Severe Thunderstorm Warning 115, NWS Glasgow, MT

NORTHEAST MONTANA AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
227 PM MDT SUN JUL 9 2000

DAY 9...OF THE SVR WX ACROSS NEMONT. YET ANOTHER IN THE SERIES OF
SHORTWAVES WILL TRACK ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT FOR YET ANOTHER
ROUND OF SVR WX. KGGW AT 12Z HAD A FAVORABLE SOUNDING FOR FOR SVR
TODAY. GOOD SHEAR PROFILE...ONLY NOTE IS THE THE WINDS WERE VEERING
IN THE LOW LEVELS INSTEAD OF BACKING WITH HEIGHT...HOWEVER FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SHOW A CHANGE IN THE LOW LEVELS BY THIS AFTERNOON.

AT THE SFC...JUICY JUICY JUICY ACROSS THE CWFA...VIS PIX SHOWS SC
DECK MOVING OUT OF THE REGION...HAVE TO CLUSTERS OF TSRA...ONE OVR
BLAINE AND THE OTHER OVR MCCONE. THESE SHOULD CLEAR THE AREA.
LOOKING AT H2O VAP...CAN SEE THE START OF THE NEXT BAND OF TSRA FOR
TONIGHT OVR THE SW MTS. THE LOW LEVEL EASTERLIES WILL KICK IN AGAIN
ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWFA...THIS WILL AIDE TSRA TO DEVELOP EVEN
MORE...AND AGAIN SUPERCELLS ARE LIKELY FOR THE REGION.

FOR MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...FOLLOWED THE MESO-ETA CLOSELY FOR DETAILS.
MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW YET ANOTHER DAY OF SVR CONVECTION ACROSS THE
CWFA. MODEL SOUNDINGS PRODUCE LI/S TO -9 WITH GOOD CAPES ACROSS THE
REGION.                     PROTON

EXTENDED...MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH GENERAL FLOW PATTERN DURING
THE EXTENDED PERIOD. WESTERLY FLOW ON WEDNESDAY WILL ONCE AGAIN
SHIFT BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. THICKNESS RIDGE
BEGINS TO BUILD OVER EASTERN MONTANA ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS WELL.
WILL TREND TEMPS UP A BIT AND KEEP MENTION OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH
DAY.  POHL

GGW TTTTT 060/082 060/084 058/086 061/088 062/091 947363/87333
GDV TTTTT 061/083 061/085 061/089 m061/091 062/093 947474/87333