Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 1999

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 261, NWS Tulsa, OK

May 17, 1999Crawford County, Franklin County, Sebastian County, Arkansas

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 17, 1999, 3:07 PM CDT for Crawford County, Franklin County, Sebastian County, Arkansas. It was in force for 38 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline the Iowa Environmental Mesonet reconstructed for it; the warning itself named whole counties, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
May 17, 1999, 3:07 PM CDT (20:07 UTC)
Expired
May 17, 1999, 3:45 PM CDT
In force
38 min
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK
Area
Whole counties; the outline is the Mesonet’s reconstruction

Counties Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Sebastian County, AR

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
May 17, 3:38 PM CDTHail 0.75Branch, AR

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
May 17, 11:30 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 161 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 1999-05-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 1999-05-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -88 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1332 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
56 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-88 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-53 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

999 
WUUS54 KTSA 172011 RRA
SVRTUL
ARC033-047-131-172045-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
307 PM CDT MON MAY 17 1999

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN CRAWFORD COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
  FRANKLIN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
  EASTERN SEBASTIAN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS

* UNTIL 345 PM CDT

* AT 307 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED   
  A CLUSTER OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NEAR DEAN SPRINGS IN        
  SOUTHEAST CRAWFORD COUNTY TO NEAR GREENWOOD IN EASTERN SEBASTIAN   
  COUNTY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE
   DYER...LAVACA...VESTA AND OZARK.

HAIL TO THE SIZE OF DIMES AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED 
IN THE WARNED AREA.

LAT...LON 3555 9428 3517 9426 3534 9385 3573 9374

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 17, 11:10 AM CDT, 3 hours 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 17, 11:10 AM CDT, 3 hours 57 minutes before
EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION...RETRAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1110 AM CDT MON MAY 17 1999

WILL WAIT TO BETWEEN 1130 AM AND NOON TO UPDATE AS DO NOT KNOW WHEN
OR IF SPC IS GOING TO ISSUE WATCH.  UPDATE WILL TRY TO CURB THE
MORNING AND AFTERNOON WORDING IN CURRENT ZONES.  UPDATE WILL ALSO
INCORPORATE CURRENT RADAR TRENDS.  BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDS
FROM NORTHWEST ARKANSAS INTO EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND CONTINUES TO
PUSH EAST.  THINK THERE IS SOME CHANCE OF REDEVELOPMENT TO THE WEST
AS LOCATION OF THE COLD FRONT IS MUDDLED DUE TO THE THUNDERSTORMS.
WIND SHIFTED TO THE NORTH WITH THE LINE OF STORMS BUT HAS VEERED
AROUND TO THE SOUTHEAST BEHIND THE LINE.

CLOUD COVER ALSO A PROBLEM AS BREAKS OCCURRING TO THE SOUTH OF AND
TO THE WEST OF THE THUNDERSTORMS COMPLEX WILL PROBABLY GO WITH
PARTLY CLOUDY WHERE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE LESS THAN LIKELY.
TEMPERATURES SHOULD REBOUND WITH A LITTLE SUN AND SHOULD ONLY NEED
MINOR TWEEKS.

.TUL...
AR...NONE.
OK...NONE.

ABBAS

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 17, 1:00 PM CDT, 2 hours 7 minutes before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181100-

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
100 PM CDT MON MAY 17 1999

...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING IN
SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...

.SYNOPSIS...
AT 100 PM...A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA WAS CENTERED IN NORTH CENTRAL
TEXAS WITH ANOTHER LOW LOCATED IN IOWA.  A COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED
BETWEEN THE TWO SYSTEMS MOVING THROUGH SOUTHWEST MISSOURI INTO EASTERN
OKLAHOMA THEN INTO NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.  AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WAS
ALSO LOCATED OVER NORTHWEST KANSAS AND WILL MOVE INTO MISSOURI BY LATE
TONIGHT.

.DISCUSSION...
THE AIRMASS OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS REMAINS
UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON.  THE SURFACE COLD FRONT JUST NOW MOVING INTO
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON.  AS
IT DOES...A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ALONG IT
ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA WHERE TEMPERATURES HAVE HAD A CHANCE TO WARM
TO AROUND 80 DEGREES.

THESE STORMS SHOULD MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.  IF
STORMS MOVE ACROSS AREAS OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THAT RECEIVED HEAVY RAINS
THIS MORNING... ADDITIONAL RAINS MAY CAUSE FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS
THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING.

GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY IN PLACE ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
SLIGHTLY VEERING WIND PROFILES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL
BE THE PRIMARY THREAT FOR THIS AFTERNOON MAINLY SOUTH AND EAST OF A LINE
FROM OKMULGEE OKLAHOMA TO FAYETTEVILLE ARKANSAS.  HOWEVER...AN ISOLATED
TORNADO REMAINS POSSIBLE.  IN ADDITION...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LIKELY
ACCOMPANY SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY AND SPOTTER ACTIVATION...
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY AND SPOTTER GROUPS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR
POSSIBLE ACTIVATION...MAINLY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS UNTIL EARLY EVENING.
Special weather statement, May 17, 1:00 PM CDT, 2 hours 7 minutes before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181100-

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
100 PM CDT MON MAY 17 1999

...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING IN
SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...

.SYNOPSIS...
AT 100 PM...A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA WAS CENTERED IN NORTH CENTRAL
TEXAS WITH ANOTHER LOW LOCATED IN IOWA.  A COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED
BETWEEN THE TWO SYSTEMS MOVING THROUGH SOUTHWEST MISSOURI INTO EASTERN
OKLAHOMA THEN INTO NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.  AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WAS
ALSO LOCATED OVER NORTHWEST KANSAS AND WILL MOVE INTO MISSOURI BY LATE
TONIGHT.

.DISCUSSION...
THE AIRMASS OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS REMAINS
UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON.  THE SURFACE COLD FRONT JUST NOW MOVING INTO
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON.  AS
IT DOES...A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ALONG IT
ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA WHERE TEMPERATURES HAVE HAD A CHANCE TO WARM
TO AROUND 80 DEGREES.

THESE STORMS SHOULD MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.  IF
STORMS MOVE ACROSS AREAS OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THAT RECEIVED HEAVY RAINS
THIS MORNING... ADDITIONAL RAINS MAY CAUSE FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS
THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING.

GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY IN PLACE ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
SLIGHTLY VEERING WIND PROFILES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL
BE THE PRIMARY THREAT FOR THIS AFTERNOON MAINLY SOUTH AND EAST OF A LINE
FROM OKMULGEE OKLAHOMA TO FAYETTEVILLE ARKANSAS.  HOWEVER...AN ISOLATED
TORNADO REMAINS POSSIBLE.  IN ADDITION...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LIKELY
ACCOMPANY SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY AND SPOTTER ACTIVATION...
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY AND SPOTTER GROUPS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR
POSSIBLE ACTIVATION...MAINLY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS UNTIL EARLY EVENING.
Local storm report, May 17, 1:59 PM CDT, 1 hour 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
159 PM CDT MON MAY 17 1999

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0325 AM    CINCINNATI                AR    WIND DAMAGE
05/17/99   WASHINGTON                      SEVERAL LARGE TREES
                                           UPROOTED

1047 AM    3 SW FARMINGTON           AR    TORNADO
05/17/99   WASHINGTON
Local storm report, May 17, 1:59 PM CDT, 1 hour 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
159 PM CDT MON MAY 17 1999

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0325 AM    CINCINNATI                AR    WIND DAMAGE
05/17/99   WASHINGTON                      SEVERAL LARGE TREES
                                           UPROOTED

1047 AM    3 SW FARMINGTON           AR    TORNADO
05/17/99   WASHINGTON
Local storm report, May 17, 2:22 PM CDT, 45 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
222 PM CDT MON MAY 17 1999

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0205 PM    FAIRLAND                  OK    1.75 INCH HAIL
05/17/99   OTTAWA                          EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
                                           REPORT
Local storm report, May 17, 2:22 PM CDT, 45 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
222 PM CDT MON MAY 17 1999

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0205 PM    FAIRLAND                  OK    1.75 INCH HAIL
05/17/99   OTTAWA                          EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
                                           REPORT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 17, 2:50 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSABenton, Washington55 min
May 17, 2:50 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Sebastian55 min
May 17, 3:36 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAFranklin, Madison54 min
May 17, 3:36 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACarroll54 min
May 17, 3:45 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Washington15 min
May 17, 3:45 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSABenton15 min
May 17, 10:30 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Washington45 min
May 17, 10:54 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACarroll51 min
May 17, 10:55 AM CDTTornado WarningTSAWashington35 min
May 17, 11:02 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMadison28 min
May 17, 3:11 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSAFranklin, Sebastian2 hr
May 17, 3:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSASebastian48 min
May 17, 3:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMadison17 min
May 17, 4:56 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSAFranklin, Sebastian3 hr
May 17, 5:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSASebastian51 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arkansas, 1999Every severe thunderstorm warning in 1999

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.