Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Warnings in 1999

Flash Flood Warning 4, NWS Tucson, AZ

July 7, 1999Pima County, Arizona

NWS Tucson, AZ issued this flash flood warning at Jul 7, 1999, 4:12 PM MST for Pima County, Arizona. It was in force for 63 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 7, 1999, 4:12 PM MST (23:12 UTC)
Expired
Jul 7, 1999, 5:15 PM MST
In force
63 min
Issued by
NWS Tucson, AZ
Area
Whole counties

County Pima County, AZ

The radar

The Tucson radar (KEMX), 112 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tuscon, AZ (KTUS), launched 12:00Z, 11.2 hours before the alert went out and 84 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tuscon, AZ at 12:00Z on 1999-07-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 17 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tuscon, AZ at 12:00Z on 1999-07-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -1 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
17 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-196 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1276 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
10 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-1 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
50 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
TTAA00 KTUS 072311
FFWTUS
AZC019-080015-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
412 PM MST WED JUL 7 1999

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TUCSON HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  EASTERN PIMA COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ARIZONA

* UNTIL 515 PM MST

* AT 410 PM MST... RADAR RAINFALL ESTIMATES AND SPOTTER REPORTS
  INDICATED A THUNDERSTORM WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN OVER TUCSON...
  MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH.

* VERY HNEAVY RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL PRODUCE FLOODING
  OF STREETS AND WASHES IN EASTERN PIMA COUNTY.

ZELL

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 7, 2:20 PM MST, 1 hour 52 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 7, 2:20 PM MST, 1 hour 52 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ARIZONA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
220 PM MST WED JUL 7 1999

SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS AREA WILL KEEP
SOUTHERN ARIZONA IN A VERY MOIST MONSOON FLOW. SCATTERED MAINLY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH HEAVY RAINFALL AND
STRONG WINDS...ARE LIKELY THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK.

DISCUSSION...SOME STABILITY TO THE ATMOSPHERE TODAY (BOTH A LITTLE
MID LEVEL SUBSIDENCE AND LOWER LEVEL COOLING) DELAYED
DEVELOPMENT...BUT ONLY A COUPLE HOURS. SCATTERED STORMS WITH HEAVY
RAIN WILL ARE NO PROBLEM. THE REALY QUESTION FOR THE NEXT 12 HRS IS
THE POSSIBLITY OF ANOTHER EASTERLY IMPULSE PUSHING IN FROM NORTHERN
MEXICO AND ORGANIZING CONVECTION OVERNIGHT. THE AREA IM LOOKING AT
IS IN CHIHUAHUA...WHICH IS STILL IN THE EARLY STAGES OF GETTING ITS
ACT TOGETHER. STILL UNCERTAIN ABOUT ITS STRENGTH...BUT RIGHT NOW ID
SAY ITS GOING TO BE A BUSY NIGHT. COMBINE THAT WITH A BIT LESS
ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON...AND WE SHOULD BE PRIMED AND READY FOR IT
TO COME THROUGH TONIGHT. TIMING WISE...MAYBE STARTING IN COCHISE
COUNTY BY 9 PM AND IN THE TUCSON AREA SOMEWHERE AROUND 10 PM
TO MIDNIGHT. FLASH FLOODING A CONCERN WITH ANYTHING NOW...A WATCH
WILL BE CONSIDERED. STRONG MONSOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. MEYER

.TWC...NONE.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tucson, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 7, 1:57 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCCochise33 min
Jul 7, 2:10 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningTWCSanta Cruz110 min
Jul 7, 2:58 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCPinal32 min
Jul 7, 3:43 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCPima47 min
Jul 7, 4:14 PM MSTTornado WarningTWCPima36 min
Jul 7, 4:33 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningTWCPima47 min
Jul 7, 4:33 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCPima47 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arizona, 1999Every flash flood warning in 1999

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.