Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Warnings in 1999

Tornado Warning 72, NWS Tulsa, OK

May 17, 1999Washington County, Arkansas

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this tornado warning at May 17, 1999, 10:55 AM CDT for Washington County, Arkansas. It was in force for 35 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline the Iowa Environmental Mesonet reconstructed for it; the warning itself named whole counties, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
May 17, 1999, 10:55 AM CDT (15:55 UTC)
Expired
May 17, 1999, 11:30 AM CDT
In force
35 min
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK
Area
Whole counties; the outline is the Mesonet’s reconstruction

County Washington County, AR

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
May 17, 11:00 AM CDTThunderstorm WindFayetteville, ARSiding was blown off several houses in Fayetteville. Tree limbs were also blown down.

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 3.9 hours before the alert went out and 94 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 1999-05-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 1999-05-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -88 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1332 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
56 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-88 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-53 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

999 
WFUS54 KTSA 171557 RRA
TORTUL
ARC143-171630-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1055 AM CDT MON MAY 17 1999

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR
  NORTHEASTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS

* UNTIL 1130 AM CDT

* AT 1055 AM CDT...RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH STRONG
  ROTATION OVER FAYETTEVILLE. MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH...THIS DANGEROUS
  STORM COULD PRODUCE A TORNADO AT ANY TIME.

* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...  GREENLAND...
  FARMINGTON...ELKINS AND FAYETTEVILLE

IF YOU ARE IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM...TAKE COVER NOW IF NO
UNDERGROUND SHELTER IS AVAILABLE MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE
LOWEST FLOOR. MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES SHOULD BE ABANDONED FOR MORE
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. AVOID WINDOWS

IN ADDITION TO THE THREAT OF A TORNADO...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
STRAIGHT LINE WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. GO TO A SAFE
PLACE NOW

LAT...LON 3613 9428 3596 9421 3602 9395 3624 9395

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at May 17, 7:36 AM CDT, 3 hours 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 17, 7:36 AM CDT, 3 hours 19 minutes before
EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION...RETRAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
420 AM CDT MON MAY 17 1999

PROBLEM(S) OF THE DAY:
WILL THE CONVECTION BE SCATTERED OR NUMEROUS?
POPS
WHAT TYPE(S) OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL OCCUR?

LOTS OF WIND REPORTS TONIGHT WITH BOW ECHO. SFC ANALYSIS AT 3AM
SHOWED FRONT WAS STILL NORTH OF THE AREA...WILL NEED PRETTY HIGH POPS
TODAY FOR ONGOING PRECIP OVER NC/NE OK AND REDEVELOPMENT TODAY.
MODELS STILL SHOW FROPA AROUND 15-18Z IN NE OK AND THIS AFTERNOON ALL
BUT FAR SE ZONES. HAVE A FEELING THAT FRONT WILL SLOW DOWN ACROSS SRN
ZONES AS S/W ZIPS OFF TO THE E LEAVING COMMA TAIL PRECIP TO FIRE
ALONG FRONT. CONDITIONS MAY NOT BE OPTIMAL FOR SUPERCELLS TODAY...BUT
COULD EASILY CHANGE BASED ON NEAR-TERM CONVECTION AND HOW MUCH MUCH
ATMOSPHERE IN LOW LEVELS CAN RECOVER. WILL MENTION SVR POSSIBLE
ACROSS SE ZONES TODAY AND FAR SE THIS EVENING. RAINFALL REPORTS HAVE
BEEN FAIRLY LOW CONSIDERING HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT...MAINLY TO DUE
RAPID PROGREESION OF BOW ECHO. WILL NOT ISSUE ANY FFA DUE TO
UNCERTAINTY ON HOW MUCH WIDESPREAD PRECIP WILL OCCUR TODAY OR
TONIGHT.

