AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE VERY QUICKLY SOUTHEAST...REACHING
THE ROLLA AND WEST PLAINS REGIONS BY 9 PM.

THERE WILL BE A THREAT OF TORNADOES OVER FAR SOUTHWEST
MISSOURI...OTHERWISE THE MAIN THREAT FROM THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL BE
DAMAGING WIND.

SEVERE WEATHER SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR FOR WATCHES AND WARNINGS.  SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY OVER
SOUTHEAST KANSAS BY MID AFTERNOON...THE CENTRAL MISSOURI LAKES
TO SPRINGFIELD REGION BY LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING...AND SOUTH
CENTRAL MISSOURI BY MID EVENING.

THE STORMS WILL MOVE QUICKLY...SO SPOTTERS ARE URGED TO DEPLOY WELL
AHEAD OF THE ADVANCING SQUALL LINE.

.OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY NIGHT
AND WEDNESDAY.

RUNNELS

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-261945-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1238 PM CST SUN MAR 26 2000

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI ALONG WITH SOUTHEAST KANSAS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
EFFECTIVE UNTIL 600 PM FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS:  BOURBON CRAWFORD CHEROKEE

IN MISSOURI:  VERNON  BARTON  JASPER  NEWTON  MCDONALD  BARRY
LAWRENCE  DADE  CEDAR  ST CLAIR  BENTON  HICKORY  POLK  GREENE
CHRISTIAN STONE  TANEY  DALLAS  WEBSTER  WRIGHT  DOUGLAS OZARK

A COLD FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN KANSAS WILL MOVE INTO THE OZARKS
QUICKLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EXIT INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TONIGHT.
THE AIRMASS ACROSS THE OZARKS HAS BECOME INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AS
TEMPERATURES ROSE INTO THE 70S AND DEWPOINTS APPROACHED 60.

THUNDERSTORMS OVER EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
WILL MOVE ACROSS FAR SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
THESE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE...PRODUCING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS
OF 60 MPH. LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH
THE REGION. THIS SECOND ROUND OF STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
QUICKLY AND EVOLVE INTO A SQUALL LINE...PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS.

THERE WILL BE A THREAT OF TORNADOES OVER FAR SOUTHWEST
MISSOURI...OTHERWISE THE MAIN THREAT FROM THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL BE
DAMAGING WIND.

SEVERE WEATHER SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR FOR WATCHES AND WARNINGS.  SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY OVER
SOUTHEAST KANSAS BY MID AFTERNOON...THE CENTRAL MISSOURI LAKES
TO SPRINGFIELD REGION BY LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING...AND SOUTH
CENTRAL MISSOURI BY MID EVENING.

THE STORMS WILL MOVE QUICKLY...SO SPOTT9ERS ARE URGED TO DEPLOY WELL
AHEAD OF THE ADVANCING SQUALL LINE.

.OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY NIGHT
AND WEDNESDAY.

SUTTON