Alert archive / Florida / Flash Flood Warnings in 1999

Flash Flood Warning 3, NWS Melbourne, FL

September 25, 1999Brevard County, Florida

NWS Melbourne, FL issued this flash flood warning at Sep 25, 1999, 8:28 PM EDT for Brevard County, Florida. It was in force for 117 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 25, 1999, 8:28 PM EDT (00:28 UTC)
Expired
Sep 25, 1999, 10:25 PM EDT
In force
117 min
Issued by
NWS Melbourne, FL
Area
Whole counties

County Brevard County, FL

The radar

The Melbourne radar (KMLB), 21 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 00:00Z, 0.5 hours before the alert went out and 180 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tampa Bay, FL at 00:00Z on 1999-09-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 552 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tampa Bay, FL at 00:00Z on 1999-09-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 41 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
552 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-9 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
912 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
10 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
41 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
56 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
TTAA00 KMLB 260032
FFWMLB
FLC009-260225-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
828 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 1999

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  BREVARD COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA

* UNTIL 1025 PM EDT

* AT 825 PM... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY
  HEAVY RAIN NEAR MELBOURNE.  MOVEMENT WAS NORTH AT 15 MPH.

* THE AREA IN AND AROUND MELBOURNE AND PALM BAY CONTINUES TO
  RECEIVE HEAVY RAIN. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS
  RECEIVED NEARLY ONE AND A HALF INCHES OF RAIN SINCE 8PM.  THE RAIN
  WAS FALLING AT A VERY EXCESSIVE RATE.  IF THE RAINFALL
  CONTINUES...IT WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO CAUSE PROBLEMS TO STRUCTURES
  NEAR FLOOD PRONE LOCATIONS. DRIVING HAS BECOME HAZARDOUS.

  MORE RAIN IS LIKELY FOR BREVARD COUNTY THROUGH 1030 PM.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. DO NOTD DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE
WATER COVERS THE ROAD. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE
ABANDONED QUICKLY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

SHARP

&

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Melbourne, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Sep 25, 2:00 PM EDT, 6 hours 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 25, 2:00 PM EDT, 6 hours 28 minutes before
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
200 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 1999

TONIGHT...WILL HAVE CHANCE POPS OVER THE ENTIRE AREA FOR RESIDUAL
SHOWERS THIS EVENING...AND NOT PLANNING ON THE LIKELY NUMBERS THAT
MODELS ADVERTISE.  WILL KEEP CHANCE POPS OVERNIGHT FOR SOUTHERN
COASTAL SECTIONS AS THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH EASTERLY COMPONENT TO
BRING THE NOCTURNAL ATLANTIC ACTIVITY ONSHORE.

SUN AND MON...TREND OF PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS CONTINUES WITH TROUGH IN
THE EAST BEING REPLACED BY A RIDGE.  BROADENING TROUGH OVER THE
PLAINS WILL HOLD THE ATLANTIC RIDGE TO ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD
AND PROVIDE A DEEP FLOW OF TROPICAL AIR ACROSS THE AREA.  THOUGH THE
MAIN MOISTURE PLUME MAY PUSH WEST OF THE AREA BY MONDAY...THERE
SHOULD STILL BE ABUNDANT MOISTURE AND GOOD CHANCE/LIKELY POPS.  ETA
CONTINUES TO LOWER PRESSURES THE MOST OVER THE YUCATAN AND HENCE THE
LOW LEVEL WINDS ARE TOO STRONG...THOUGH THE NGM/AVN ARE INDICATING
20 KNOT WINDS STARTING LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT.  GRADIENT WILL BE INCREASING REGARDLESS OF WHAT OCCURS TO OUR
SOUTH SINCE RIDGE TO OUR NORTH IS BEING REINFORCED AND PRESSURES
WILL BE RISING.  THEREFORE WILL GO WITH BREEZY CONDITIONS SUNDAY FOR
THE COASTAL COUNTIES FROM BREVARD SOUTH.  MAY REMAIN BREEZY MONDAY
DEPENDING ON THE EVOLUTION OF LOW PRESSURE VICINITY OF THE YUCATAN.

TUE THROUGH THU...BROAD TROUGH FORECAST OVER MUCH OF THE COUNTRY TO
OUR NORTH WITH DEEP LAYER RIDGE AXIS SETTING UP ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PENINSULA.  THIS SHOULD SWITCH SOUTHERN SECTIONS TO AN EASTERLY FLOW
REGIME.  AFTER SOME DECREASE IN DEEP MOISTURE TUE...WHICH MODELS
HAVE BEEN ADVERTISING FOR SEVERAL RUNS...WOULD EXPECT THAT FRONT
MOVING INTO THE SOUTHEAST WILL DRAW DEEPER MOISTURE BACK BY THURSDAY.

MARINE...RATIONALE FOLLOWED ABOVE WILL LEAD TO AN INCREASE OF WINDS
FROM SOUTH TO NORTH TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.  CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS GOOD
AND WILL GO WITH 20 KNOT WINDS FOR SUNDAY NIGHT ACROSS ALL OF THE
WATERS.

PRELIMINARY NUMBERS...
DAB TT 073/085 074/086 074 4736
MCO TT 073/086 074/088 073 4736
MLB TT 075/086 075/087 074 4746

.MLB...NONE.

LASCODY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Melbourne, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 25, 10:25 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningMLBBrevard2 hr
Sep 26, 12:14 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningMLBBrevard106 min
Sep 26, 2:51 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningMLBBrevard2 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Florida, 1999Every flash flood warning in 1999

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.