MODELS GENERALLY IN AGREEMENT WITH TIMING OF FRONT SO HAVE NOT
FOLLOWED ANY PATICULAR MODEL TO THE LETTER. GENERALLY WENT A LITTLE
COOLER THAN FWC WITH COOLER H8 TEMPS AND NORTH WINDS. SHOULD SEE SOME
OVERRUNNING CLOUDS UNTIL LATER TONIGHT WHEN CLEARING WILL OCCUR FROM
THE NORTH.

EXTD FCST IN SOME DOUBT AS MRF AND ECMWF SHOWING GOOD SWLY FLOW OVER
SRN PLAINS THURS. THINK STORMS WILL STAY WEST ON DRYLINE. OTHER
MODELS STARTING TO LOOK LIKE LAST 2 RUNS OF MRF SHOWING CUTOFF LOW
OVER SW US AND RETROGRADING UPR LOW INTO FLORIDA FOR FRI/SAT. VERY
STRANGE PATTERN FOR MAY IF THIS VERIFIES...BUT SEEMS REASONABLE BASED
ON HEMISPHERIC PATTERN AND INTER-/INTRA-MODEL AND RUN-TO-RUN
CONSISTENCY. WITH CUTOFF TO THE WEST WILL KEEP EXT FCST DRY.

FCSTID = 26
NELSON

TUL   76  53  78  53 /  90  10   0   0
FSM   80  57  78  51 /  60  20   0   0
MLC   79  55  80  52 /  50  20   0   0
BVO   75  50  76  50 /  90   5   0   0
FYV   77  52  73  45 /  70  10   0   0
IDB   82  58  82  54 /  40  60   0   0
BYV   77  52  73  45 /  70  10   0   0
MIO   76  51  75  48 /  70  10   0   0
MKO   78  55  78  52 /  70  10   0   0
F10   76  53  78  53 /  90  10   0   0
HHW   82  58  82  54 /  40  60   0   0

.TUL...
AR...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 600 AM CDT MONDAY FOR ZONES
ARZ001...ARZ010...ARZ019...ARZ029.
OK...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 600 AM CDT MONDAY FOR ZONES
OKZ049...OKZ053...OKZ055>058...OKZ060>076.

--------------------
EXPERIMENTAL OUTPUT:

HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED NEXT 24 HOURS: CHANCE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
NGM CONFIDENCE:  7 ON A SCALE OF 0 TO 10
ETA CONFIDENCE:  8 ON A SCALE OF 0 TO 10
AVN CONFIDENCE:  7 ON A SCALE OF 0 TO 10
FCST CONFIDENCE: 8 ON A SCALE OF 0 TO 10

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 17, 5:00 AM CDT, 5 hours 55 minutes before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053-055>058-060>077-171300-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
500 AM CDT MON MAY 17 1999

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 283 AND 285 HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR
ALL OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...THUS THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCHES HAVE
BEEN CANCELLED. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE
THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING MAINLY ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

STAY TUNED TO THIS STATION FOR FURTHER INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.
Special weather statement, May 17, 5:00 AM CDT, 5 hours 55 minutes before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053-055>058-060>077-171300-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
500 AM CDT MON MAY 17 1999

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 283 AND 285 HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR
ALL OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...THUS THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCHES HAVE
BEEN CANCELLED. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE
THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING MAINLY ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

STAY TUNED TO THIS STATION FOR FURTHER INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.
Special weather statement, May 17, 6:00 AM CDT, 4 hours 55 minutes before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181100-

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
600 AM CDT MON MAY 17 1999

...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY IN SOUTHEASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...WITH ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE
IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING...

.SYNOPSIS...
EARLY THIS MORNING...A COLD FRONT EXTENDED FROM LOW PRESSURE IN NORTHERN
MISSOURI TO ANOTHER LOW IN THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND HAD ENTERED OSAGE AND
PAWNEE COUNTIES. AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE LIFTS INTO THE PLAINS
TODAY...THE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTHEASTWARD AND BY THIS EVENING IS
EXPECTED TO BE EXITING SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

.DISCUSSION...
THE AIRMASS OVER THE AREA IS EXPECTED TO RECOVER FROM THE OVERNIGHT
CONVECTION AND AGAIN BECOME UNSTABLE AHEAD AND NEAR THE FRONT.
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOPED JUST BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WERE ENTERING
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA EARLY THIS MORNING AND ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS
EXPECTED DURING THE MORNING IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. THE MAIN THREAT  FROM
THESE STORMS WILL BE HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS...BUT AN
ISOLATED SHORT LIVED SEVERE STORM COULD DEVELOP.

WITH SOME SUNSHINE...TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO WARM TO NEAR 80
DEGREES IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THUNDERSTORMS
SHOULD DEVELOP ON OR JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT AS IT MOVES INTO THIS AREA.
GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY...A FEW SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
THESE STORMS SHOULD EXIT SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA BY EVENING.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY AND SPOTTER ACTIVATION...
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY AND SPOTTER GROUPS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR
POSSIBLE ACTIVATION...MAINLY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS FROM LATE MORNING UNTIL EARLY EVENING.
Special weather statement, May 17, 6:00 AM CDT, 4 hours 55 minutes before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181100-

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
600 AM CDT MON MAY 17 1999

...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY IN SOUTHEASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...WITH ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE
IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING...

.SYNOPSIS...
EARLY THIS MORNING...A COLD FRONT EXTENDED FROM LOW PRESSURE IN NORTHERN
MISSOURI TO ANOTHER LOW IN THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND HAD ENTERED OSAGE AND
PAWNEE COUNTIES. AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE LIFTS INTO THE PLAINS
TODAY...THE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTHEASTWARD AND BY THIS EVENING IS
EXPECTED TO BE EXITING SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

.DISCUSSION...
THE AIRMASS OVER THE AREA IS EXPECTED TO RECOVER FROM THE OVERNIGHT
CONVECTION AND AGAIN BECOME UNSTABLE AHEAD AND NEAR THE FRONT.
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOPED JUST BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WERE ENTERING
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA EARLY THIS MORNING AND ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS
EXPECTED DURING THE MORNING IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. THE MAIN THREAT  FROM
THESE STORMS WILL BE HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS...BUT AN
ISOLATED SHORT LIVED SEVERE STORM COULD DEVELOP.

WITH SOME SUNSHINE...TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO WARM TO NEAR 80
DEGREES IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THUNDERSTORMS
SHOULD DEVELOP ON OR JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT AS IT MOVES INTO THIS AREA.
GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY...A FEW SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
THESE STORMS SHOULD EXIT SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA BY EVENING.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY AND SPOTTER ACTIVATION...
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY AND SPOTTER GROUPS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR
POSSIBLE ACTIVATION...MAINLY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS FROM LATE MORNING UNTIL EARLY EVENING.
Local storm report, May 17, 8:23 AM CDT, 2 hours 32 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
823 AM CDT MON MAY 17 1999

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0821 AM    KELLYVILLE                OK    .88 INCH HAIL
05/17/99   CREEK
Local storm report, May 17, 8:23 AM CDT, 2 hours 32 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
823 AM CDT MON MAY 17 1999

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0821 AM    KELLYVILLE                OK    .88 INCH HAIL
05/17/99   CREEK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 17, 2:50 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSABenton, Washington55 min
May 17, 2:50 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Sebastian55 min
May 17, 3:36 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAFranklin, Madison54 min
May 17, 3:36 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACarroll54 min
May 17, 3:45 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Washington15 min
May 17, 3:45 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSABenton15 min
May 17, 10:30 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Washington45 min
May 17, 10:54 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACarroll51 min
May 17, 11:02 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMadison28 min
May 17, 3:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Franklin, Sebastian38 min
May 17, 3:11 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSAFranklin, Sebastian2 hr
May 17, 3:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSASebastian48 min
May 17, 3:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMadison17 min
May 17, 4:56 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSAFranklin, Sebastian3 hr
May 17, 5:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSASebastian51 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Arkansas, 1999Every tornado warning in 1999Tornadoes in 1999

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.